Yes, I know. It’s not 2017 anymore. Well, since I’ve written one of these in December the last few years, and I appended the year each time, I didn’t want to confuse everyone. I thought of people asking me “where’s the 2017 version?” and I just couldn’t bear it. But hey, it is the 2017 fantasy off-season, after all, right? Right??
Anyhow, with my obtuse rationale for the title out of the way, let’s get to it. The keeper league off-season is a little different than standard dynasty leagues. You often have to make harder choices on who exactly you’re going to keep and who you’ll let go. This article is all about some players to think good and hard about as possible keeper trade targets or even players you can scoop up if other owners drop them.
As before, I’ll break it up into three sections depending on just how many players you keep each season. The goal here is to find players who I think can over-perform their current value within a given range. This also might be a good time to read my article about team evaluation – it helps to know where you stand before making your off-season moves. But first…
I thought I’d shake things up just a little this year and first take a brief look back at my picks last year before getting to this year’s crop of keeper targets. As expected when looking back, I had some hits and some misses.
I hit on Doug Baldwin, Michael Thomas, Mark Ingram, Dion Lewis and Jordan Howard. Not too shabby. Ingram and Lewis alone turned many a fantasy playoff matchup, and Michael Thomas was as good as advertised.
But it ain’t all sunshine and roses, as I ended up with egg on my face by picking guys like Josh Doctson, Kevin White, Thomas Rawls, Michael Floyd (Michael Floyd? You picked MICHAEL FLOYD?) and Tyler Lockett. Yes, it is quite a murderer’s row of fantasy let-downs, isn’t it? There are still glimmers of hope for Doctson and Lockett, at least, but things aren’t looking good for the other guys.
On to the 2017 (or 2018 or whatever you want to call them) picks!
3-4 Keeper League Targets
Jay Ajayi, RB PHI
Ajayi has been a bit of an odd bird, hasn’t he? I was one of those guys who invested fairly heavily in him last off-season, coming off his 2016 in Miami. I kept Ajayi myself last year in my own keeper league. But man, what a disappointing season. I do think, however, he found himself in the right place. I expect him to get more and more of the backfield share in Philly, and hope to see him as the lead back behind a very good offensive line next season. Now is the time to take advantage of other people’s disappointment in Jay Ajayi.
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