Off-Season Mock Drafts: Have We Learned Anything?

John DiBari

I've been writing this series for three years, and if my memory serves me correctly, the initial rookie drafts from February before the combine were more accurate than the mocks following the combine and NFL Draft. I may not be correct, but that is how I believe things went. I'm going to look back at the last two seasons and see if my recollection is accurate. I'll compare the early mocks to the post-combine and post-draft mocks and see when the dynasty community was most accurate. We can use this insight and look at this year's mocks and ADP to hopefully pinpoint which players we might be wrong about and will fall through the cracks.

The 2023 Class

The first rookie mock I wrote about back in February of 2023 was a superflex draft. Two years later, looking at the first round of that mock, we see some good and not-so-good picks.

As we all know, there are busts and misses in every fantasy draft, and we aren't looking at these old articles to find busts; we want to see if we were better at identifying the better players early or late in the process.

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