The dynasty world can be an optical illusion, where everything is not what it appears. On the surface you can see the landscape, however looking deeper can uncover a new meaning, a different perspective. In this four-part series, I’ll be discovering the true takeaways from the dynasty world - through the contrast of overall fantasy points scored versus the fantasy points per game (FPPG) in 2024.
FPPG is key to understanding a player’s true performance. Why would we consider yearly totals when we play a weekly game? Focusing purely on the overall output misses key information such as games missed through injury, hence can skew outlook based on random events. Focusing on FPPG compares players on a level playing field, game versus game, to truly identify their fantasy effectiveness.
The first article in the series focuses on quarterbacks, contrasting the overall output against the weekly output from 2024 (excluding week 18).
- QB14 Overall (254.8 fantasy points)
- QB18 in FPPG (15.9 fantasy points)
Reviewing his surface-level performance, Smith had a strong 2024 season, finishing as a high QB2 at the QB14 overall. While there is a drop-off to the QB18 in FPPG, it was a solid season on the back of finishing as the QB5 in passing yards. Smith’s fantasy output was good as a QB2 on dynasty rosters, however factoring in strong weapons like rising sophomore wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba and his veteran receiving partner DK Metcalf, Smith was in a facilitative situation for fantasy.
Smith’s excellent passing output was negated by him registering the most interceptions since he was a rookie (15). Also, the firing of offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb is concerning, on the back of a career year in passing output for Smith. The Seahawks were a team who could have made the playoffs in a weaker-than-expected NFC West, highlighting Smith’s capped ceiling from a real-life point of view - as a 34-year-old quarterback with limited talent and upside overall.
Verdict
