Dynasty Fantasy Football Trading Post: Marvin Harrison Jr

Russ Fisher

If we were talking about wide receiver rookie seasons and you said a player had 110 targets, caught 57 passes for 822 yards and seven touchdowns, I would tell you that is a great rookie year. Maybe I wish that catch percentage was a little higher but we can’t be sad that our player is earning targets. Without giving any context, name or draft capital, we tend to take numbers more at face value. But when a player is selected early in the NFL Draft and then early in our rookie drafts, we want to see that fantasy production starting week one. We always want to believe that every player will reach their potential immediately. When that doesn’t happen, we start to doubt the player and their future potential. Expectations have a way of clouding our judgment because I would have a different answer if you asked me what I thought of the rookie season of our subject…

Marvin Harrison Jr, WR ARI

Phrases such as “He was OK”, or even “Meh”, would come to mind if I were asked about the Cardinals rookie wide receiver’s first season. Is that fair? No, and that is why it is important to take a step back and look at players without your own level of expectations placed on them. Harrison has fallen in ADP from WR5, sixth overall in August down to WR11, 15th overall. If you believed in this studly prospect before the season, then nothing should change even though there were other rookie wide receivers who put up better seasons.

With our belief still held high, now is the perfect time to get a temperature check on the manager currently rostering Harrison Jr in your leagues. Let’s go to the DLF Trade Finder and Trade Analyzer to see what it looks like to acquire our wide receiver.

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This is the base question: do we reroll our early pick from last year into an early pick from this year? The issue with this trade is that as of right now, consensus would have you missing out on the WR1 in this coming class at the 1.03 though that is still subject to change. This feels like a move giving up on Harrison. There isn’t any real profit in this trade from moving the rookie wide receiver. You most likely used the 1.02 in a stronger draft class to acquire him so why sell him for the 1.03?

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There were multiple trades in the Trade Finder of Harrison Jr straight up for a running back. I would easily send every running back not named Jahmyr Gibbs, Breece Hall, Bijan Robinson, or Saquon Barkley for Marvin Harrison Jr. Running back is such a volatile position and especially in this case with the age and injury history of Christian McCaffrey, it seems an easy move to the 22-year-old wide receiver coming off of a very solid rookie campaign.

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There is never a player who can’t be acquired from my teams. I am not looking to move any shares of Harrison Jr but if there is another manager in the league who believes in him and is looking to make a move, this is along the lines of what it would take. I realize this trade is heavily in favor of the CeeDee Lamb side but it is more the theory than the practice that I am referring to. If I am moving off the talent and potential of Harrison Jr, then I want to move that into the steady and studly production of a set-in-stone top wide receiver like Lamb.

One of the best ways to improve your dynasty roster is the ability to see your team and the players on it without a biased lens. It is very easy to feel unhappy with the output we received from Harrison Jr but if you take a step back and look at the numbers exactly as they are, then you should already start to feel a little better and definitely shouldn’t feel like you need to get him off of your rosters for anything less than he is truly worth.

Russ Fisher