Devy Stock Market: Week One

Nathan Powell

The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable, whether that means buy or sell.

Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.

Stock Up

Kings Stay Kings – N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State

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Throughout the 2018 off-season, N’Keal Harry was widely regarded as one of the top two wide receivers in the 2019 class and many had him as the top overall devy asset in college football. Harry showed why that was the case in his first game of the year, with a line of six catches, 140 receiving yards, and two touchdowns, including some highlight-reel runs after the catch, showing his ability once he gets the ball in his hands. Some worried that the incompetence of new head coach Herm Edwards may slow down Harry and his excellent college production, but that certainly wasn’t the case in week one.

Juwan Jumps Into RB1 role – Juwan Washington, RB San Diego State

The San Diego State RB1 has been a production machine in each of the last two seasons with Donnel Pumphrey putting up 2,364 total yards in 2016 and 17 touchdowns, followed by Rashaad Penny with 2383 total yards and 25 total touchdowns in 2017.

In 2018, enter RB1 Juwan Washington, who continued the big stat lines at the running back position with 24 carries for 158 rushing yards and one touchdown in week one against Stanford. Washington is likely unowned outside of the deepest of devy leagues, but he is a name to watch out for after the team’s leading rusher in 2017 went in the first round of the NFL draft.

Trayveon Back On Track – Trayveon Williams, RB Texas A&M

Williams had an outstanding freshman season at Texas A&M in 2016, rushing for 1,057 yards and eight touchdowns, to go with a 6.8 yards per carry.

During the 2017 off-season, Williams was ranked as one of the top 2019-eligible running backs after his success against the SEC. However, his 2017 season was not as fruitful as he failed to eclipse 800 rushing yards or five yards per carry, despite getting 17 more carries than his freshman season.

In week one, Williams showed he may be back to the player we saw in 2016, as he ran for 240 yards on only 20 carries – good for a clip of 12 yards per carry – against Northwestern State.

No Senior Slouch – J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, WR Stanford

Players entering their senior season get a bad reputation in the devy community with many questioning why – if they are good enough to be NFL players – they would return for a final season.

Arcega-Whiteside wasn’t a player hyped at all this past off-season. After minimal contributions in his first two college seasons, he posted a respectable line of 48-781-9 touchdowns – nothing crazy that would grab the attention of scouts or devy players.

Arcega-Whiteside did grab the attention of scouts and devy players with his week one performance, putting up 226 receiving yards on only six catches with three of those ending in the end zone. He could end up being one of the rare occasions that a player slips through the devy cracks and ends up going high in rookie drafts in devy leagues.

Stock Down

I Don’t Love It – Bryce Love, RB Stanford

In his first season as the lead back after Christian McCaffrey entered the NFL, Love surprised many by injecting himself into the Heisman conversation with 2,151 total yards and 19 touchdowns. He surprised everyone once again by not capitalizing on his big season and returning to Stanford for his senior season.

As mentioned above, even with the numbers Love put up, seniors tend to get a good amount of disrespect in the devy format, so he still looked to be undervalued going in the late first/early second range of many drafts. Those who faded Love may be grinning – at least for one week – after his disappointing performance against San Diego State, where he ran for 29 yards on 18 carries, an average of 1.6 yards per carry.

For those who still believe in Love’s talent and didn’t buy this off-season, this is a great opportunity to buy as he will likely have an 18 carry for 182 yards type game sooner rather than later.

So……. Shea? – Shea Patterson, QB Michigan

The opinions on Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson were very diverse, even before he stepped foot on the Michigan campus. Patterson was the Ole Miss starting quarterback to start the season in 2017, after being ranked number one at his position in the 2016 recruiting class.

Patterson had an 8.4 AY/A (adjusted yards per attempt) with 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions before an injury ended his 2017 season. Hugh Freeze’s NCAA infractions ended Patterson’s Ole Miss career and allowed him to transfer and play immediately at Michigan.

Entering the season, some ranked Patterson as high as QB1 among 2019 eligible quarterbacks, while others claimed he wasn’t good enough to hold a starting job in college football. In week one, it looked more like the latter as Patterson struggled against the Notre Dame pass rush. Patterson had a porous 6.1 AY/A to go with zero touchdowns and one interception in the Michigan loss. As someone who has Patterson in a number of superflex devy leagues, I will be shopping him for similarly-valued devy quarterbacks as soon as Patterson has his first big game at Michigan.


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