The 2014 class is about it enter its fifth year. This marks a line of demarcation for dynasty. The three-year breakout rule has been a known rule of thumb for quite a while. In the meantime, several players from the class who were being drafted in the top 24 at one point have now fallen considerably.
Since 2006, just over 21 percent of all breakout seasons by wide receivers (defined as 800 or more receiving yards in a single season) have happened after their fourth career year.
The 2014 class has already outstripped every other class in terms of the raw number and percentage of players who have hit this benchmark. 33 percent of all wide receivers from the class – first round picks to UDFAs – have broken out. From Odell Beckham to Adam Thielen, it’s unlikely we’ll ever see this level of success from a single wide receiver class again. But does it have more to offer us still?
*There are no free refills in England.
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