June Dynasty ADP Risers and Fallers: Quarterbacks

John Hesterman

It is time to take a look at startup ADP risers and fallers at the quarterback position. Here we will examine which signal-callers are on the move, ADP-wise in single-quarterback leagues from May to June.

Keep in mind, the ADP can vary considerably from single quarterback to superflex.

For the most recent and complete ADP data, click here.

Here is a current visualization of where quarterbacks are landing in the first 15 rounds.

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RISERS

Josh Allen, BUF QB2 (26.67) and Jalen Hurts, PHI QB3 (20.33)

Allen has moved up slightly from 26.67 to 19.83 over the last month. Likewise, Hurts moves from 26.67 to 20.33. While not altering their status as QB2 and QB3, respectively, it shows the community is more willing to invest a little earlier in the position and prioritize the more mobile options.

Trevor Lawrence, JAC QB7 (60.5)

The top six remain in place from last month’s ADP. The first big change is Lawrence, who went from QB8 (62.17) to QB7 (60.5), displacing Justin Fields.

Despite a disastrous rookie campaign, which Lawrence should shoulder very little blame for to a QB8 finish last season, the needle may still be pointing up for him. The Jaguars added Calvin Ridley, now freed from the shackles of suspension.

The possibility that Lawrence still has room to grow and has yet to hit his ceiling has driven him up a little bit in value.

Kirk Cousins, MIN QB16 (135.83)

Cousins moves up one spot to QB16 and from 158.17 to 135.83 for one of the biggest changes in overall ADP.

During the fantasy playoffs last season, Cousins was the QB2, Justin Jefferson was WR1, KJ Osborn was WR8, and TJ Hockenson was the TE3 overall. They added Jordan Addison to the receiving core.

Cousins is a value selection in the 10th/11th round, offering reliable year-end numbers with a few disappointments sprinkled in for flavor.

Mac Jones, NE QB26 (199)

Another riser over the last month is Jones. He moves from 224.33 overall to 199, which translates from QB31 to QB26.

Jakobi Meyers moves on and heads to Las Vegas. The Patriots brought in JuJu Smith-Schuster and drafted former LSU Tiger Kayshon Boutte. They also brought in Mike Gesicki to assist Hunter Henry in tight end duties. Well, duties that do not include blocking, anyway.

After a disappointing sophomore season, dynasty managers hope for a low-cost bounce back in New England and their young quarterback.

FALLERS

Aaron Rodgers, NYJ QB24 (183.5)

Despite the new home and a mixture of new and familiar receiving targets, Rodgers fell from QB21 to QB24.

While Rodgers has the potential for a return to greatness this season, his long-term outlook hangs on the precipice of both his age and a disappointing season in 2022. It was his fewest touchdown passes in a full season since 2019 and the second-most interceptions of his career.

At his cost, Rodgers represents upside over risk in an offense featuring Garrett Wilson, Breece Hall, and Allen Lazard. However, the window for upside is only one or two seasons, barring an injury.

Hendon Hooker, DET QB UR

After flirting with an ADP of 222.67 (QB28) briefly in June, Hooker has sunk outside of the top 33 options. Meanwhile, Jared Goff has held steady, maintaining a QB20 ADP of 153.33.

Hooker will have to show some growth and development and display some semblance of potential relevance over the next season or two to move up the ADP ranks. At this point, he is best thought of as a taxi squad candidate.

FURTHER DISCUSSION

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Data courtesy of Peter Howard.

The chart above references the current single-quarterback ADP and the value change from the previous month.

Overall, the month-to-month data range shows that startup dynasty managers are placing more value on the position. Even quarterbacks that maintained their overall ADP positional rank are going earlier than the previous month.

In an effort to secure a tier-one option, mobile quarterbacks are dominating the earlier ranks. Such as Anthony Richardson, whom many have accuracy concerns about, is currently the QB9 off the board and going in the sixth round.

Most of the questionable quarterbacks, such as Sam Howell, Trey Lance/Brock Purdy, and even Kyler Murray are treading ADP water for the time being.

john hesterman
June Dynasty ADP Risers and Fallers: Quarterbacks