Dynasty Fantasy Football Trades
Taking advantage of potential valuation trends in the trade market is imperative. That is even more true during the season when players can experience wild valuation changes on a week-to-week basis. Each week, I will be highlighting some players you should be looking to move or acquire and the reasons why:
Buy - Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC
I am a huge fan of buying superstar quarterbacks whenever there is an opportunity for a buy window. Yes, I said superstar, and I believe Lawrence is a superstar quarterback. He has played okay this year but has been hugely let down by a poor offensive line, wide receiver production, and scheme. The issue with the Jaguars is that their offensive line is so poor that they can't run the ball with any success. Because of this, they are running a massive number of screens to try and offset the lack of a ground game. They run the second most screens in the league yet are 32nd in EPA on WR and TE Screens.
If you improve the offensive line, you will allow this offense to be balanced and remove the need to try and replicate a ground game with screens. This will allow Lawrence to destroy in the short to intermediate areas of the field where he is truly elite. Add into that Lawrence is still only 24 and will be going into his third real season in the NFL (nobody can count the Urban Meyer year). It is absolutely realistic he can take the leap. From a fantasy perspective, Lawrence is the QB11, averaging 16.8 points per game with 6 of 14 weeks as a top 12 producer and 12 of 14 as a top 24 producer.
Lawrence was the QB10 in December ADP and given his injury and limited production in recent weeks, I would expect that to drop in January. If you can buy him right now for two future first-round picks, I would do that in an instant. I think there is a real outcome where Lawrence is a top-five quarterback by the middle of the next year.
Buy - Tyjae Spears, RB TEN
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