2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts: A View from the 1.02

For many dynasty players, the highlight of the off-season is the annual rookie draft, and we are now mere days away from many of those drafts kicking off. Once our respective dynasty teams are eliminated from contention (and sometimes even before), we tend to turn our attention to the incoming rookie class, and delusions of grandeur take over. In fact, dynasty players spend nearly the entire off-season preparing for how they will use their draft picks or if they will use them at all.

In this twelve-part series, our team will use the latest data available here at Dynasty League Football, namely our April Superflex Rookie ADP and the Dynasty Trade Finder, to ensure you are as prepared as possible when your draft begins. Based on our most recent ADP data, we’ll suggest the player you could soon be adding to your team, and if you don’t like that, we’ll also include a potential pivot option. In addition, we’ll include options based on the updated 1QB rookie ADP for those who play in that format. Finally, using the Dynasty Trade Finder, we’ll examine some recent trades that have taken place with each specific draft pick.

We all know the first round of rookie drafts includes the players we’ve been hearing about for months, if not years, but difference-makers can be found in the second round and beyond, as well. Because of that, we’ll also address the other picks that accompany each respective first-round draft slot.

Rookie Selection 1.02

The Pick: Marvin Harrison Jr, WR

I think the 1.02 is an excellent spot to be sitting in superflex rookie drafts. The chances are your team isn’t very good and could use help at multiple different positions and that’s okay because you know you’re getting either Caleb Williams or Marvin Harrison Jr. Currently based on ADP, Williams is the 1.01 and MHJ is the 1.02. I think that will be the order in most drafts but I’m sure there will be plenty of situations where the person picking first will go with Harrison Jr and Caleb Williams is an excellent consolation prize.

Harrison Jr is being billed as the best WR prospect in over a decade and all the praise is rightfully deserving. The son of a Hall of Fame pass-catcher dominated in his last two seasons at Ohio State with 144 catches for 2,474 yards and 28 touchdowns. During that time he was insanely efficient with 3.30 yards per route run and over 3 yards per team pass attempt, both of which are incredible marks.

There’s very little chance Harrison Jr makes it out of the top five in next week’s NFL draft and his dynasty is fairly insulated for the foreseeable future even if he does have a mildly disappointing freshman season. Harrison is by far the safest prospect in this class and still has overall dynasty WR1 upside. I’d need a king’s ransom to trade out of this spot.

Trade Value:

Possible Pivots:

1QB League Options:

Rookie Selection 2.02

The Pick: Jonathon Brooks, RB

I’m a Brooks believer and have him as my RB1 in this class even after accounting for the ACL injury that could cause a slow year one. Brooks benefits from the weak competition provided by the other backs in this class, but I also think he has the whole package.

2023 was his first real opportunity to show his skillset after waiting patiently behind Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson at Texas the prior two seasons. In only 10 games prior to his injury, Brooks amassed 1,135 yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground and added 25 receptions for 286 yards and a touchdown in the receiving game.

Brooks is excellent between the tackles and in space. He can make defenders miss and forced 63 missed tackles in only 10 games for a .336 missed tackles forced rate. Brooks also ran for 4.13 yards after contact per attempt which is the 2nd best mark in this entire 2024 class.

With all that being said, the 2.02 does feel a bit rich for my liking when you consider the fact that he will be recovering from an ACL tear late in the season. When you see some of the potential trades below I’d be willing to move the 2.02 for the right price.

Trade Value:

Possible Pivots:

1QB League Options:

Rookie Selection 3.02

The Pick: Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE

We have another Texas Longhorn sighting as Sanders is currently projected as the 3.02 in superflex rookie drafts. Sanders is sitting pretty comfortably as the TE2 in the class with virtually no way for that to change. He is currently being selected 18 spots behind the TE1 Brock Bowers, and he is being selected 17 spots ahead of the TE3 Theo Johnson.

I may be on an island here, but I’m completely out on Sanders at this ADP. All of the prevailing studies on tight ends transitioning to the NFL from college state that athleticism is of the utmost importance and his testing was troublesome. He only registered an RAS of 5.75 and his explosive testing was awful. He redeemed himself with a decent 40 time, but at his size, a fast forty was almost a necessity. This lack of athleticism manifested itself on the field. Sanders broke only 11 tackles his entire college career on 99 receptions for only a .11 missed tackle forced rate which would put him in the 45th percentile dating back to 2018.

Already not being the biggest fan of the talent, the opportunity cost of drafting Sanders makes him a complete pass for me. I’d much rather take one of the day two WRs like Ricky Pearsall, Malachi Corley, or Ja’Lynn Polk who are all going within two spots of Sanders at the 3.02. Especially when you can draft Ben Sinnott or Theo Johnson in the fourth round who might be better prospects than Sanders.

Trade Value:

Possible Pivots:

  • Ricky Pearsall
  • Malachi Corley

1QB League Options:

andrew francesconi