The 2018 rookie class is set and I couldn’t wait to get a group of our writers together for some mock drafts. Unlike recent years, there is basically no consensus order, even in the early portion of rookie drafts. Expect every mock draft or set of rookie rankings to be quite different, at least until we learn more information at next month’s NFL Combine. With disagreement comes value and it is never too early to begin tracking the value of your favorite rookies.
You might be thinking that you just read this exact same article. But this mock draft included once very important change from our previously posted one. This is based on a 2QB format. While there are questions about each of the quarterbacks in this class, as a super-flex dynasty player, I am encouraged by the volume of solid signal-callers entering the league this year.
Here are the participants, listed in draft order:
- Michael Zingone
- Nathan Powell
- James Koutoulas
- Doug Green
- Jake Anderson
- George Kritikos
- Peter Howard
- Ryan McDowell
- Joseph Nammour
- Bruce Matson
- Kyle Holden
1.01 – N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State
Just as in the previous rookie mock draft, Arizona State’s Harry is the top pick. While this would appear to show a consensus, that is actually not the reality this early in the process. At least three players have a claim to be the top pick and that grows even larger in the superflex format.
1.02 – Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State
It didn’t take long for the first quarterback to come off the board as Ohio State’s Haskins is picked second overall. This looks like one of the weakest quarterback classes in many years and the scarcity of signal callers could leave both NFL team and fantasy owners to reach for the few solid candidates.
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1.03 – D.K. Metcalf, WR Mississippi
Again, we are very early in this pre-draft process, but Mississippi’s Metcalf, who dealt with multiple injuries and stiff competition for targets, has been the most-debated player near the top of the drafts. Metcalf will be this year’s poster boy for the film versus metrics debate.
1.04 – Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma
Obviously, Heisman winner Murray is a special case. Until just a few weeks ago, the assumption was that Murray would be forgoing the University of Oklahoma and football, in general, to pursue a career in baseball after the Oakland A’s made him a first-round pick last off-season. Now, Murray has had a change of heart and has “fully committed to football”.
1.05 – David Montgomery, RB Iowa State
While there is plenty of debate, Montgomery still seems to be the favorite to be the rookie RB1 for many, and that’s where he was selected here. Jake admitted that while Montgomery might not test well at the Combine, he does have great feet and is a powerful runner.
1.06 – A.J. Brown, WR Mississippi
When I was referring to Metcalf’s competition for looks, it was Brown who was the main culprit, spitting out impressive market share numbers even on a team full of NFL prospects. Despite that, Brown seems the most likely of the top wideouts to fall, making him a nice early value in the middle of the round.
1.07 – Kelvin Harmon, WR North Carolina State
With the seventh pick, Peter was happy to grab Harmon, who he called a top three receiver in the class. Harmon’s age 19 breakout season was one of the key factors to making this pick and he’s yet another wideout seemingly going undervalued in this pre-Combine stage.
1.08 – Hakeem Butler, WR Iowa State
I mentioned in the previous article that I am admittedly high on Butler’s prospects. He’s currently my WR2 in the class, so it was an easy choice when he fell this far. Butler does risk losing value if he is not selected in the second round of the NFL Draft.
1.09 – Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama
No player has been a hotter topic since the college football season concluded than Alabama’s backup running back Jacobs. Not only are many calling him the top running back in the class, but there has also been a major push for Jacobs to be selected with the 1.01 pick. Regardless of where you stand on his future, it seems unlikely he will fall this far when the “real” drafts begin.
1.10 – Darrell Henderson, RB Memphis
The late first round is wide open but one player who seems to be locking up a spot early on is Memphis back Henderson, who broke out after entering college as a low-level recruit. Like most second-tier backs, Henderson’s ultimate value will come down to landing spot and draft capital.
1.11 – Damien Harris, RB Alabama
While his former teammate Jacobs has stolen the limelight, the solid and steady Harris has been the forgotten man. One of the most productive backs in the SEC in recent seasons with three straight years of 1,000 yards from scrimmage, Harris will be a steal late in the first round.
1.12 – Noah Fant, TE Iowa
The top tight end according to most dynasty players is Fant, though he has already seemingly lost value after having been considered a top six rookie pick in early projections during the college season. In the end, Fant might not even be the NFL Draft or rookie TE1 as his teammate T.J. Hockenson has been moving up draft boards quickly.
2.01 – J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, WR Stanford
A first-rounder in the previous 1QB mock draft, Stanford’s productive wideout Arcega-Whiteside falls to the top of the second round and offers excellent value.
2.02 – Devin Singletary, RB Florida Atlantic
The talented back from the small school, there is some concern that Singletary is not quite big enough and not quite fast enough to stand out but he could still land in the NFL Draft’s second day and that would boost his value.
2.03 – Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma
It’s only injuries that might keep former Oklahoma back Anderson out of the first round of dynasty rookie drafts. A clean medical report from the NFL Combine would be a game-changer for Anderson.
2.04 – Deebo Samuel, WR South Carolina
South Carolina four-year wideout Samuel dominated the Senior Bowl practices and his dynasty value got a boost as a result. In a crowded wide receiver class, Samuel could become a value after the top tier is exhausted.
2.05 – Miles Sanders, RB Penn State
Even with a year on his own, former Penn State back Sanders has been stuck in Saquon Barkley’s shadow. Sanders had a very solid final season for the Nittany Lions and is one of the second-tier backs that could move drastically in either direction depending on landing spot.
2.06 – Daniel Jones, QB Duke
In a bit of a surprise, the third quarterback off the board is Duke’s Jones. While some are projecting him to be selected in the first round, he is widely considered to be the QB5 in dynasty leagues.
2.07 – Benny Snell, RB Kentucky
One of my personal favorites, Snell, is drafted by Peter, who admitted that the productive back had little impact as a receiver but could be a solid half of an NFL committee attack.
2.08 – Drew Lock, QB Missouri
The former Missouri quarterback Lock has become such a popular choice for the Denver Broncos in the top ten of early NFL mock drafts that I can already picture him wearing the blue and orange. If Lock is drafted that early, there is no way he falls this far in a superflex format.
2.09 – Marquise Brown, WR Oklahoma
The opinions on “Hollywood” Brown are all over the place. Many NFL mock drafts you read project him to be the top-drafted wide receiver while fantasy owners seem concerned about his diminutive size.
2.10 – Lil’Jordan Humphrey, WR Texas
The Longhorns versatile receiver Humphrey has the big body of a traditional WR1 but spent most of his time at Texas in the slot. His strong end of the season boosted his stock and put him in this late-second round range.
2.11 – Elijah Holyfield, RB Georgia
Yet another lauded Georgia running back enters the league but most would argue that Holyfield failed to live up to his famous name or his lofty recruiting ranking during his college career. He could be one of the players who finds more success as a pro than in college.
2.12 – Emanuel Hall, WR Missouri
Bruce makes Missouri’s Hall the final pick of this mock with West Virginia’s quarterback Will Grier surprisingly going undrafted given the superflex format. Hall was uber-productive in college but is likely a day three pick in the NFL.