2024 Off-Season Mock Drafts: Movement in Superflex Startups

It's the time of year when everyone seems to be focused on rookies and rookie drafts, so I thought it would be a good time to pivot and go another direction. I wanted to look at mock draft data from February, before we had rookie landing spots or combine numbers, and compare that against the most recent mock draft data from May. I wanted to see how the rookies' ADP was moving among the veterans and how the veterans' ADP was being impacted by the rookies. There were a few surprises and a few predictable movers as well, so let's take a look at who's ADP has fluctuated the most over the last three months.

Rookies Movin’ Up

Not surprisingly, JJ McCarthy was a big mover. If you can recall, back in February, there were a lot of detractors, and we still weren't 100% sure McCarthy was even going to declare for the NFL draft. The hype train started building, and in the end, we saw McCarthy wind up as a top-ten pick, and this was reflected in his ADP. He was 55th overall in February as QB23; now he is 37th overall as QB19. I'm a biased McCarthy fan, but that seems low to me. Even if you don't believe in the talent, he's got Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, TJ Hockenson, and Aaron Jones to throw to. You could argue he's got the most well-rounded options among all the rookie quarterbacks.