I believe that to properly analyze the 2017 IDPs you need to have an idea of how they’ll ALL perform so you can benchmark and compare them effectively. So I built a model using past performance, efficiency, scheme information and coaching tendencies to predict what will happen in 2017. I’ve applied that to my best estimates for how teams will use players this year which gives a projection and ranking for all IDPs. You can read more about what I did and how here.
I’ve been watching the NFL since 1997, and for the first time the Browns are the most interesting team in football. They’re not going to win that many games this year and they’re certainly not Super Bowl contenders, but they’re fresh, different and clever. It’s great to see.
Part of the reason I’m so excited is that the Browns are such a good bet for IDP production. They’re unlikely to be winning many games and their game scripts are likely stacked against them. Those factors combined means that there will be a lot of snaps to go around and therefore production.
Jamar Taylor, CB
I know! I certainly didn’t expect him to come out top in the model, but my calculations say Jamar Taylor will be the #1 corner in IDP using NPLB scoring. The reasons being that he’s likely to be on the field a lot, he’s a solid player but not too good for opposing teams to target, and as their number one corner is likely to be matched up against many top receivers with the volume that accompanies that. He’s almost certainly unowned in your league and although I’m in no way certain he will finish that high, he’s a good enough bet that he’s worth owning.
Key stats: 956 snaps, 53 solo tackles, 9 assists, 14 passes defended, four INTs.