Breaking Down Pre-Draft 2QB Dynasty ADP Data

Ryan McDowell Posted On April 13, 2018

I might be a bit biased, but I feel that dynasty average draft position (ADP) data is one of the most valuable tools a dynasty player can have. Unfortunately, those number of tools available for players preferring 2QB or super-flex leagues is limited. It is for that reason that I recently chose to conduct a series of five mock drafts to gauge the dynasty value of players in this growing league format as the 2018 NFL Draft nears.

In case you’re not familiar with the idea of a super-flex or 2QB league, it simply offers participants the option of starting an additional quarterback in their weekly lineup. While this might seem like a simple and straightforward adjustment, it is one that rocks the foundation of the league, including how owners build and manage their teams. In some ways, it is as simple as saying “quarterbacks are worth a lot more,” but in other ways, the changes are much more complex.

Personally, I tend to treat quarterbacks in this format as I do wide receivers in a typical league. I want as many top-end quarterbacks as I can get and they usually make up the majority of my cornerstone draft picks when building a team.

Next, I’ll go round-by-round, sharing the end of season 2QB ADP we’ve formed with some brief thoughts for the first few rounds.

[am4show have=’g1;’ guest_error=’sub_message’ user_error=’sub_message’ ]

Round One

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Hopkins, DeAndre	HOU	WR1	2.2	0.8
Gurley, Todd	LAR	RB1	2.8	2.2
Beckham, Odell	NYG	WR2	3.2	-0.9
Elliott, Ezekiel	DAL	RB2	5.2	2.1
Brown, Antonio	PIT	WR3	5.6	1.2
Wentz, Carson	PHI	QB1	6.4	1.4
Evans, Mike	TBB	WR4	8.2	0.6
Wilson, Russell	SEA	QB2	8.6	-0.6
Rodgers, Aaron	GBP	QB3	9	-5
Bell, Le'Veon	PIT	RB3	9.4	-3.6
Johnson, David	ARI	RB4	9.4	0.6
Barkley, Saquon	FA	RB5	11.4	N/A

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 3 (3)

RB- 5 (5)

WR- 4 (4)

TE- 0 (0)

The first round has a few surprises. First, the QB1, once again Eagles Carson Wentz, doesn’t come off the board until the middle of the round. I think it is very reasonable to consider the top quarterback as early as the 1.01. Secondly, seeing only a trio of quarterbacks falling into the first round of our ADP was another surprise. Finally, Aaron Rodgers falling to the QB3 spot is the closest thing you can get to a steal in the opening round.

Our previous 2QB ADP data didn’t include rookies, but here we see running back Saquon Barkley cracking the top 12, along with four other backs.

Round Two

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Kamara, Alvin	NOS	RB6	12.4	3.9
Thomas, Michael	NOS	WR5	12.8	2.5
Hunt, Kareem	KCC	RB7	16.4	3.6
Allen, Keenan	LAC	WR6	16.8	1.2
Watson, Deshaun	HOU	QB4	17	-3.5
Newton, Cam	CAR	QB5	20.4	-0.9
Cook, Dalvin	MIN	RB8	20.6	3.9
Adams, Davante	GBP	WR7	20.8	11.7
Fournette, Leonard	JAC	RB9	21.2	-6.2
Jones, Julio	ATL	WR8	21.2	-6.2
Hill, Tyreek	KCC	WR9	23.2	12.6
Garoppolo, Jimmy	SFO	QB6	24	17.3

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 3 (6)

RB- 4 (9)

WR- 5 (9)

TE- 0 (0)

Again, I’m amazed by the lack of quarterbacks in a format that makes them crucial. The second round has just three signal callers coming off the board, including upstart Jimmy Garoppolo, who will only continue to gain value. The 49ers quarterback was also one of the top risers since our winter data, climbing 17.3 spots. Interestingly enough, Packers receiver Davante Adams also jumped nearly a round, likely due to the departure of veteran Jordy Nelson.

Round Three

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Cooper, Amari	OAK	WR10	26	6.3
Luck, Andrew	IND	QB7	29	-4.7
Robinson, Allen	CHI	WR11	30	15.8
Goff, Jared	LAR	QB9	30.6	-0.6
Mariota, Marcus	TEN	QB8	30.6	-0.6
McCaffrey, Christian	CAR	RB10	30.6	-1.8
Green, A.J.	CIN	WR12	31	-7.2
Stafford, Matthew	DET	QB10	31.6	7.4
Diggs, Stefon	MIN	WR13	32	0
Cousins, Kirk	MIN	QB11	32.2	4.6
Gordon, Melvin	LAC	RB11	33.4	-10.4
Mixon, Joe	CIN	RB12	35.6	-1.3

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 5 (11)

RB- 3 (12)

WR- 4 (13)

TE- 0 (0)

Round three is where the long-awaited quarterback run finally takes place and we now see a near even distribution among quarterbacks, running backs and receivers. I love the value at all three positions in this round and see little difference between players available here and the previous round.

Round Four

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Mahomes, Patrick	KCC	QB12	36	19
Prescott, Dak	DAL	QB13	37	-16.7
Winston, Jameis	TBB	QB14	38.6	-12.3
Freeman, Devonta	ATL	RB13	41.8	-13.3
Cooks, Brandin	LAR	WR14	43	-14.5
Kelce, Travis	KCC	TE1	44	-5
Guice, Derrius	FA	RB14	45.8	N/A
Carr, Derek	OAK	QB15	47	-0.7
Thielen, Adam	MIN	WR15	48.6	0.9
Trubisky, Mitchell	CHI	QB16	49	14.5
Ryan, Matt	ATL	QB17	49.4	-4.6
Smith-Schuster, JuJu	PIT	WR16	50	2

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 6 (17)

RB- 2 (14)

WR- 3 (16)

TE- 1 (1)

By round four, there are still some young, high-upside quarterbacks available, namely Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott and Jameis Winston. Despite this ADP data, I’m not comfortable assuming these players last this long in a 2QB startup draft.

Round Five

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Landry, Jarvis	CLE	WR17	50.2	-5.4
Brady, Tom	NEP	QB18	52	-14.5
Davis, Corey	TEN	WR18	52.4	1.9
Hilton, T.Y.	IND	WR19	53.6	-10.6
Henry, Derrick	TEN	RB15	54.2	-3.7
Gronkowski, Rob	NEP	TE2	54.6	-21.6
Ertz, Zach	PHI	TE3	55.2	-1.4
Engram, Evan	NYG	TE4	55.6	-0.8
Howard, Jordan	CHI	RB16	56.8	-16.3
Watkins, Sammy	KCC	WR20	56.8	-4.3
Baldwin, Doug	SEA	WR21	57.2	-5.4
Brees, Drew	NOS	QB19	57.2	-4.2

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 2 (19)

RB- 2 (16)

WR- 5 (21)

TE- 3 (4)

Round Six

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Gordon, Josh	CLE	WR22	58.8	6.7
Chubb, Nick	FA	RB17	59.8	N/A
Rivers, Philip	LAC	QB20	60.4	2.6
Ingram, Mark	NOS	RB18	61.2	-0.7
Jeffery, Alshon	PHI	WR23	61.4	-3.6
Michel, Sony	FA	RB19	68.4	N/A
Mayfield, Baker	FA	QB21	68.6	N/A
Smith, Alex	WAS	QB22	69.2	10.3
McCoy, LeSean	BUF	RB20	71	-4.7
McKinnon, Jerick	SFO	RB21	71.6	58.9
Rosen, Josh	FA	QB23	72.6	N/A
Darnold, Sam	FA	QB24	74.4	N/A

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 5 (24)

RB- 5 (21)

WR- 2 (23)

TE- 0 (4)

Round Seven

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Jackson, Lamar	FA	QB25	74.8	N/A
Kupp, Cooper	LAR	WR24	76	13
Thomas, Demaryius	DEN	WR25	77	5.3
Penny, Rashaad	FA	RB22	77.2	N/A
Bryant, Dez	DAL	WR26	77.8	-16.5
Hyde, Carlos	CLE	RB23	78.6	-16.6
Funchess, Devin	CAR	WR27	80.2	-2.7
Jones, Marvin	DET	WR28	81	10.8
Roethlisberger, Ben	PIT	QB26	81.8	-8.3
Drake, Kenyan	MIA	RB24	83.6	25.2
Tate, Golden	DET	WR29	83.8	-9.5
Ajayi, Jay	PHI	RB25	84.2	-22.9

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 2 (26)

RB- 4 (25)

WR- 6 (29)

TE- 0 (4)

Round Eight

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Fuller, Will	HOU	WR30	84.2	-3.4
Henry, Hunter	LAC	TE5	84.2	-5.9
Sutton, Courtland	FA	WR31	84.6	N/A
Woods, Robert	LAR	WR32	85	8.3
Coleman, Tevin	ATL	RB26	85.8	-13.8
Jones, Ronald	FA	RB27	86.2	N/A
Crowder, Jamison	WAS	WR33	94.8	-6.8
Moore, D.J.	FA	WR34	95	N/A
Njoku, David	CLE	TE6	95.6	1.7
Shepard, Sterling	NYG	WR35	96.8	-14.5
Bortles, Blake	JAC	QB27	97.6	-27.3
Allen, Josh	FA	QB28	100.2	N/A

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 2 (28)

RB- 2 (27)

WR- 6 (35)

TE- 2 (6)

Round Nine

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Howard, O.J.	TBB	TE7	100.2	-10.7
Williams, Mike	LAC	WR36	100.4	-22.4
Washington, James	FA	WR37	100.8	N/A
Parker, DeVante	MIA	WR38	101	-41.2
Agholor, Nelson	PHI	WR39	101.4	1.1
Dalton, Andy	CIN	QB29	103.8	-16.5
Jones, Aaron	GBP	RB28	105.4	-23.6
Ridley, Calvin	FA	WR40	106.2	N/A
Johnson, Duke	CLE	RB29	106.6	-17.1
Freeman, Royce	FA	RB30	107	N/A
Taylor, Tyrod	CLE	QB30	109	-41.7
Lewis, Dion	TEN	RB31	109.8	15.7

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 2 (30)

RB- 4 (31)

WR- 5 (40)

TE- 1 (7)

Round Ten

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Cohen, Tarik	CHI	RB32	110.6	3.9
Rudolph, Kyle	MIN	TE8	110.8	-0.3
Fitzgerald, Larry	ARI	WR41	111.8	26.7
Godwin, Chris	TBB	WR42	112.2	24.1
Kirk, Christian	FA	WR43	112.6	N/A
Keenum, Case	DEN	QB31	114	-15.7
Collins, Alex	BAL	RB33	114.8	-4.8
Graham, Jimmy	GBP	TE9	115.6	-4.1
Johnson, Kerryon	FA	RB34	116.2	N/A
Foreman, D'Onta	HOU	RB35	116.4	-2.9
Golladay, Kenny	DET	WR44	116.8	-4.8
Miller, Lamar	HOU	RB36	119.6	-44.3

Players by Round (Running Total)

QB- 1 (31)

RB- 5 (36)

WR- 4 (44)

TE- 2 (9)

Remaining 2QB ADP

Player	Team	Position Rank	2QB Dynasty ADP	Change
Crabtree, Michael	BAL	WR45	120	-36.2
Thompson, Chris	WAS	RB37	120.2	-2.2
Kittle, George	SFO	TE10	121.4	-121.4
Doctson, Josh	WAS	WR46	123.2	-40.9
Tannehill, Ryan	MIA	QB32	124.6	-30.6
St. Brown, Equanimeous	FA	WR47	126	N/A
Olsen, Greg	CAR	TE11	126.6	-10.1
Goodwin, Marquise	SFO	WR48	127	12.5
Burton, Trey	CHI	TE12	128	113
Bryant, Martavis	PIT	WR49	129.6	-28.8
Crowell, Isaiah	NYJ	RB38	131.8	-28.5
Kelly, John	FA	RB39	133.8	N/A
Sanders, Emmanuel	DEN	WR50	134.8	-9.8
Garcon, Pierre	SFO	WR51	135.8	17.5
Westbrook, Dede	JAC	WR52	136.8	-35.8
Coleman, Corey	CLE	WR53	138	-60
Burkhead, Rex	NEP	RB40	140.4	-7.6
Nelson, Jordy	OAK	WR54	140.4	-52.6
Stills, Kenny	MIA	WR55	140.6	25.2
Cobb, Randall	GBP	WR56	143.2	-26.4
Mack, Marlon	IND	RB41	143.4	-40.4
Reed, Jordan	WAS	TE13	145	-13.2
Williams, Jamaal	GBP	RB42	146.2	-20.2
Flacco, Joe	BAL	QB33	146.6	-32.6
Ebron, Eric	IND	TE14	147.4	-5.1
Meredith, Cameron	CHI	WR57	148.8	-45.8
Benjamin, Kelvin	BUF	WR58	149	-45.2
Carson, Chris	SEA	RB43	149	-149
Edelman, Julian	NEP	WR59	149.4	-15.9
Anderson, C.J.	DEN	RB44	151.4	-24.9
Lee, Marqise	JAC	WR60	151.6	-7.8
Goedert, Dallas	FA	TE15	151.8	N/A
Anderson, Robby	NYJ	WR61	153.8	-41
Ballage, Kalen	FA	RB45	156.2	N/A
Doyle, Jack	IND	TE16	157	-14
Montgomery, Ty	GBP	RB46	157	-37.7
Bradford, Sam	ARI	QB34	159.8	-34.5
Gesicki, Mike	FA	TE17	159.8	N/A
Bernard, Giovani	CIN	RB47	160	-2.5
Manning, Eli	NYG	QB35	161.4	-17.6
Walker, Delanie	TEN	TE18	162	-0.2
Gallup, Michael	FA	WR62	162.6	N/A
Eifert, Tyler	CIN	TE19	163.6	-9.8
Hogan, Chris	NEP	WR63	163.8	-51.5
Walton, Mark	FA	RB48	164.4	N/A
Moncrief, Donte	JAC	WR64	164.6	-30.6
Booker, Devontae	DEN	RB49	167	-17.7
Rudolph, Mason	FA	QB36	167.4	N/A
Seferian-Jenkins, Austin	JAC	TE20	168	-31.7
Cole, Keelan	JAC	WR65	168.4	-168.4
Perine, Samaje	WAS	RB50	170	-45
Hooper, Austin	ATL	TE21	172	-46
Miller, Anthony	FA	WR66	173	N/A
McCarron, A.J.	BUF	QB37	174.6	-174.6
Matthews, Rishard	TEN	WR67	176.2	-23.4
Riddick, Theo	DET	RB51	176.6	-25.8
Hines, Nyheim	FA	RB52	176.8	N/A
Ross, John	CIN	WR68	177.6	-43.6
Williams, Tyrell	LAC	WR69	178.4	-19.9
Tate, Auden	FA	WR70	181.8	N/A
Clement, Corey	PHI	RB53	183	31
Chark, D.J.	FA	WR71	183.4	N/A
Andrews, Mark	FA	TE22	183.6	N/A
Bridgewater, Teddy	NYJ	QB38	184.2	-86.9
Richardson, Paul	WAS	WR72	185	-52.2
Matthews, Jordan	BUF	WR73	186.8	-34.5
Scarbrough, Bo	FA	RB54	187	N/A
White, James	NEP	RB55	187.4	-10.6
Sanu, Mohamed	ATL	WR74	188	-14.2
Jones, Zay	BUF	WR75	189	-67
Lockett, Tyler	SEA	WR76	191.6	-26.3
Smith, Jonnu	TEN	TE23	191.6	-32.6
Enunwa, Quincy	NYJ	WR77	192	-8.5
Samuel, Curtis	CAR	WR78	192	-51.2
Lynch, Marshawn	OAK	RB56	194.6	15.7
Breida, Matt	SFO	RB57	196	-196
Brate, Cameron	TBB	TE24	196.8	-28.5
Ekeler, Austin	LAC	RB58	197.6	-197.6
Hurns, Allen	DAL	WR79	200.4	6.1
Taylor, Trent	SFO	WR80	201	-201
Shaheen, Adam	CHI	TE25	203	-32
Clay, Charles	BUF	TE26	204.8	-2.5
Foles, Nick	PHI	QB39	206.3	-206.3
Barber, Peyton	TBB	RB59	207.6	-11.6
Murray, DeMarco	FA	RB61	208	-84
Yeldon, T.J.	JAC	RB60	208	-1
Butt, Jake	DEN	TE27	209.5	1.5
Pryor, Terrelle	NYJ	WR81	209.5	-63.7
Conner, James	PIT	RB62	210.6	-39.6
Henderson, Carlos	DEN	WR82	210.8	-17.3
Abdullah, Ameer	DET	RB63	211.3	-83.8
Lauletta, Kyle	FA	QB40	211.5	N/A
Cain, Deon	FA	WR83	212	N/A
Ware, Spencer	KCC	RB64	212	-34
Everett, Gerald	LAR	TE28	212.3	-38.5
Adams, Josh	FA	RB65	213.2	N/A
Treadwell, Laquon	MIN	WR84	213.8	-39
Hamilton, DaeSean	FA	WR85	215	N/A
Hill, Jeremy	NEP	RB66	217	-8.5
Pettis, Dante	FA	WR86	217.2	N/A
Dixon, Kenneth	BAL	RB67	218	-55.5
Reynolds, Josh	LAR	WR87	218	-18.5
Henderson, De'Angelo	DEN	RB68	219	22
Callaway, Antonio	FA	WR89	219.2	N/A
Hollins, Mack	PHI	WR88	219.2	-39.4
Seals-Jones, Ricky	ARI	TE29	221	20
Brown, John	BAL	WR90	224	-53
Gallman, Wayne	NYG	RB69	224	-54.5
Powell, Bilal	NYJ	RB70	224.3	-69.3
McCown, Josh	NYJ	QB41	225.3	-25.5
Smith, Tre'Quan	FA	WR91	226.8	N/A
Jackson, DeSean	TBB	WR92	228	-57.5
Jackson, Justin	FA	RB71	228.5	N/A
Taylor, Taywan	TEN	WR93	228.8	-57.8
Wilson, Albert	MIA	WR94	228.8	12.2
Ginn Jr., Ted	NOS	WR95	229.5	-3.2
McGuire, Elijah	NYJ	RB72	229.8	-59.3
Falk, Luke	FA	QB42	231.3	N/A
Hurst, Hayden	FA	TE30	231.5	N/A
Blount, LeGarrette	DET	RB73	232.5	-4
Prosise, C.J.	SEA	RB74	232.5	-56.2
Williams, Joe	SFO	RB75	234	-8.7
Samuels, Jaylen	FA	RB76	234.3	N/A
Griffin III, Robert	BAL	QB43	234.8	6.2
Gabriel, Taylor	CHI	WR96	235.3	-7.3
Edmonds, Chase	FA	RB77	235.5	N/A
Williams, Chad	ARI	WR97	235.5	-16.5
Amendola, Danny	MIA	WR98	236	5
Cook, Jared	OAK	TE31	236	-31.7
Cobbs, Simmie	FA	WR99	236.3	N/A
Martin, Doug	OAK	RB78	236.3	-69
Brissett, Jacoby	IND	QB44	237	-98.2
White, Kevin	CHI	WR100	237.3	-51.3
Mitchell, Malcolm	NEP	WR101	238.3	-61.8
Quinn, Trey	FA	WR102	238.3	N/A
Wadley, Akrum	FA	RB79	238.5	N/A
Grant, Corey	JAC	RB80	238.8	2.2
Lasley, Jordan	FA	WR103	239.3	N/A
Manziel, Johnny	FA	QB45	239.3	1.7
Gathers, Rico	DAL	TE32	239.5	-13
Kizer, DeShone	GBP	QB46	239.8	-113.5
Kearse, Jermaine	NYJ	WR104	240	1
Lazard, Allen	FA	WR105	240	N/A

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Author
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Ryan McDowell

Contributor at Dynasty League Football

In addition to his senior leadership role here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and PE teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the Kitchen Sink Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value.