Four Quarterbacks to Buy, Sell, or Hold in Dynasty Leagues

The team activities are closed as the dynasty dead period has begun. As dynasty managers prepare for the season, a lot of patience is required during this time so as to not overreact to the daily news wire. Here are four quarterbacks to watch before training camp:

Anthony Richardson, IND – Sell

This one jumped out at me considering he checks in as the current QB9 in dynasty. Conceivably, this means you can get Deshaun Watson plus, or use Richardson to enter the mix for the elite quarterbacks ahead of him. Despite his capital and upside to potentially vault up in value, the majority lies on the risk of the team holding Richardson going into the season. I want some exposure but have no issues looking for pivots before he steps on the field.

The Move – Consider moving Richardson for Watson plus a second-round pick. The demand for the position and requirement to give one back gets you in striking distance for a higher-tier quarterback. Adding a first-round and second-round pick to Richardson could net you Jalen Hurts or Josh Allen, or at least start the conversation.

Brock Purdy, SF – Buy

Purdy currently sits at QB27 in the latest ADP and reports last week surfaced that he is on track to be ready to start the 2023 season. The writing has been on the wall that he is the starting quarterback in San Francisco if he is physically healthy and it is looking more and more like that is the case each passing week. The current price on Purdy reflects doubt about his injury and bias against his profile, pushing his price down into the range with similar players in much worse situations. I was adamant about selling him after the injury but the time has come to consider buying back in.

The Move – Consider a move where you pivot from Trey Lance to Brock Purdy plus. The DLF trade calculator indicates you can buy Purdy with a 2025 second-round pick in exchange for Lance. You can argue Purdy over Lance alone, is a no-brainer. He is also a pivot option from someone in the “dead zone” range that you want to bet against. Derek Carr, Geno Smith, Kirk Cousins, Russell Wilson or Aaron Rodgers all fit this mold.

Zach Wilson, NYJ – Sell/Drop

No quarterback has seen a bigger fall from grace in the past year than former second-overall pick Wilson. In October of 2022, he was QB19, returning to the field after his preseason knee injury and at the time, back-to-back in ADP with fellow 2021 rookie Justin Fields. How quickly times have changed. Wilson’s fall from grace accelerated and with Aaron Rodgers in town, he has become an afterthought. The path to any future for him is as a backup to Rodgers and surely, a declined fifth-year option in New York and a new home in 2025. At this point, he is a glorified backup with a bigger name. He is a roster clogger.

The Move – You likely cannot get much for Wilson. Maybe a third-round pick. Maybe a better backup quarterback or a spot-start running back. The bigger message here is: do not waste a roster spot on him. Take what you can get and move on. Having a rotating open spot is worth more than holding Wilson in a dynasty.

Carson Wentz, FA – Add

Many teams have held Wentz through the summer waiting for him to sign. Ultimately, as rosters begin to get tight and cut down before the season, Wentz remains the best quarterback on the open market and to date, no team has been desperate enough to bring him in. His future is as a spot starter and backup, but his weekly fantasy upside still exists in a pinch. He no longer registers in ADP and is a perfect candidate to acquire instead of some of the rookie quarterbacks with minimal path to ever starting a game. I am fine adding Wentz exposure before he signs.

The Move – Consider moving someone like Clayton Tune or Stetson Bennett for Wentz and a third-round pick. Aidan O’Connell or Jake Haener for Wentz straight up. There are many creative moves to manipulate value, including Trey Lance for Carson Wentz and a second-round pick. Take advantage of the current narrative on who could start and who may not and pounce.

Conclusion – The QB market will really solidify as we see the rookies in the preseason and training camp. At this point, most starting jobs are spoken for outside of the injuries to Brock Purdy and Jimmy Garoppolo. Using opportunity as the narrative to accumulate value is a smart approach at quarterback over the summer.