We have officially crossed the halfway point (of the regular season) and the time to be aggressive has never been more pertinent. Here are five transactions you should consider before week eight:
Tyler Higbee, TE LAR – Sell
Higbee is TE13 on the season from a points-per-game perspective. This is the good news. The bad news? He played only 51 of 63 snaps in week six and only ran 21 routes. Despite missing time in week eight due to a brief arm injury, the usage continues to dwindle with the Rams’ porous offensive line and without opportunity, Higbee offers next to nothing from an upside or dynasty perspective. The time to move off him given the desperate nature of the position is now.
The Move – The demand is going to likely follow the demand for the overall position. He is much tougher to part with in a start-two league, but ultimately, this may be the format where the return is worth your while. Consider two second-round picks for Higbee in a start-two format (with premium) and a single second-round pick in a start-one league (premium especially).
DK Metcalf, WR SEA – Buy
I supposed it took a miracle recovery from a suspected patellar tendon injury for Metcalf to make the buy list, but alas, I finally have come over to the dark side. DK was on the sell list heading into this season and in dynasty, there is always a time to admit you were wrong. I was wrong. He is posting a market share over 25 percent for the season, has posted a career number over 23 percent and the efficiency magic is there with the Seahawks’ offense under Geno Smith. I want pieces down the stretch.
The Move – The primary target is a later first-round pick in a superflex league. Considering the incoming class, picks outside of the top six may mean you are heavily considering a wide receiver with the pick. In that regard, no issues sending one of those picks out for DK Metcalf. The opportunity cost is potentially a running back, and if you strike with the right manager, you may be able to get a third-round pick back with Metcalf in the exchange. Use the third to backfill your running back room next summer.
Derek Carr, QB LV – Buy
This recommendation comes at a perfect time. The Raiders were shut out in New Orleans and Carr threw for 101 yards in the loss. It marks one of the worst games of his career. However, the numbers do not reflect the potential bounce back in 2022, assuming Las Vegas continues a push to win games. He ranks in the top 18 in attempts per game, yards per attempt and air yards per attempt, all signs that he should bounce right back into the top 15 or so the remainder of the way. The long-term risk is there, but ultimately, I expect the Raiders to run it back another year with the same setup as now making Carr a nice buy after this horrific week.
The Move – The current QB15 in the latest ADP, I would consider moving multiple second-round picks for Carr in a superflex league. Furthermore, if I can move a non-top-five pick, I would ask for Carr and a 2023 second-round pick in a deal where the selling manager is chasing a future first. Matthew Stafford is much more concerning and I would also be looking to flip my Stafford shares into Carr before it is too late.
Brian Robinson, RB WAS – Sell
Look up the definition of “plodder” in the dictionary and you may find a photo of Robinson. Real talk, he is a great story after recovering from being shot before the season but the rookie running back from Alabama has been less than impressive averaging 3.2 yards per carry and has only two targets in four games. Despite his round three draft capital, the team has continually worked Antonio Gibson back into a higher-leverage role as Robinson continues to contribute in any meaningful way.
The Move – Regardless of the format, I am taking any second-round pick for Robinson. Even single quarterback leagues or point-per-carry leagues. The liquidation impact gives me more flexibility than a running back who lacks upside and will be threatened for his role as early as next spring. Adding Robinson to a trade for a third-round pick (and another filler running back) is also a viable strategy if you cannot garner a second.
Mike White, QB NYJ – Add
A superflex-only move (obviously), but the announcement that White is the permanent backup to Zach Wilson in New York went under-the-radar Sunday morning and is worth paying attention to after the woeful performance by Zach Wilson against the Patriots. White was competent last season in limited action and the system is friendly to quarterback production when the staff can trust the signal-caller to pass. Add White simply in the hopes that Wilson gets benched.
The Move – Truthfully, there are worse ways to spend bench spots in any league with more than twenty-six roster spots. Any leagues with 14 or 16 teams, he is a must-add. Any leagues where two quarterbacks are required to start, he is a priority add. I anticipate you can flip for a third-round pick if he gets a spot start.
Conclusion – The midway point is the time to start pushing hard to get deals done. Take it to the next level by being the aggressor in sending out the deals you want instead of just hitting up the chat or updating your trade block. I find comfort in being able to position teams for the back half of the season knowing I am angled the right way heading into 2023. Best of luck in week nine!
- Tactical Transactions: Dynasty Moves to Make Before Week 12 - November 22, 2022
- Tactical Transactions: Dynasty Moves to Make Before Week 11 - November 15, 2022
- Tactical Transactions: Dynasty Moves to Make Before Week Ten - November 8, 2022