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The 2013 fantasy football off-season is in full swing and dynasty drafts are in progress. You have to pay close attention to everything in order to stay on top of your dynasty league. For most of us, we do well to steal some time away from our families and jobs to watch the games on Sunday. It becomes difficult to monitor the daily happenings around the league and even more demanding to process how that news affects your dynasty team.

That’s why we’re here!

Now that we’ve entered the off-season and have completed the NFL Draft, the next few months will be filled with rumors. Much of the “news” will be speculation about the futures of individual players. While this can be important, it can also be a challenge to determine the validity of certain reports. I will include many of these reports and share my opinion about how the player’s value might be affected, for better or worse.

Here is a quick look at the events of the past week and how they impact players on your team:

Willis McGahee, RB FA

The Denver Broncos released veteran running back Willis McGahee this week, leaving the team with rookie Montee Ball, second year man Ronnie Hillman and Knowshon Moreno left to fill out the depth chart. Ball is expected to be the team’s starter at running back. McGahee has already stated he plans to play in 2013 and there are a lengthy list of teams that could use a veteran backup running back. Cleveland would be a great landing spot for the veteran.

Tarvaris Jackson, QB SEA

The Buffalo Bills released quarterback Tarvaris Jackson, who then wasted little time by returning to one of his former teams, the Seattle Seahawks. Jackson signed a one-year contract to compete for the backup job. He could have an advantage over Brady Quinn considering Jackson is similar to starter Russell Wilson. Barring a Wilson injury, neither Jackson nor Quinn have any dynasty value.

Tim Tebow, QB NE

Quarterback Tim Tebow signed a two-year deal with the New England Patriots this week. The deal contains no guaranteed money, so Tebow will have to earn his roster spot during training camp. The team did confirm they signed the former Jet and Bronco as a quarterback. He obviously has no affect on starter Tom Brady and it is hard to see him beating out the talented Ryan Mallett as the primary backup. Tebow may not even make the team’s final roster and has little to no dynasty value.

Ahmad Bradshaw, RB IND

The Indianapolis Colts signed former Giants running back Ahmad Bradshaw to a one year, $1.1 million deal. After an off-season of doubt and another foot surgery, Bradshaw lands in a perfect situation. He’ll play alongside (and likely in front of) second year running back Vick Ballard. Ballard was solid as a rookie starter for the Colts, but lacked the big play ability the Bradshaw possesses when healthy. Their dynasty value does just what you would expect. Bradshaw gets a slight bump, while Ballard takes a solid hit. Don’t overreact on either player. Bradshaw is likely just a one year options for the team, while Ballard could still have a big role as Bradshaw nurses his foot injury.

Devery Henderson, WR WAS

Former Saints wide receiver Devery Henderson signed with the Washington Redskins, who also signed Donte’ Stallworth. The team seems to have a firm pecking order at the wide receiver position, led by Pierre Garcon. Following Garcon are Josh Morgan, Leonard Hankerson, Santana Moss and Aldrick Robinson. Morgan and Hankerson have both been disappointing players and neither Henderson nor Stallworth are the answer. Despite some name depth, there is little dynasty value outside of Garcon found on the receiving depth chart of the Redskins.

Danny Woodhead, RB SD

Running back Danny Woodhead, formerly of the New England Patriots, is expected to play the majority of third down snaps for the team this season – this means the team no longer views presumed starter Ryan Mathews as an every down back. Woodhead is an excellent sleeper in all formats this year and could end up starting some games, considering Mathews’ recent injury history.

Santonio Holmes, WR NYJ

Jets wide receiver Santonio Holmes has yet to begin running after undergoing foot surgery eight months ago. The Jets offense is in shambles and everyone involved with the team is fighting for a job, yet Holmes looks like he may not be ready for training camp, or possibly even the beginning of the regular season. Holmes has been a solid value late in dynasty drafts, but could turn into a waste of a roster spot if he can’t get back to action soon.

Jonathan Stewart, RB CAR

Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart reportedly could miss the beginning of training camp following off-season surgery on both ankles. Stewart dynasty owners are still holding out hope that the team will part ways with veteran back DeAngelo Williams, but that won’t happen as long as Stewart is on the mend. This is a situation to avoid altogether.

Mike Kafka, QB JAX

After his release from the New England Patriots, the Jacksonville Jaguars claimed quarterback Mike Kafka. Jaguars general manager Dave Caldwell quickly claimed Kafka had a chance to earn the starting job. This statement says more about the current crop of quarterbacks employed by the Jaguars, which includes Blaine Gabbert, Chad Henne and Matt Scott. None of the four are the long-term answer for Jacksonville and none have any dynasty value, either. Expect the Jaguars to use the early pick they earn in 2013 on a new starting quarterback.

Rueben Randle, WR NYG

One hot name among dynasty owners as of late is second year wide receiver Rueben Randle of the Giants. Randle has drawn praise from offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride who claims Randle will play a lot this year. It sounds like Randle has a lock on the third wide receiver job for New York and dynasty owners are already looking ahead to 2014 when one, or both, starting wide receivers could be gone. Both Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks are currently seeking new long-term contracts and it seems doubtful both will be with the team beyond the 2013 season.

We’ve mentioned this already, but now is the time to buy Randle.

Robert Meachem, WR SD

According to reports out of San Diego, Chargers wide receiver Robert Meachem, who was a top free agent signee just a season ago, is not faring any better this off-season. Meachem was described as “buried” on the wide receiver depth chart, behind teammates Danario Alexander, Vincent Brown and Malcom Floyd. The team also drafted rookie Keenan Allen, and it would be no surprise if he too overtook Meachem in training camp. Meachem has no dynasty value.

Stephen Hill, WR NYJ

One local beat writer for the New York Jets pegged second year wide receiver Stephen Hill as a minicamp dud, along with fellow wide receiver Jeremy Kerley. It’s a major concern for the Jets as these two, along with injured Santonio Holmes, are expected to be the team’s top three wide receivers. It will surprise no one if the Jets end the season as one of the worst teams, and it could be largely due to their lack of talent on offense. Dynasty owners should also be concerned about Hill, who has suffered a minor injury and struggled with drops during OTAs. He struggled at times last season, but was given somewhat of a redshirt year coming from the unconventional Georgia Tech offense. Dynasty owners have high expectations from Hill in his second season and he is off to a bad start.

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Ryan McDowell

Ryan McDowell

Senior Writer at Dynasty League Football
In addition to his role as Senior Staff Writer here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and second grade teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the HyperActive Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value. Check out Ryan’s work on the Weekly Impact Events and Dynasty Stock Market, as well as our dynasty ADP data.
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7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Eric

    June 14, 2013 at 6:40 am

    I bought Randle in a Crabtree trade (pre-Achilles) injury a month ago. Any active owner reads the player news, DLF, Rotoworld, etc. and I think the price on Randle has gone up considerably from what it was just one month ago.

    Especially in dynasty formats where Cruz and Nicks are wearing out their welcome with constant salary disputes and holdouts.

    Good luck getting a bargain deal out there at this time of the season.

  2. Marc

    June 14, 2013 at 8:49 am

    How quickly Moreno has become an afterthought. Admittingly I sold several months ago to clear some caps space. But he looked good and consistent last year, he is playing for a new contract, and Ball is one rookie mistake from crippling Manning. Somethings to at least consider.

    • Kyle

      June 14, 2013 at 11:58 am

      I agree – John Fox doesn’t trust or play rookie RBs.

      Cecil Lammey recently interviewed him about his RB situation and said that Ball has a ‘very long way to go.’

      Interestingly, Fox also said that he believes that Hillman can be a 3-down RB and LO AND BEHOLD, Hillman is getting the vast majority of 1st-team work at OTAs.

      Ball has a lot of climbing to do – I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t even crack 500 yards rushing this year – he is going to disappoint.

      Hillman/Moreno are the smart plays here.

      • Drew Stevens

        June 14, 2013 at 2:39 pm

        ball is the most talented, and moreno is dinged up. just look at the reports of OTA’s. ball was working extra with manning, dude was a great blizt pick up rb and will be fine from that aspect. hillman is a 3rd down back, not a 3 down back, you must of misquoted fox. this is one rb with plenty of college gametime ready to assume the role of the goaline and primary rb. draft him first out of the three or your making a mistake.rb2 with rb 1 upside.

      • smcguiga

        June 14, 2013 at 3:28 pm

        Kyle give it up Hillman is not going to be the guy…let it go you will fell much better I promise…..Ball will be bell cow here…only way that changes is if he gets hurt

  3. Drew Stevens

    June 14, 2013 at 2:48 pm

    “I have taken Montee after practice each day and just kind of going through plays, going through games, getting him comfortable hearing audibles at the line of scrimmage,” Manning told reporters in Denver. “We are going to count on him in a big way this year. He’s a rookie, but Coach (John) Fox is not going to bring him along slowly. We are going to put him in there and make him a contributor this year. So, the more repetitions we can get out here talking football, talking scenarios, I think the more comfortable he’ll be once the regular season gets here.”

    smart money is on ball, the bigger, more well rounded back who has done nothing but produce. quote from manning in latest cecil article.

    • Kyle

      June 15, 2013 at 11:27 am

      That’s old news. Lammey was on podcast 2 days ago saying John Fox said Hillman can be a 3-down RB and that he has looked most impressive.

      THAT’S WHY HE’S GETTING 75% OF THE SNAPS AT OTAS.

      Look it up. Ball is going to be crap this first year – you heard it here first. I just don’t want to hear the butthurt in November, “b..b…but we thought Ball was going to be a STUD.”

      Go look up his metrics – he is not any more talented than Moreno and can’t hold a jock to Hillman’s speed and agility. Plus, he can’t catch the ball for crap. Gee, I wonder who Peyton’s going to prefer.

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