Dynasty Blueprint: 5 Takeaways From Week 11
Editor’s Note: This week, Kev White is covering for Ryan McDowell and bringing you the Dynasty Blueprint. You can catch all of Kev’s work here.
This week I’m filling in for Ryan McDowell, taking you through my personal weekly Dynasty Blueprint. This article and all of the content on DLF is for you, the reader. The goal is to make you a better dynasty player and bring home some titles. Hopefully, this will help you reach that goal.
Dynasty Five
Taysom Hill: Fantasy Cheat Code
The only place to begin the recap of week eleven is the fantasy cheat code Taysom Hill – delivering a whopping 41.52 fantasy points, the highest on the week and fourth highest on the season. Hill rushed for 138 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, whilst adding a further eight receptions for 50 yards as a receiver. A truly impressive outing, the highest score by any quarterback or tight end this season – the two common positional designations given due to his diverse offensive role with the Saints.
Hill moved up to the TE3 in fantasy points per game (FPPG) and has finished as a top five tight end in three of his seven games this season. Although not many will have faced Hill in fantasy this week, his ceiling is unmatched at the position on any given Sunday. As an underdog in a fantasy playoff matchup, you could do a lot worse than Hill. In dynasty best ball formats Hill is excellent and well worth spending a late rookie pick to expose yourself to these types of boom weeks which can alter your fantasy season.
Taysom Hill snap counts yesterday:
QB: 8
RB: 7
TE: 9
WR: 9
D/ST: 11 pic.twitter.com/ZcgJYCZWyU— Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco) November 18, 2024
Anthony Richardson Roller Coaster
What a roller coaster season it has been for Richardson dynasty owners – outstanding week one, poor performances, injury, back in the lineup, more poor output, getting benched, and now back starting and delivering the QB4 output this week in the victory at the Jets. The 27.08 fantasy points per game is the best of his season and second best of his fantasy career. As a passer, this was by far the best Richardson has performed this season, in addition to a couple of rushing touchdowns on the ground.
Richardson’s dynasty value is all over the place, the haters will feel they were correct on him struggling, the truthers will still have hope he can continue to develop and hold onto his job into 2025. Playing the market correctly and timing trades to perfection, you could have in theory sold high and bought low on Richardson. Whilst the future is uncertain and the worry of a Justin Fields-type trajectory a possibility, Richardson is still an appealing gamble on the QB2/3 cusp, for any rebuilding side swinging for the fences in the hope of a massive value spike. Enjoy the ride while it lasts, there’s sure to be plenty more twists and turns in this one.
Richardson could be on a Fields-type trajectory in dynasty (Credit: DLF ADP Over Time App)
Bengals Bonanza (Again)
In terms of a pure NFL team’s fantasy output, the Bengals caught my eye this week once again, with another explosive output from their offensive weapons in their 34-27 defeat at the Chargers. In week 10 Joe Burrow was the QB2, Chase Brown RB3, and Ja’Marr Chase WR1 overall – with week 11 resulting in Burrow as the QB3, Brown RB7, Chase WR4, and the returning Tee Higgins as the WR2 overall this week. Any dynasty manager embracing this offense or leaning into Burrow and Chase stacks has had an excellent couple of weeks in fantasy.
No team is producing more fantasy firepower right now than the Bengals, so disappointing that they are on bye in week 12. Thinking about their success in 2024, Burrow is again in the discussion as a top four dynasty quarterback, Brown as a potential top 15 type running back, Chase in contention for the WR1 overall spot with Justin Jefferson, and Higgins also playing himself into a top 15 option at wide receiver. It should be noted Higgins is outproducing Chase in a number of metrics this season – perfect timing for him in the final year of his current deal. With recency bias and unsustainable fantasy output, consider these Bengals assets as potential sell-high candidates in dynasty, with the exception of Higgins, who has a fair amount of risk attached to his profile with an uncertain future beyond 2024.
Targets in the six games Tee Higgins has played this season:
* Tee Higgins 58
* Ja’Marr Chase 49 pic.twitter.com/ScJhRG5kAt— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) November 18, 2024
Breakout Wide Receivers
Week 11 produced a number of strong fantasy performances from ascending wide receivers who are elevating themselves into a prominent role within their offense.
Jauan Jennings had a great outing this week, finishing with 25.1 fantasy points, in the defeat to the Seahawks. Jennings stepped up with the injury to tight end George Kittle. Earlier on this year Jennings registered the second-highest fantasy output of any player, with 46.5 fantasy points against the Rams. Whilst he could be volatile with the return of Kittle and the possible emergence of Ricky Pearsall, Jennings will be a cheap and exciting asset to play in the flex.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba played solidly against Jennings and the 49ers, delivering 21.8 fantasy points on the week. Recently he has easily outperformed Tyler Lockett and over the last four games has outscored teammate DK Metcalf by a score of 3-1. With this trajectory, it is only a matter of time before Smith-Njigba has overtaken Metcalf in dynasty ADP and is back on course towards his excellent dynasty potential.
Josh Downs was another wide receiver to continue his sophomore breakout – registering 19.4 fantasy points in the win at the Jets. The season has been impressive for Downs, performing well despite the quarterback carousel in Indianapolis. Chemistry is building with the aforementioned Richardson, catching touchdown passes from him in the last two games together, and has jumped teammate Michael Pittman in ADP.
Downs has overtaken Pittman in dynasty ADP, as the Colts’ number one receiving option (Credit: DLF ADP Over Time App)
Brock-tacular Bowers
Rookie sensation Brock Bowers continued to dazzle, delivering a 31.3 fantasy point performance this week, the second-highest of the season at tight end (behind Hill’s monster week 11 performance). Bowers continues to be better than advertised, finishing as a top six option at the position in 70% of his games this year. Bowers is the TE2 in FPPG and TE1 overall, with Kittle injured. Also, Bowers’ current pace would rank him as the WR12 in FPPG – spectacular for a 21 year old tight end, currently in a poor situation with upgrades due at quarterback and complimentary wide receiver options in the future.
Bowers’ current pace is historical, projecting for 119 receptions and 1200 receiving yards. For context, the record for rookie tight end receiving yards is 1076 by Mike Ditka, and tight end receptions is 86 last year by Sam LaPorta. More impressively, Bowers is on pace to crush the overall rookie receptions record of 105, set last season by Puka Nacua. As a community it would be natural to exert caution after seeing the LaPorta career arc and disappointing sophomore season, however, Bowers looks to be the real deal and has untapped upside at the position. Bowers is a projected round two dynasty startup pick in 2025 as the dynasty TE1 – destined to win dynasty titles this season and many years to come.
He is a keen supporter of mental health projects, where dynasty content is his coping strategy to remain in an optimal mindset.
- Dynasty Perspective Through Fantasy Points Per Game: Tight Ends - February 11, 2025
- Dynasty Perspective Through Fantasy Points Per Game: Wide Receivers - February 4, 2025
- Dynasty Perspective Through Fantasy Points Per Game: Running Backs - January 27, 2025
