As a dynasty manager, imagine having the ability to accurately predict the future performance of a player, based on the past…
In this new series I’ll be exploring Dynasty Archetypes: a method of predicting future player fantasy production, based upon grouping players with similar traits, usage, and output. By understanding a player projection or expected journey based on the results of similar player types, it is easier to calculate the range of outcomes of the asset and facilitate the optimal team build.
The first article in the series focuses on the cornerstone of any successful dynasty team, the position that should be central to your strategy regardless of the stage within the dynasty cycle - quarterback. The archetypes used are relatively simple, with the key driver focusing on the percentage of rushing fantasy points per game (RFPPG) in relation to overall fantasy points per game (OFPPG). The parameters for the quarterback archetypes are the following: 0-10% RFPPG for Pocket Passer, 10-30% Balanced, and 30%+ Dual-Threat quarterback.
Quarterback Archetypes:
Dual-Threat
The most coveted quarterback archetype, dual-threat quarterback is the perfect combination of fantasy ceiling and floor, where a high-end outcome provides a game-changing edge within your dynasty leagues. The dual-threat archetype is a player with dynamic ability as a rusher, in conjunction with a solid or developing passing game.
This archetype is clouded by a number of common misconceptions, firstly that a quarterback who is more proficient as a runner and less as a passer is more risky with a lower floor on any given fantasy matchup. Think of it this way, in traditional four-point passing touchdown leagues, a 55 yard passing touchdown equates to the same amount as a two yard rushing touchdown (6.2 fantasy points). Any time a dual-threat quarterback is in your lineup, the weekly floor and ceiling are higher.
