The NFL Draft is behind us, rookie drafts are taking place, and as dynasty owners, we are looking ahead to the upcoming season. In the Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Update series, we break down all the incoming fantasy-relevant rookies, looking at their profiles and where they fit.
Name: Jerome Ford
Position: Running Back
Pro Team: Cleveland Browns
College Team: Cincinnati Bearcats
Draft Status: Fifth round, 155th overall
- Moves laterally very well
- Has the speed to be dangerous in the open field
- Runs with good short-area quickness
- Feet are smooth
- Tough to tackle in one-on-one situations
- Finishes his runs with power at the point of contact
- Displays soft hands in the receiving game
- Vision is good, but there are instances where he will run into his blockers or miss a running lane
- His mental processing during his approach to the line of scrimmage needs improvement
- Not explosive off his first step
Kareem Hunt is expected to hit free agency at the end of this season. If Ford can prove to be more than functional, then he could insert himself into Hunt’s role as early as next year. He’s a cheaper option who could spell Nick Chubb when needed. The other running backs on the roster are journeymen who shouldn’t prevent him from climbing the depth chart.
It’s a very real possibility that the Browns let Hunt walk in free agency next season. If Ford shows any signs of life, then he could be the second running back on the depth chart by default. All he has to do is play well this season and capture every opportunity that comes his way and we could see him carve out a larger role in the offense sooner than later.
Hunt is just another fifth-round running back who could easily get pushed to the edge of the depth chart by someone the Browns acquire either through the draft or free agency. The team could even re-sign Hunt. Just because Ford is currently on the roster, doesn’t mean he will get every opportunity to succeed.
The Browns have next to zero draft capital invested in him. The sunk cost is minimal, making it easy for them to move on from him or replace him. Ford needs to play well out of the gate to prevent the team from making another investment at the running back position.
Dynasty gamers should expect him to work his way to being the RB3 on the roster. If he can’t make it that far up the depth chart then we have to question whether he has enough gusto in his game to compete at the NFL level. He should be able to beat out D’Ernest Johnson, Demetric Felton, and John Kelly for a larger role in the offense. We should see him surpass those running backs sometime this season.
His usage should be minimal during his rookie year. The only way he receives a larger workload than expected is if something happens to either Chubb or Hunt. Considering the attrition we see year after year at the running back position, this is not outside the realm of possibilities.
Best-case scenario, he works his way up the depth chart and earns some version of Hunt’s role as either the passing-down back or just the guy who spells Chubb when necessary. There could be instances, due to injuries to other running backs, when he is the lead back for a few weeks at a time. This would make him a hot waiver wire add in redraft leagues. In this situation, his dynasty value would be a trendy mid-late round pick in startup drafts.
The worst-case scenario is pretty obvious. We could see him follow the path of many late-round prospects and just fall out of the league. He might hang out at the back of the depth chart for some time but never see the field long enough to deliver any fantasy production.
Both scenarios are possible. Landing in the middle of those scenarios would mean he’s the team’s RB3 seeing a very limited workload with the chance of becoming fantasy-relevant if something were to happen to the starting running backs.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON
Ford’s overall skill-set is very comparable to Sony Michel. Especially, if we are talking about Michel as a college prospect. Both players are very similar when it comes to size and athleticism. You wouldn’t consider either running back as a top-shelf satellite back, but they have enough talent to provide some value in the passing game.
There are also some similarities to how they run between the tackles as both running backs are very dependable when it comes to finding running lanes but will have their mental lapses. Overall, both are good enough to get the job done but will never be considered a world-beater when it comes to talent.
PROJECTED ROOKIE DRAFT RANGE
According to DLF’s May Rookie ADP, Ford is being selected in the fourth round with a 44.60 average depth position as the RB17. Dynasty gamers are drafting him as a speculative asset in the later rounds of rookie drafts. This is a fair price point considering he’s a day three pick and has to climb the depth chart in order to receive a sizable snap share.
Ford is being drafted in the area of rookie drafts where dynasty managers can stamp their claim on their favorite dart throw. The odds of him or any of the players being drafted in this range developing into top-tier dynasty assets are very slim. With that being said, Ford is a player you can throw some chips on at this price point or pivot to another late-round running back of your choice.