Dynasty Fantasy Football Trades
Taking advantage of potential valuation trends in the trade market is imperative. That is even more true during the season when players can experience wild valuation changes on a week-to-week basis. Each week, I will be highlighting some players you should be looking to move or acquire and the reasons why:
Buy – Will Levis, QB TEN
Last week, Levis was included in the “I need more information” section. While his week nine performance on Thursday night wasn’t as impressive statistically as his debut, I finished watching the game more impressed than the week before. Levis is always going to lean on the side of risk-reward. He has incredible arm strength and is excellent at pushing the ball downfield, but I was most impressed with his ability to make the correct read and, at times, throw with touch. After what he has shown through two weeks, I would be shocked if the Titans returned to Ryan Tannehill rather than rolling with Levis as their quarterback of the future.
It may feel like you’re buying high on Levis as you are likely going to have to pay at least a first for him right now, but he is a quarterback who is likely a starter for at least two years, and that has enormous value in superflex leagues. I would happily pay a random future first or a mid to late 2024 first for him. If he continues to impress, that value is going to increase rapidly.
Buy – Dalton Schultz, TE HOU
Tight end is such an infuriating position. There are so few reliable week-to-week starters, and most at the position depend on a touchdown to produce fantasy relevancy. However, Schultz is putting together an impressive season. Currently, he is the TE8 in points per game. However, that doesn’t paint the whole picture. He has produced four top-six performances through the last five weeks. He has commanded an impressive 19.2% target share this season and has been above 20% target share every week since week five. After an incredible performance on Sunday from CJ Stroud, many people will be clamoring to acquire Stroud, Tank Dell, and Nico Collins; however, Schultz may be the forgotten player. Given the positional scarcity, I would happily pay a second-round pick for Schultz to hopefully find a short to medium-term solution for the tight-end position.
Sell – Bijan Robinson, RB ATL
Okay, this one may be slightly hyperbolic. I still believe in the talent and think Robinson is just as good as he was expected. He has shown enough talent that he deserves to be held up as a franchise cornerstone. However, right now, he just isn’t getting it done from a fantasy perspective. He is currently the RB25 in points per game and that is painful considering the cost of acquiring him in the off-season. The issue for Robinson is that he is in a split backfield, seeing only 49% opportunity share so far this season. While you would like to think that would change in future years, Tyler Allgeier is only in his second year and isn’t going anywhere. Furthermore, Arthur Smith and his infuriating usage will likely be in Atlanta beyond this season.
As I said, the talent is there. However, if you’re looking to win this year or next, I think you at least need to have a conversation about moving on from Robinson to accrue more points in the 2023 and 2024 seasons. Pivoting from him to Breece Hall, Travis Etienne, or Jonathan Taylor would give you better production immediately, but you could also gain an asset on top.
Sell – Aaron Jones, RB GB
Jones has been somewhat of a consensus sell for the past 12 months. Coming to the end of his contract, his days of fantasy relevancy are indeed numbered. The problem has been that the production hasn’t been there so far this season, so you’ve been unable to sell high. This last week, he had a 63.4% opportunity share, which equated to 17.9 fantasy points. Now he has flashed you may be able to sell high to a contender looking for a back to push them over the top. If you can get a late first, that would be fantastic. However, I would be pretty happy to accept a couple of second-round picks to move on from Jones.
Rebuilding Buy – Zack Moss, RB IND
Rebuilding is straightforward. Sell off players and accrue picks and young players. However, if you want to rebuild quickly, you need to be aggressive and make some out-of-the-box moves that could return on investment and give your overall squad a value boost. One of those players right now is Moss. This past week finally saw the Colts shift the backfield heavily toward Jonathan Taylor. Moss saw a season-low 23.3% opportunity share, and the expectation is for that to continue moving forward.
People may be viewing Moss as nothing more than a handcuff at this point. However, he is a free agent at the end of the season and has the potential to find a new home where he could be in a split backfield or even the lead back. He showed he has the talent to carry a backfield and could quickly return value if that’s the case. Worst-case scenario, you’ve acquired a high-end handcuff at an appropriate price. I would happily pay a late future second-round pick, but I think with where his valuation is right now, you can get him even cheaper. I would start the conversations around two third-round picks, or perhaps you can get Moss as a throw-in for bigger deals.
I need more information – Cedric Tillman, WR CLE
I was a fan of Tillman coming out of college and felt he could be an excellent fit for the Browns as the X receiver in their offense. He found his path to playing time limited behind Donovan Peoples-Jones. However, after Peoples-Jones was traded away, Tillman saw the second-highest number of snaps of any Cleveland wide receiver. The target volume wasn’t there quite yet, as he saw only one target during the game. However, this is potentially a sign of things to come, and he is a player I will be monitoring closely over the coming weeks.
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