Dynasty Target and Regression Trends: Week Five

Welcome! In this series, I try and be short, sharp, and to the point while offering some underrated trends in volume and regression of player usage.

So, let’s get to it, shall we? Here’s my walk through the deeper nooks and crannies of dynasty data and my main observations in NFL usage and regression from the first five weeks.

You can find my tables for each team in my free weekly database here.

ARI: Michael Wilson continues to stabilize in the top 36

As we talked about last week, Wilson was behind both Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore in route percentage, but Wilson drew even with Moore this week and has a higher ceiling of route share in certain weeks. The targets swung Moore's way this week, but that’s the nature of this level of volume. Neither has a particularly strong red zone presence (Moore, 3.4%, Wilson 6.9%).

This week's targets inside the 20 weeks favored the tight end position as they do on average (Zach Ertz has 20.7% of the team's touches in the red zone). Ertz has stabilized as a second option in the offense, with 19% of the routes. His nine points last week weren’t great, (TE16) but he’s still streamable as the brief hope for Tre McBride to grow seems to have been a minor false signal and is now gone.

ATL: The upside is shaky, but there's a “flexible” floor in the receiving game