There are certainly many reasons that Jackson may not return to 2019-level fantasy production, several of which John Di Bari discusses. However, it is important to note a few things regarding Jackson’s injuries the last two seasons. First, neither of his major injuries came on rushing plays…in both cases, he was in the pocket. Second, evidence does not support running QBs being at greater risk of injury than pocket passers (and there is likely a significant difference in risk for those who seek contact, like Cam Newton, and those that look to avoid it, like Jackson). And third, I am always surprised that “injury history” is called out so easily for Jackson, while QBs like Joe Burrow have a worse one (ACL tear that cost him most of a season, an MCL sprain that would have cost multiple games if it didn’t happen in the Super Bowl, and this latest calf strain that will likely wipe out this preseason). Calling out Jackson’s recent injuries as somehow unique amongst elite QBs or more significant when it comes to calculating future risk does not seem well-supported by the facts.
Agree with this comment 100%. I am new to DLF, and to be honest, I find much of the “analysis” on the site not well supported by facts. There are a lot of “vibes” and narratives thrown around without numbers or intelligent analysis to back them up.
The point about “less running means fewer fantasy points” is also a bit simplistic and strange as 2019 showed Jackson has 40 passing TD potential, and throwing for 3000+ yards in a run-heavy offense shows he can potentially put up QB1 numbers passing-wise if given the right environment (scheme and weaponry). Monken was brought in to help create that environment. I guess the point was to be all negative in that section, but I echo that some assertions don’t seem to be well-supported by facts.
