Dynasty Value Study: Terry McLaurin, WR WAS
In this series, the writers here at Dynasty League Football dive deep into the current dynasty value of a specific player. This can actually be quite a challenge considering player value in a dynasty league can be impacted by everything from weekly production during the season to decisions players make off the field in the spring and summer months.
Luckily for you, we offer a number of valuable tools here at Dynasty League Football to measure a player’s value and we’ll be taking you all through many of them throughout this Dynasty Value Study series. Let’s dig in!
Redraft waiver wire hero Terry McLaurin was one of the impressive rookie receivers to show up during the 2019 season. Washington selected him 76th overall in the 2019 NFL draft. Dynasty owners may have snagged him late in rookie drafts with little hopes of him breaking out in the way that he did, but were certainly pleased with his production at a value.
He finished his year-one campaign with 919 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 58 receptions. That was good enough for WR25 in PPR formats.
He could have had an even better season had the team’s quarterback play been more consistent. There was a discernible difference in his per-game numbers depending on whether or not Case Keenum or fellow rookie Dwayne Haskins was under center. In and of itself, this is an interesting smidge of irony, considering Haskins and McLaruin share an alma mater.
Here are the splits:
Notably, his target share remained above 21 percent with either quarterback leading the charge. Maintaining a healthy target share is a good sign heading into his second season.
Dynasty Ranking
In the top-200 dynasty rankings, McLaurin comes in at 53rd overall. For reference, that puts him two spots behind young tight end Evan Engram, one spot behind running back David Montgomery and one spot ahead of Austin Ekeler.
Here is a look at his positional dynasty ranking. He comes in at WR27, one spot ahead of Christian Kirk and a spot behind Jarvis Landry – certainly not bad company to be in heading into his second season.
Dynasty ADP
As of January’s ADP for 2020, he comes in at 54th overall. Considering that back in August he was being drafted in the 153 range, this represents a steady upward trend.
TRADE FINDER
Assessing value in dynasty can largely be associated with a simple question: what can I get for him? Or, what is the cost of acquisition?
The trade finder tool can help with this exact inquiry. By analyzing recent trades, managers can get a good look at what types of trades are being accepted that involve specific players. The table below shows some recent trades involving McLaurin.
(The results shown here are filtered by 12-team, PPR, and six points per touchdown.)
There are some interesting results shown here. Notice in the second result one team gave up DJ Moore to acquire Robby Anderson, McLaurin, Darius Slayton and a 2020 first round pick. Then in the third result shown, we see a package trade also involving Moore and McLaurin.
Dynasty Trade Analyzer
The dynasty trade analyzer allows us to find price points for trades for specific targets and picks. This powerful tool can be used to determine players and picks to equalize a trade based on value. In the example below, we used a two-player package with no 2020 picks to try and equalize value. This is a great tool to use if offered a trade and unsure as to how the value stacks up.
Twitter Polls
Never underestimate the usefulness of turning to Twitter when it comes to gathering value data. A simple poll can yield interesting results. Here, I paired McLaurin with a couple of other receivers based on recency, age, and some ADP rankings. Some of these led to interesting conversations, so feel free to check them out and weigh in.
Compiling data for a new article for @DLFootball
For a dynasty start-up, which receiver would you rather have?
— John Hesterman (@john_hesterman) February 15, 2020
Compiling data for a new article for @DLFootball
For a dynasty start-up, which receiver would you rather have?
— John Hesterman (@john_hesterman) February 15, 2020
Compiling data for a new article for @DLFootball
For a dynasty start-up, which receiver would you rather have?
— John Hesterman (@john_hesterman) February 15, 2020
Compiling data for a new article for @DLFootball
For a dynasty start-up, which receiver would you rather have?
— John Hesterman (@john_hesterman) February 15, 2020
Compiling data for a new article for @DLFootball
For a dynasty start-up, which receiver would you rather have?
— John Hesterman (@john_hesterman) February 15, 2020
Conclusion
The 2019 rookie receiver class showed up in a big way for fantasy scoring. It was not as prolific as the 2014 rookie class, but certainly the best since. By the time the season ended, three rookies had topped 900 or more receiving yards. McLaurin was among them with 919 yards to go along with his seven touchdowns. He led those same rookies with 13.7 fantasy points-per-game, edging out AJ Brown’s 13.0 average.
One could argue that the biggest factor holding McLaurin back last season was mediocre or downright dreadful quarterback play. As Haskins improves, the needle can only point up for the young receiver.
- 2024 NFL Draft: Rookies Who Landed in the Worst Situations for Dynasty Leagues - May 2, 2024
- March Dynasty ADP Risers and Fallers - April 3, 2024
- February Dynasty ADP Risers and Fallers - March 12, 2024
