Football is back! And while a single data point is better than no data points, this was an incredibly weird week from which to draw conclusions. To that point, the offensive fireworks fizzled hard – excluding Monday Night Football (this article is authored every Monday afternoon), a whopping 17 NFL quarterbacks were held to 200 passing yards or fewer, with only two signal callers achieving 300+ passing yards. Further, there were only six 100+ yard runners, including Lamar Jackson who is not, in fact, a ball carrier. So while there may still be some actionable information as we seek to discern the signal amongst the noise, as far as I’m concerned NFL week one comes complete with a monstrous asterisk.
Disclaimer time! Now that real, live football is upon us, I need to clarify the overarching rationale behind my advice. As you’re well aware by the fact you’ve come to a website entitled dynastyleaguefootball.com, we’re still taking a long view into account in addition to each player’s weekly (and year-to-date) output. Therefore and for example, when I say a player is a “buy high,” it’s not solely due to the week he just had. Instead, guidance will also take into account his current stature in tools such as DLF’s ADP and rankings, in addition to how he performed.
Much as in previous iterations of this weekly series, I will list one player apiece who I’ve bucketed into the following categories:
- Buy low
- Buy high
- Sell low / Drop
- Sell high
- Add (Big Bucks)
- Add (Pennies)
One last note, as I’m referencing DLF ADP and rankings, advice herein is for a 12-team, non-superflex setting with full PPR scoring. Divergent league settings (both for starting positions and scoring) hopefully shouldn’t render this advice as not actionable, but it’s an important disclaimer nonetheless.
With that preamble in hand, here are the tactical transactions you should consider before week two:
Week 1 Line: 1-1-0 (2 targets), 5-35-0 (rushing)
As the to-date PPR TE22, Hill wasn’t out there winning weeks. But the Saints-Panthers contest was a very effective microcosm as to exactly why we shouldn’t regard these single data points as gospel. To that point, New Orleans jumped out to an early and insurmountable 30-0 lead, eventually defeating hapless Carolina by 37 points. Apart from quarterback Derek Carr’s sudden turn into efficiency and Alvin Kamara’s RB1 lockdown, I’m not taking too much away from a blowout that resulted in 11 Jamaal Williams carries.
