Good day everyone! I’m filling in for Zach this week on the stack report so let’s get right down to business for week ten. We’ll begin by reviewing how we did in week nine.
The highest upside stack of Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown paid off nicely. Brown didn’t get in the endzone but he did catch 17 passes (SEVENTEEN) for 284 yards. When is the last time you saw a player score 36.9 fantasy points and not get a single touchdown. Wild.
The best value stack for week nine didn’t pay off despite the seemingly good matchup. Philip Rivers only threw for 280 yards and one touchdown. Unfortunately the only touchdown didn’t go to Antonio Gates, who seemed like a lock for a big game, but managed just 69 yards on six catches.
The stacks of the weak for week nine had some hits and misses. In his first game back after a knee injury, Marcus Mariota went nuclear, throwing for a whopping four touchdown passes against the New Orleans Saints. Justin Hunter did catch a touchdown pass but only contributed three catches for 17 yards. Delanie Walker was the Titans pass catcher who blew up, nabbing seven catches for 95 yards and two touchdowns, on just eight targets.
Jameis Winston didn’t throw a single touchdown but he did send 150 of his 247 passing yards to Mike Evans. Austin Seferian-Jenkins didn’t even suit up for what would have been an amazing matchup against the Giants who are yielding 18.5 points per game to opposing tight ends.
Let’s get into the stacks for week ten.
My preferred stack this week is Rodgers to Cobb. After two very difficult weeks against top defenses, the Packers get a break in week ten, when Detroit comes to Lambeau. I expect Rodgers to go absolutely HAM this week as he takes out his frustrations on a division rival. The receiver on the other end of those passes and who the pass offense is still going through is Randall Cobb. Rodgers targeted Cobb 12 times in week nine and I expect another week with double digit looks in his direction. He also draws the best matchup of the Green Bay receivers in week ten.
If you’d like to get a bit more contrarian, then consider adding Richard Rodgers to the stack either as an addition or replacement for Cobb. I generally prefer two man stacks to three or four but this week I think both Cobb and Rodgers have a good shot at a touchdown. Using all three creates a fairly unique and likely low owned stack and lineup. One thing to remember when you are building your stacks is it doesn’t just affect the players involved in it. It can also have a cascading effect on the rest of your lineup.
Those ballsy enough to use Robinson last week against Darrelle Revis were rewarded with six catches for 121 yards. This week Robinson should be a target monster against one of the worst secondaries in the league. The Baltimore Ravens are giving up 44.9 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, which is third most in the NFL.
Allen Hurns may miss this week which should push even more targets Robinson’s way. As of Wednesday night, Hurns was still wearing a walking boot due to a foot sprain. If Hurns misses this week then Robinson has the potential to be the highest scoring fantasy wide receiver of the week.
One thing to consider here is that everyone else is also likely to be on Robinson this week. This isn’t a sneaky play by any means. If you’d like to create a more unique lineup, consider adding Julius Thomas for just $5,400. It’s clear they are trying to get him worked into the offense, and if Hurns misses time this could be the week Thomas has a big game.
Stack of the Weak
I generally prefer to pay up for quarterback, but when there is a huge value on the board playing at home against a terrible pass defense, I will make an exception. Cousins fits the bill this week against the Saints at home. New Orleans is giving up 25.6 points per game on average to opposing quarterbacks; worst in the league. Last week was Jackson’s first game in 2015. Against the Patriots he wasn’t likely to do much, but this week against one of the worst secondaries in the league, he could have one of his patented long touchdowns that can make an entire fantasy day on one play.
When healthy, Reed has been one of the most targeted and most productive tight ends in the league. If you are a little more risk-averse you could substitute him for Jackson and have a fine day. If you want to go even more contrarian then consider using both as Reed provides a nice floor while Jackson provides a sky high ceiling.
This one is easy in week ten. The Giants play the Patriots this week, and if there is one thing we know about the Patriots defense it’s that Bill Belichick likes to scheme in a way to completely eliminate the other team’s best weapon. This week that weapon is Beckham. If this were the playoffs then I might be a little less scared of the matchup, but in a regular season game I expect the Patriots to dominate in all phases. Eli may have a decent fantasy day playing catch-up if the Patriots get up big due to the terrible state of the Giants pass defense, but I am fairly certain I will be fading Beckham everywhere in DFS this week.
DeAngelo Williams ($7,600) + Pittsburgh DST ($4,600) = $12,200 = 20% of salary cap
One of my favorite correlations in daily fantasy football is the one between running backs in defenses. The theory is when a defense is able to control a game, the offense will use the running back to control the clock and both can benefit from the same game script. This week I love Pittsburgh’s defense at home against Cleveland. As of Wednesday night, it isn’t clear yet if it will be Josh McCown or Johnny Manziel under center for the Browns, but either way, I want the Steelers in my lineup at home in a divisional matchup. Williams has a swollen foot, but he should play against one of the worst rushing defenses, which is allowing 23.3 points per game to opposing running backs. Williams has been the number one fantasy RB in all three weeks he has started a game for the Steelers in 2015. Pair this stack with one of the recommended ones listed above, and you could be well on your way to taking down a GPP in week ten.
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