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Weekly Twitter Observations

Kevin OBrien Posted On May 25, 2016
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In this series of Twitter Observations, we will focus on some of the interesting tweets you may have missed. Twitter can be overwhelming with the amount of information that streams live, but it also proves to be one of the fastest and easiest ways to communicate. In 140 characters or less you can learn something about a player you may have never thought of from trends, stats or analysis. Let’s review some of the best tweets I’ve captured this week.

Jeff McLane, Eagles writer, Philly Inquirer

Jeff McLane of the Philly Inquirer highlights the Eagles backfield and their potential need for rookie running backs to have a role in 2016. Bryon Marshall had multiple offers as an undrafted free agent and chose the Eagles because of the scarcity at the position. In McLane’s article, he dives into the depth chart, which has injury (Ryan Matthews), and age (Darren Sproles) liabilities. An interesting note is that Marshall is getting work in the slot which can provide versatility if Sproles misses additional time. Running back Wendall Smallwood also is in the mix and getting plenty of repetitions with Sproles sitting out the organized team activities (OTAs). As far as new head coach Doug Pederson, in each of his three seasons with the Chiefs, he was ranked in top ten for rushing yards and rushing touchdowns. Of course, he had Jamaal Charles; however, he also was top ten (fewest) in both interceptions and giveaways. Pederson is going to emphasize running, and running well to help his quarterback as much as possible.

Pat Thorman, Writer, PFF

As Pat Thorman points out, Eric Ebron increased his stats across the board. His numbers, on a per-game basis, saw an increase by a significant percentage albeit they were pretty low the season prior. If Ebron can progress at around the same rate in 2016, he could be in-line for a 110 targets, 90 receptions, and 1,200 yard season. This would be considered quite the break out for Ebron, but is certainly within reach in the Lions offense which had the fourth most pass attempts in 2015 and Calvin Johnson retiring.

J.J. Zachariason, Editor-In-Chief at @numberFire

I really loved this tweet from JJ Zachariason. Not because it tells me what I should do, but because it gives me confidence to go outside of ADP and be comfortable with it. This likely is referencing seasonal data (ADP), with respect to the finish; however, it highlights how difficult it is to back correlate even when the window is one year, never mind dynasty where we are trying to project the next four years and beyond.  In normal real world applications, we would like to see a correlation as close to 1.0000 as possible. Generally, 0.9000 can be loosely accepted. After discussing this with JJ, these correlation factors are in the 0.6-0.7 range. This is to say that we simply do not have correlation. Why do I love something that doesn’t correlate? Well, because it confirms to me ADP is simply a guide where your target players are going, not a statement of how good they will be.

Graham Barfield, Fantasy football writer at Rotoworld, FantasyLabs and DLF, fantasygametheory

Graham Barfield has been evaluating running backs by looking at how well the back does after his offensive line have done their job. Highlighted in this tweet, we can see Ezekiel Elliot is above in each of Graham’s metric for yards per attempt, yards per attempt on inside runs, and also yards per attempt outside. For an in-depth explanation of Graham’s work on running backs, check out his blog site: fantasygametheory.

@FantasyDouche, Rotoviz editor

T.Y. Hilton has produced top 12 wide receiver numbers with Andrew Luck. As Fantasy Douche points out, Hilton has an incredible 22 games with Luck, which are over the past two seasons. His 265 PPR point pace would have just beat out Calvin Johnson for WR12 in 2015. The hype has been on Donte Moncrief, and certainly he is an exciting player, but Hilton isn’t taking a backseat either. Using Rotoviz’s game splits app, we can see just how well Hilton did with Luck at quarterback. Over the 22 games, his 16 game averages would be a line of 82-1377-7.

hilton splits

Ken Moody, Senior Partner / Chief Technology Officer of DLF

I like to end with a news type of tweet, and this week, this bit of news caught my interest from Ken Moody. At DLF we of course like to promote ourselves, but as with the nature of Twitter Observations, we also like to promote the fantasy and dynasty community on the whole. The FFcouchcoach site has been added to our list of recommended fantasty sites. Go check them out on the site, www.ffcouchcoach.com, and all of the other great sites on our list of recommended sites.

With so much information on Twitter, there are so many great minds contributing great discussion, articles, and bits of data, truly a hot bed of fantasy goodness. I will be doing my best to capture the highlights of the week and mining it out in one place for you.

kevin obrien
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