Breaking Down July 2QB Dynasty ADP

With training camps opening soon, it is time to take another look at some alternative dynasty data. Of course, I’m referring to super-flex dynasty ADP.

Perhaps it has to do with the recent kickoff of the annual Scott Fish Bowl, the biggest (and best) fantasy league in the world, which happens to be a super-flex league, but I’ve noticed some increased chatter about this format that was once considered a niche. More and more fantasy players are not only opting for this alternative when choosing leagues but making it a requirement.

In fact, Pat Thorman of Pro Football Focus recently shared this on Twitter, which pretty much sums things up.

If there’s a good reason to have a one-QB league over a Superflex format, I haven’t heard it.

— Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) July 10, 2018

Personally, I tend to treat quarterbacks in this format as I do wide receivers in a typical league. I want as many top end quarterbacks as I can get and they usually make up the majority of my cornerstone draft picks when building a team.

Next, I’ll go round-by-round, sharing the end of season 2QB ADP we’ve formed with some brief thoughts for the first few rounds.

Round One

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 2 (2)

RB- 6 (6)

WR- 4 (4)

TE- 0 (0)

Let’s go ahead and get this out of the way. I was shocked at how the quarterbacks lasted in this draft. It certainly does not invalidate the data, though it did remind me just how varied super-flex startup drafts can be.

In general, our standard one-QB ADP can give a drafter a strong idea of when a specific player will come off the board, allowing a strong plan to be formulated. Drafting in a super-flex startup is more about position runs, focused obviously on the signal callers.

In Round One, only two quarterbacks were drafted while most owners continued to focus on the running back position, which is the new trend after a strong couple of years and a major infusion of talent.

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Round Two

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 2 (4)

RB- 5 (11)

WR- 5 (9)

TE- 0 (0)

Even in Round Two, only two more quarterbacks are drafted in Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson. The late round quarterback mindset has taken over and it is at this point a drafter would need to read the board and project that quality veterans will be available much later than the expectation for a super-flex draft.

Round Three

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 6 (10)

RB- 2 (13)

WR- 4 (13)

TE- 0 (0)

It is Round Three where the signal callers finally become a priority for many teams with half of the 12 players coming from this all-important position, including Jimmy Garoppolo and Patrick Mahomes. Dynasty owners have helped these two relatively unproven players catapult up draft boards throughout the off-season. Most of these teams have found their QB1, while one team now sports Aaron Rodgers and Jared Goff as starters.

Round Four

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 3 (13)

RB- 3 (16)

WR- 4 (17)

TE- 2 (2)

It’s been discussed before that one of the big benefits of a super-flex league is the value created at other positions when quarterback prices spike. That might not be more evident than this Round Four group, which includes the top two tight ends in the game, Travis Kelce and Rob Gronkowski.

Round Five

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 4 (17)

RB- 2 (18)

WR- 4 (21)

TE- 2 (4)

After Round Five, every team has at least one quarterback on the roster and many teams are targeting second quarterbacks. It is noteworthy that young, unproven players like Mitchell Trubisky and Baker Mayfield, both drafted in this round, routinely see a value bump as owners chase upside at the position, just as they do at running back and wide receiver in typical drafts. This results in these players being drafted ahead of reliable veterans such as Matt Ryan and Drew Brees.

Round Six

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 4 (21)

RB- 4 (22)

WR- 4 (25)

TE- 0 (4)

Round Seven

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 4 (25)

RB- 5 (27)

WR- 3 (28)

TE- 0 (4)

Round Eight

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 1 (26)

RB- 4 (31)

WR- 7 (35)

TE- 0 (4)

Round Nine

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 3 (29)

RB- 3 (34)

WR- 3 (38)

TE- 3 (7)

Round Ten

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 3 (32)

RB- 2 (36)

WR- 4 (42)

TE- 3 (10)

Remaining 2QB ADP

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Ryan McDowell

Contributor at Dynasty League Football

In addition to his senior leadership role here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and PE teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the Kitchen Sink Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value.

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