Devy Stock Market
The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable, whether it be to buy or sell.
Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
Hubba Hubba for Chuba – Chuba Hubbard, RB Oklahoma State
Hubbard has had one of the most impressive starts to the season in college football. He leads all of Division One football with 521 rushing yards, and that is even after rushing for 44 yards in week two against McNeese State. In his other two games, Hubbard has been nearly unstoppable, averaging 8.2 yards per carry with 477 rushing yards and three touchdowns in each game.
With production like that, he will quickly enter that top tier of D’Andre Swift, Jonathan Taylor, Travis Etienne, and Cam Akers. From a market perspective, I do think his price will take some time to catch up to his production, so this is a good opportunity to buy him before he’s priced as a top-five devy running back.
If he is already priced there, I think he’s a firm hold, and if you are going to buy, it should be with one of the other top backs with the team getting Hubbard getting something on top with the redshirt sophomore back.
Turnovers for Trevor – Trevor Lawrence, QB Clemson
Quarterbacks in devy fantasy football consistently have the highest variance when it comes to value throughout their college career. Christian Hackenberg is the example everyone uses when talking about hype gone wrong after a freshman season. Now, I don’t think we are quite there yet with Trevor Lawrence, but he has not had the start to 2019 that many had hoped when they valued him as the top devy asset in superflex leagues this off-season.
Lawrence’s adjusted yards per attempt has dipped from 9.3 to 7.3 through three games. After throwing only five interceptions on 397 pass attempts in 2018, Lawrence has already matched that total in 2019 on only 97 pass attempts. Strangely, I don’t think anyone in the devy community is reacting to the rough start to the season.
With that lack of reaction, I think it would be prudent for Lawrence owners to shop him for one of the top players in 2019 like Tua Tagovoila, Jerry Jeudy or one of the top running backs. If you can forgo the risk of another year of college football and get a similar level of prospect, I think that would be a good move with a player who has disappointed in 2019 thus far and no one has seemed to notice.
Sage is All the Rage – Sage Surratt, WR Wake Forest
Sage Surratt is quickly emerging as one of the best big wide receivers in college football in 2019. At 6’3” 215 pounds, Surratt showed glimpses of a breakout behind Greg Dortch with 581 receiving yards and four touchdowns as a redshirt freshman. Now, with Dortch gone, Surratt is emerging as the top option in the Wake Forest offense.
Surratt has at least six catches and a touchdown in each of the first three games, eclipsing 150 receiving yards and 18 yards per catch in two of those games. As a redshirt sophomore, Surratt is not a likely candidate to leave school early, which will make him one of the more intriguing options in devy drafts next off-season.
Stellar Senior – Charles Williams, RB UNLV
In 2016, Charles Williams showed promise as one of the best young running backs in college football with 763 rushing yards in his freshman season. Over the next two seasons, Williams battled injuries as he played only nine games, rushing for 415 yards with a 5.4 yards per carry.
In 2019, Williams is showing why he might be one of the best under-the-radar options in rookie drafts in devy leagues. He has over 140 yards rushing and a touchdown in each game thus far this season, totaling 455 rushing yards and six touchdowns to go with a 9.1 yards per carry.
A Jolt for Johnson – Tyler Johnson, WR Minnesota
Senior Tyler Johnson entered the season as one of the most highly ranked wide receivers in college football. The 6’2” 205-pound wide receiver had 1,169 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, good for a 43% market share of the teams receiving yards and 60% of the teams receiving touchdowns. Many were surprised when he returned to Minnesota for his senior season.
In 2019, Johnson had a slow start to the season with only seven catches for 99 receiving yards in the first two games. Last week against Georgia Southern, Johnson showed what we expected to see out of him in 2019 with 10 catches for 140 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Johnson is likely owned in all devy leagues and will be a first-round rookie pick in non-devy leagues next Spring.
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: August - August 5, 2023
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: June - June 9, 2023
- Dynasty Commish Calendar: May - May 3, 2023
