This article is the third installment of a series in which I use my Observational Rushing Numbers to shed light on just how good the 2017 rookie running backs were at carrying the ball. You can find each previous article about these numbers on the series’s hub, including similar articles about Christian McCaffrey and Joe Mixon.
Leonard Fournette entered the summer of 2017 as the dynasty community’s clear favorite running back and a close second-overall to Corey Davis. Fast forward a year, and it’s hard for Fournette owners to complain about what he’s done in Jacksonville. With the help of some incredible volume, Fournette topped 1,300 yards in just 13 games during his rookie campaign, and as a result, he sits comfortably in the middle of the second round of DLF’s startup ADP.
There is some cause for concern though. It will be hard (i.e. nearly impossible) for him to sustain such high volume in the long run. And if that volume drops off more than expected, he’ll need rushing efficiency to make up for it — better efficiency than 3.9 rushing yards per carry, certainly.
Today, I’ll be looking into how and why he churned out that mediocre clip, and how that might change in the future, with the help of my Observational Rushing Numbers.
(I’ve taken these tracking stats from weeks 1-14 for each rookie running back with at least 75 carries. If you’re wondering what any of the stats mean in a fuller sense, check the series glossary.)
At a glance
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