Dynasty Fantasy Football Trading Post: Brian Thomas Jr
Last week we talked about Marvin Harrison Jr, a rookie wide receiver who “disappointed” compared to our expectations. This week we will talk about a wide receiver who exceeded our expectations. A season of 80 catches for 1179 yards and 10 touchdowns would be considered a very good season for any wide receiver, not just a rookie. Those were the stats of…
Brian Thomas Jr, WR JAC
Thomas came into his rookie season with an ADP of WR38, and the 92nd overall player. After having the above-mentioned rookie season he is now WR8 and player 21 overall, which is now two wide receiver spots and ten total spots above Marvin Harrison Jr. Thomas now ranks with such cohorts as Puka Nacua, Nico Collins, and AJ Brown. Now we need to ask ourselves the questions whenever a player has this type of meteoric rise: do we believe he belongs up here? If so, do I sell my shares for a profit? Do I acquire more shares? The best way to get the answers to these questions is to turn to the DLF Trade Finder and Trade Analyzer and see how the public is viewing his value.
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There were a few trades like this in the Trade Finder, a middling player, a mid to late first-round rookie pick, and a second-round rookie pick. There were even a few that didn’t have a player added to the pick side. Even if you don’t fully believe in what we saw out of Brian Thomas Jr in his rookie year, this feels like an easy price to pay for the risk of it being true. In a class that is not seen as very deep at wide receiver, this is a perfect move to bolster your positional strength. If I was trading Thomas away I would not do this move. I would need something coming back that is more solid and proven. Why move off a high reward risk for three middle to late risks?
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This was another common type of trade in the Trade Finder – Thomas Jr for a mid/low running back one. I believe in Jonathan Taylor and Kyren Williams (one of the other RBs found in a Thomas trade in the Trade Finder), but anytime you can move off a 26-year-old running back and into a 22-year-old stud wide receiver, I think you need to do it. Same as I said in last week’s article there are only four running backs I might hold onto: Jahmyr Gibbs, Breece Hall, Bijan Robinson, and Saquon Barkley. Honestly, I might be tempted to send those four also because I do believe in what we saw out of Thomas Jr his rookie season.
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Like I said in the first trade review, if I was going to move off Thomas Jr, it would need to be for someone solid and proven. Clearly the same stands for Caleb Williams. There might not be two players more solid and proven than Josh Allen and CeeDee Lamb. I would easily add a late first and early second to make this move to a more predictable and safer roster. While the Trade Analyzer has this almost completely even, I would need that first to be a little earlier if I were the one trading away the veteran side of this deal. This is a very strong rebuilding move but I might be a little too risk-averse to pull it off.
From the trades I have seen in the DLF Trade Finder, it appears that Brian Thomas Jr’s trade value hasn’t fully caught up with his ADP. This means if you are looking to add some more shares to your rosters you still have a chance without having to pay the ransom you normally would for a top-ten wide receiver. If you are looking to cash out on the value increase from his rookie draft I would make sure you aren’t selling just for the sake of selling, make sure you are getting a deal that is fitting for a young, stud wide receiver of Thomas Jr’s caliber.
- Dynasty Fantasy Football Trading Post: Brian Thomas Jr - February 20, 2025
- Dynasty Fantasy Football Trading Post: Marvin Harrison Jr - February 13, 2025
- Dynasty Fantasy Football Trading Post: Bo Nix - February 6, 2025
