My favorite Trading Post articles to write are the ones where I don’t really know the direction or the answer at the end of the rainbow. Is this player a buy, sell, or hold? There are so many things that get taken into consideration when putting one of those labels on a player. Even still, when someone says, “Hey Russ, what should I be doing with Player X?”, I at least have a gut reaction, if not already know how I feel. Every once in a while there are certain players who have so many questions around them right now that it becomes really hard to pick which label. And when I get asked about those specific players my initial reaction is to delete my Twitter account and hide in the corner of the basement curled in a ball, crying. What can I say? I have a flair for the dramatic.
The real answer, when I get asked about those players, is to do what I am about to do. Look up ADP, check out the DLF Trade Finder and Trade Analyzer, and see how other people in the world are feeling right now. When I get to a certain point in that research, my gut will say: “Wait, this all feels way too low” or “Dang, that value is way up there”. That is when I find my answer. Not when I see the results of the research but when I register that first initial gut reaction to what I found.
A few days ago my friend Kenny messaged me on Discord and asked: “What are you doing with Tua Tagovailoa, are you keeping or trading him?”. My response was: “I honestly have no idea. Might write next week's trading post article on him. If you aren't getting full value I would hold.” The second I hit the send button I thought to myself: “Please don’t ask me what full value is…” So here I am, writing this week’s Trading Post article about...
