Dynasty Trade Value Chart: January

You probably know that a couple of years ago, DLF created our very own Dynasty Trade Analyzer. While there are many trade tools and calculators on the market available to dynasty managers, ours is the only one to integrate expert dynasty rankings, regularly updated community dynasty ADP and, perhaps most importantly, actual dynasty trades taking place in real dynasty leagues. We combine each of these data points to create a specific value for every dynasty-relevant player, which is updated daily.

What you might not know is that those values are available to each DLF subscriber. Hopefully you are using the Trade Analyzer to aid you in deciding about each and every dynasty deal you consider, but it can be easy to overlook an option at the top of that Trade Analyzer page.

While you’re pondering if now is the right time to buy Kyle Pitts take a look at the red box in the image above. Inside, you’ll find “Values.” All of the values. Every numerical value for every player and draft choice you care about in a dynasty league, available in both 1QB and superflex league formats, updated every single day. I’ve had many dynasty managers and DLF subscribers tell me they did not know this was available, so I wanted to be sure we’re all on the same page before we continue.

Now that you’re all caught up, let’s get to it. While our values change daily, those are almost always small shifts, based on ADP or rankings updates or a massive trade that went through in one of our tracked dynasty leagues. Of course, the real change is noticeable over a larger period of time. It is certainly interesting to track this value change over a period of weeks, months, or even years. That’s what I’ll be doing for you in this monthly series. On to the values.

QB Trade Values

• Again, these values change quickly, but these are the current top-twelve signal callers, making up the QB1 group. There are few real surprises here, especially at the top. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are locked in as the top two quarterbacks with a sizable gap between them and QB Jalen Hurts.
• Speaking of Hurts, he has been the big riser of the season after finishing with a league-leading 25.2 fantasy points per game. While Hurts entered the season with high expectations, some doubts lingered about his potential longevity, which kept him out of the top five of most dynasty rankings. All of those doubts have been answered after the MVP-caliber season Hurts posted for the Eagles.
• The tight third tier is led by Justin Herbert, which is somewhat surprising given the inconsistent season the Chargers quarterback endured. We do see just a 102-point value gap from Herbert to the QB7, Justin Fields.
• Injuries and disappointing play have cost both Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray quite a bit of dynasty value over the past season. Of course, we have seen enough consistent and high-level production from both quarterbacks that they should top any dynasty manager’s offseason buy-low list.
• Despite atrocious play following his return from a long suspension, Deshaun Watson maintained his QB1 status, hanging on as the QB11. As bad as this season was for the Browns quarterback, I am still expecting improvement and a return to near-elite play in 2023.

RB Trade Values

• Here are your top 24 running backs, based on our current trade value data. With a lot of information to take in here, let’s begin at the top. With relatively small gaps, the top-five backs are in their own tier, which includes Jonathan Taylor, Breece Hall, Kenneth Walker, Christian McCaffrey, and Saquon Barkley. Of course, the elephant in the room is incoming rookie Bijan Robinson and where he will slot in. Expect it to be very high, potentially at the top of the list. We’ll find out next month when rookies are included in our ADP. For reference, the 2023 1.01 rookie pick is currently valued at 900 points which would put it at the top of the RB group.
• Josh Jacobs has gained a significant amount of value with his play this past season but now leaves his dynasty managers (and the Raiders) with a level of uncertainty as he enters free agency. Like many of the backs on this list, including Miles Sanders and Tony Pollard, landing spot will be pivotal in determining their offseason dynasty value.
• Najee Harris struggled through a terrible start to his season, which resulted in his ADP and trade value plummeting. After a solid finish to the season, Harris’ value is back on the rise. Personally, I think he’s an avoid at his current RB11 price tag.
• After missing the majority of the season with an ACL injury, Broncos back Javonte Williams is beginning to regain some value, currently sitting at RB14. It will be very difficult for Williams to get back inside the top-five overall players, as he was last April, but he is already knocking on the RB1 door.
• It is somewhat strange and surprising to see stars Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, and Aaron Jones near the bottom of this list, but entering their seventh year in the league, their respective ages are beginning to show. Add in the possibility that each could be a cap casualty and their value could continue to tumble.
• At some points over the past year, Packers backup AJ Dillon had overtaken his teammate Jones in dynasty value. That’s not the case this month but if Jones is a cap cut and forced to find a new team, Dillon will be a major riser.

WR Trade Values

• The top-four players in our most recent dynasty ADP come from the wide receiver position and are the exact same group we see here. Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase are the two most valuable players in 1QB dynasty leagues and there is really not much competition right now.
• The next pair of receivers are both Miami Dolphins as Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill hold down the WR5 and WR6 spots. Both are obviously valuable weekly fantasy starters but we also saw each wideout a significant dip in production when Tua Tagovailoa was out of the lineup. Hill lost more than five fantasy points per game without Tagovailoa on the field, while Waddle’s production dropped by more than eight fantasy points per game. Unfortunately, the quarterback’s long-term health needs to be factored into the pass-catchers’ value.
• We see three rookies among the top fourteen receivers and three more later in the list. What was expected to be a down rookie class has produced major impact at the receiver position.
• The quarterback carousel is expected to be one of the top storylines of the offseason and that has an obvious impact on the eventual production, as well as the dynasty value of these receivers. Among the 24 receivers, Garret Wilson, Chris Olave, Davante Adams, Drake London, Chris Godwin, Michael Pittman, Treylon Burks, and DJ Moore are likely to be catching passes from new quarterbacks in 2023. That’s one-third of the top 24 receivers in dynasty being impacted, hopefully for the better.

TE Trade Values

• It should not be a surprise to see Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts back at the top of the list, despite a frustrating season filled with subpar performances and a season-ending injury. This value is as much about the competition as it is about Pitts’ upside. About that competition…
• Mark Andrews set the league ablaze early in the year but greatly struggled in the back half of the year, especially once Jackson was out of the lineup. Still, he showed enough this year along with his past performance to hold onto the TE2 spot.
• The only, and I mean the only reason Travis Kelce is not the overwhelming TE1 and a first-round dynasty startup pick is his age. Kelce is 33 years old but still posted another dominant season, showing no signs of slowing down.
• TJ Hockenson has overtaken George Kittle as the TE4 and while there is currently a large 190-point gap in their trade value, an argument can be made that Hockenson could be valued about Kelce. Hockenson was the TE2 behind only Kelce from Week Nine, when he was traded to the Vikings, through the end of the fantasy season.

Risers

• After being nearly traded or cut mid-season, Cam Akers eventually regained his role as the lead back for the Rams. In the final six weeks, Akers finished as the RB25 or higher in every game, including three RB1 games and an overall RB1 game in Week 16. There is still some doubt about Akers’ long-term status with the Rams but he has regained much of that lost value from a tumultuous season.
• Four of the top-ten risers over the past month are rookies. Receivers Jahan Dotson, Garrett Wilson, and Christian Watson were already highly regarded entering and throughout the season but Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier got better as the season went along. Allgeier posted three RB1 performances in the final four weeks and overtook veteran Cordarrelle Patterson as the lead back down the stretch.

Fallers

• After a hot start to his season and career, which included three straight RB1 games in Weeks Three through Five, Dameon Pierce was earning some buzz as a top dynasty back, potentially even among the RB1 group. Pierce wouldn’t post another top-twelve performance and his value has steadily declined just as his production did.
• We always see veterans lose dynasty value when the offseason begins and that is the case here as DeAndre Hopkins, Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Amari Cooper, and Joe Mixon all find themselves among the ten biggest fallers over the past month. Hopkins’ trade rumors factor in here, as well.
• Injuries ended the season for quarterbacks Kyler Murray and Tua Tagovailoa, which results in lost dynasty value for both.

If you want to see deeper player values, simply access the Dynasty Trade Analyzer and click the “values” link in the upper left of the page. We’ll take a look at updated values next month!

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Ryan McDowell

Contributor at Dynasty League Football

In addition to his senior leadership role here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and PE teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the Kitchen Sink Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value.

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