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Monday Mocks: 2022 Off-Season Movement

Our drafters pick their top free agency movers of the off-season based on their dynasty value.

Welcome to Monday Mocks, where I’ll bring you… you guessed it, a new mock draft every Monday during the off-season. In my opinion, drafting is the best part of fantasy football, so I do as much of that as I can. This series will be filled with all types of mocks. We’ll draft startups, rookies, devys and more.

Believe it or not, the NFL’s wild free agency period began just three weeks ago. In that time, we’ve been served up with multiple franchise quarterbacks being traded and monster contracts given to the best wide receivers in the game. With so many players on the move, and each seeing their dynasty value impacted, I made those players the focus of this week’s Monday Mock.

Thanks to fellow DLFers who joined me in the superflex snake mock draft, in this order…

  • Matt Price
  • Mike Faiella
  • Steve Gill
  • Rob Willette
  • Dan Meylor
  • John Hogue
  • John Hesterman
  • Ryan McDowell
  • Jeff Smith
  • Shane Manila
  • Nathan Powell
  • Dave Wright

ROUND ONE

1.01 Deshaun Watson, QB CLE

It was announced a few weeks ago that Watson would not face criminal charges related to the 22 accusations of sexual assault. That cleared the path for a trade from the Texans and after a multi-team courtship that was reminiscent of a season of The Bachelor, Watson surprisingly landed in Cleveland. The massive contract awarded to Watson along with the assumption he will be eligible to play the majority of the upcoming season has his dynasty value rising quickly. Consider him a top-ten dynasty superflex value moving forward.

1.02 Russell Wilson, QB DEN

After a pair of disappointing seasons, or at least the back-half of the past two seasons, Wilson’s value had taken a major hit and dynasty managers were questioning if he was finished as a high-end producer. The trade to Denver, announced minutes after Aaron Rodgers announced he would stay with the Packers, seems to have rejuvenated Wilson’s dynasty value. The idea of tossing balls to Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton has Wilson moving back up rankings and superflex ADP data.

1.03 Davante Adams, WR LV

This one was a major shocker! Following Rodgers’ decision to stick with the Pack, everyone assumed the team and star receiver Adams would work out a long-term deal. It turns out he wasn’t interested in that, preferring to play with college quarterback Derek Carr. The Packers granted him that wish and got a stash of picks in return. Adams’s value will fall as a result of the quarterback downgrade, not to mention more target competition than he’s ever had in Green Bay.

1.04 Chris Godwin, WR TB

The Bucs are having an amazing off-season. Not only did they get quarterback Tom Brady back but they locked in Godwin for what already looks like an excellent value. Tampa chose to place the Franchise Tag on their star receiver, ensuring he’d remain part of the team for the 2022 season and the two sides eventually agreed to a three-year, $60 million deal. Godwin’s value had already been falling as a result of the presumed quarterback downgrade as well as his late-season ACL injury. Expect his ADP to steadily rise throughout the upcoming months.

1.05 Tyreek Hill, WR MIA

Things move fast in the NFL these days. NFL insiders reported the Chiefs and Hill had broken off contracts talks and the receiver was seeking a trade. A couple of hours later and the Cheetah was sprinting to South Beach and the new weapon for Tua Tagovailoa. Just like Adams, Hill’s value will fall due to the massive quarterback downgrade. A recent Twitter poll I posted showed that a large majority of dynasty players preferred Jaylen Waddle to his new teammate Hill. Expect our April dynasty ADP to show that as well.

1.06 Amari Cooper, WR CLE

The Cowboys dealt Cooper away to the Browns nearly a month ago and that move kicked off the wild past few weeks around the league. What seemed like a horrible move for Cooper’s value and expected production at first eventually became an acceptable landing spot after Cleveland snagged Watson. As of now, Cooper is slated to serve as the Browns’ top receiving option but his dynasty value still hasn’t moved much. He represents a massive tier drop from Hill, selected just one spot earlier.

1.07 Allen Robinson, WR LAR

After a frustrating final season in Chicago, Robinson’s dynasty value had slowly disappeared. His ADP dropped from 38 overall in August to his all-time low of 90 in February. Despite the obvious expectation that Robinson would finally find an adequate quarterback to play with, his value didn’t start to increase until he landed in one of the best possible spots, with the Rams. With Robert Woods gone and Odell Beckham waiting things out as an injured free agent, Robinson will step right into one of the league’s top offenses as the second option.

1.08 JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR KC

Like Robinson, Smith-Schuster had seen his once lofty dynasty value tumble after recent struggles and missing much of last season with an injury. He badly needed a change of scenery and got it when he signed with the Chiefs. Any player landing with Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City is sure to see a value spike. That spike was felt again after the Chiefs traded Hill, potentially giving Smith-Schuster an even larger role.

1.09 Jameis Winston, QB NO

It took a couple of weeks for the two sides to agree, as the Saints flirted with acquiring Watson, but in the end, Winston is back in New Orleans. Seemingly out of options, the Saints gave Winston low-end starter’s money, agreeing to a two-year, $28 million deal. The team then suggested Taysom Hill was done as a quarterback and eventually signed veteran backup Andy Dalton. While New Orleans could still use an early pick on a rookie, Winston’s job seems safe in 2022.

1.10 Mike Williams, WR LAC

After five weeks of the 2021 NFL season, Williams was the overall WR2. He was playing the best ball of his career, but his play quickly tailed off and his dynasty value began to fall back to pre-season levels. The good news for Williams and his dynasty managers is that the Chargers were intent on keeping the free agent in town. While they were planning on using the Franchise Tag on him, the two sides agreed on a three-year, $60 million deal, essentially identical to Godwin’s deal with the Buccaneers. Williams likely never reaches the heights of early in the 2021 year but can maintain a level as a fantasy starter and top-30 dynasty receiver.

1.11 Leonard Fournette, RB TB

Once future Hall of Famer Brady announce his un-retirement, it was all systems go for the Buccaneers to get the gang back together. Though they had previously shown relatively little interest in re-signing Fournette, Tampa Bay eventually gave the veteran back a three-year, $21 million deal. With Ronald Jones gone, Fournette’s opportunity should only increase. Expect him once again to be a fantasy difference-maker at a discounted cost.

1.12 Christian Kirk, WR JAC

Kirk was the man who got this all started. After signing a shocking $84 million deal with the Jaguars, he was the talk of the league. Some even consider this the first domino that eventually led to Adams and Hill being traded by their long-time teams. Kirk has never been the top option for a team and considering the Jaguars depth chart, he still might not be. This is a player dynasty managers should be wary of when it comes to chasing the money.

ROUND TWO

2.01 Matt Ryan, QB IND

2.02 James Conner, RB ARI

2.03 Michael Gallup, WR DAL

2.04 Mitchell Trubisky, QB PIT

2.05 Dalton Schultz, TE DAL

2.06 Mike Gesicki, TE MIA

2.07 Carson Wentz, QB WAS

2.08 DJ Chark, WR DET

2.09 Marcus Mariota, QB ATL

2.10 Noah Fant, TE SEA

2.11 Robert Woods, WR TEN

2.12 Chase Edmonds, RB MIA

ROUND THREE

3.01 Rashaad Penny, RB SEA

3.02 Ronald Jones, RB KC

3.03 Cordarrelle Patterson, RB ATL

3.04 Raheem Mostert, RB MIA

3.05 Zach Ertz, TE ARI

3.06 David Njoku, TE CLE

3.07 Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR KC

3.08 Evan Engram, TE JAC

3.09 Auden Tate, WR ATL

3.10 Russell Gage, WR TB

3.11 James Washington, WR DAL

3.12 Jamison Crowder, WR BUF

ROUND FOUR

4.01 Gerald Everett, TE LAC

4.02 Hayden Hurst, TE CIN

4.03 JD McKissic, RB WAS

4.04 CJ Uzomah, TE NYJ

4.05 Drew Lock, QB SEA

4.06 Tre’Quan Smith, WR NO

4.07 Robert Tonyan, TE GB

4.08 D’Onta Foreman, RB CAR

4.09 Jeff Wilson Jr, RB SF

4.10 Austin Hooper, TE TEN

4.11 Braxton Berrios, WR NYJ

4.12 Boston Scott, RB PHI

Ryan McDowell
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Monday Mocks: 2022 Off-Season Movement
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