Dynasty Fantasy Football Trading Post: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Russ Fisher

As dynasty fantasy football managers, we search for players who check the boxes of talent and situation. Is a wide receiver talented enough to earn targets over the other players on his team? Are there surrounding players taking targets away from him? Does he have a quarterback capable of getting him the ball with these earned targets? The more boxes that get checked, the more we value that player.

Talent is usually a pretty static answer – sure players can get better as they work their way into the league but usually these players ‘are who they are’. Situation, on the other hand, changes often and quickly. We are going to be looking into a young talented wide receiver who was in a crowded wide receiver room but recently became wide open. His team showed us that they believe in his talent and he is now ready to become the number one wide receiver on his team. Today we are going to look into…

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR SEA

In my opinion, Seattle showed their faith in Smith-Njigba with their willingness to trade away DK Metcalf and release Tyler Lockett. Of course, they need more than one wide receiver on their team so it wasn’t completely surprising when they brought in Washington native Cooper Kupp. The soon-to-be 32-year-old Kupp will definitely earn some targets but I still believe that Smith-Njigba will be the top target earner. In more situational change, he will be earning targets from Sam Darnold instead of the traded Geno Smith. We saw Darnold’s ability to support high-end fantasy wide receivers with strong seasons out of Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.

Let’s take a look at the Trade Finder and Trade Analyzer to see if the dynasty world shares my thoughts.

12 team superflex PPR TE premium start 10.

word image 1506588 1 1

word image 1506588 2 1

Regardless of the direction of your team, I like this move in getting the young budding wide receiver. Mike Evans outscored Smith-Njigba by 1.6 points per game last season, so even if you are competing, that doesn’t add too much to your lineup. True, you are getting a starting quarterback in Sam Darnold but he is just a bridge QB in a worse situation than he was in last year so it would be a little too hopeful to believe he can repeat his stats from last year. Even if you don’t believe that the Seahawks wide receiver can take the next step into stardom you should still hold out for a better offer.

12 team superflex PPR TE premium start 10.

word image 1506588 3 1

word image 1506588 4 1

The Trade Analyzer has Smith-Njigba worth less than the 1.01 but more than the 1.02. With the Cam Ward hype in full swing, I can see if you want to push the quarterback above him as well but I think our young wide receiver is definitely worth more than the WR1 or the RB2 in this draft class. That being said, I would clearly take Smith-Njigba over the 1.05, which is likely to be the RB4 or WR2. If you are rebuilding you would want to hold on to a 23-year-old, very talented wide receiver. This kind of reroll only keeps you rebuilding.

12 team superflex PPR TE premium start 10.

word image 1506588 5 1

word image 1506588 6 1

I understand both sides of this trade and I think I like both sides of this trade. We hope Smith-Njigba takes the next step, we hope Brandon Aiyuk comes back healthy and can earn some extra targets with Deebo Samuel now in Washington, and we hope we can do something helpful with those draft picks. On the other hand, we know Justin Jefferson is very, very good at football. If you wanted to go all in on this season, I could see sending these four pieces to compile the value to get up to Jefferson. Also, if you wanted to retool your roster a bit, sending Jefferson for the upside that can exist on the package side is a bold move.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba saw his stats almost double from his rookie year through his sophomore season. This happened with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett on the field with him. Both of those wide receivers are no longer on the roster. It is very much in the realm of possibility that Smith-Njigba soaks up a larger-than-average target share on the Seahawks offense and volume is something we chase as fantasy football managers. The best part is, his price still seems to be at a place where the risk isn’t as large as it should be.

Russ Fisher