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Schaub

The Texans are finally making the much anticipated change at quarterback as they traded Matt Schaub to the Oakland Raiders for a sixth round pick in the 2014 NFL Draft. The Raiders were obviously concerned the Cleveland Browns or other teams were going to pluck Schaub away from them if he was released by Houston, so they brokered the deal and are absorbing the $11 million owed to Schaub next year, thus ensuring he’ll be their starter at the beginning of the season. Schaub now joins the laundry list of veteran quarterbacks the Raiders have attempted to revive, including Carson Palmer and Matt Flynn.

The move creates a ripple effect in dynasty leagues, so let’s take a look at the players involved.

Matt Schaub, QB OAK

Over his ten year career, which includes the last seven seasons as the starter in Houston, Schaub has compiled a 64% completion rate, 24,254 passing yards, 130 touchdowns and 84 interceptions. He was also 46-44 overall as a starter, giving everyone a sample size large enough to show he’s a good, but not great starter in both reality and fantasy.

Schaub was a mess last season as the wheels finally fell off the cart. On the year, he threw for just ten touchdowns and 14 interceptions and also had an interception returned for a touchdown in four consecutive games, which was a new NFL record. With former Coach Gary Kubiak knowing his job was in jeopardy, Schaub was benched for Case Keenum and everyone knew that was the beginning of the end for Schaub’s tenure as a Texan.

With Oakland, Schaub gets a much needed second chance. He’ll be 33 at the beginning of the season, so this is going to be a short run, no matter what. However, with the Oakland coaching staff needing to see results quickly and the contract numbers being what they are, Schaub will be given every opportunity to be successful.

The Raiders aren’t stocked with talent at the moment as they feature the oft-injured Darren McFadden at running back and a receiving corps consisting of James Jones, Rod Streater and Denarius Moore, among others. On the plus side, this team looks to be down in games often and forced to throw the ball a lot – perfect for fantasy owners.

With all this being said, expecting more than around 3,300 yards and 18 touchdowns or so for Schaub would be getting overly optimistic as he should hold the value of a low-end QB2, but nothing more. He should be on rosters as a bye-week possibility or third quarterback on your team, but we’ve seen enough to know he’s not going to carry anyone to a dynasty league title any time soon.

Terrelle Pryor, QB OAK

It seems pretty apparent the Raiders are already done with the Terrelle Pryor experiment. Last year’s fantasy waiver wire darling is likely heading to the waiver wire in reality. Pryor just doesn’t have an accurate enough arm to be successful at the NFL level and likely needs to make the move to tight end to have a shot at a long term career in the league. His chance to play quarterback with the Raiders is surely over.

Matt McGloin, QB OAK

McGloin was actually pretty good for Oakland last year, throwing for 1,547 yards, with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. The problem is he’s just an average talent and likely even overachieved a little with those numbers. McGloin would make for a nice backup quarterback on a team, but he’s not a player to build a franchise around. He’ll probably stick in Oakland, but it will depend on who they bring in via the draft. McGloin could safely be dropped into the waiver pool in dynasty leagues.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB HOU

With Schaub now jettisoned to Oakland, Ryan Fitzpatrick looks poised to be at the helm of the Texans at the moment. Much like Schaub, we know what to expect from “Fitzmagic” as he’ll inevitably go on extreme hot and cold streaks throughout his tenure as quarterback for the Texans, regardless of how long that may equate to. The most likely scenario is him starting the season and giving way to a rookie at the bye week.

Incoming Rookie Quarterbacks

The Texans are now most likely going to target a quarterback with the first pick in the draft with Blake Bortles as the most likely candidate. They could (and will) also take a closer look at Teddy Bridgewater or Johnny Manziel. It would be a surprise if they didn’t end up with one of those three on day one and a complete shock if they didn’t end up with someone else like Derek Carr or Jimmy Garappolo in a later round (or via a trade to move up into the back half of the first round) if they choose to take Jadeveon Clowney with the first pick.

Meanwhile, the Raiders may not have the same sense of urgency in taking a signal caller this year. With the coaching staff and GM on notice, they may attempt to take an impact player like Sammy Watkins instead in an effort to salvage the season. With the Raiders, you just never know.

Oakland Receivers

The addition of Schaub should help legitimize the group. The thought of them going into the season with McGloin or a rookie quarterback didn’t do anything to squash the notion this was going to be the least productive set of receivers in the league. Schaub should help out, but the expectation from fantasy land for James Jones, Rod Streater, Denarius Moore and the others just isn’t great. They each have a certain amount of talent, but that amount isn’t elite by any stretch of the imagination. Schaub isn’t exactly going to unleash Pandora’s Box on the rest of the league.

Houston Receivers

It’s hard to downgrade the Houston receivers since the quarterback play in Houston was so atrocious. Any temporary downgrade would likely come after they draft a rookie quarterback and throw him to the wolves. Even then, it really can’t be much worse for the likes of Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins.

What are your thoughts on the move of Schaub to Oakland?

Ken Kelly

Ken Kelly

Senior Partner - Executive Editor at DynastyLeagueFootball
Ken is a corporate trainer by day an a tireless editor of dynasty content by night. His passion for the World Champion Seattle Seahawks is second only to his love of fantasy football and the dynasty format.

Ken is on Twitter at DLF_KenK
Ken Kelly

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12 Comments

12 Comments

  1. BPP

    March 22, 2014 at 7:56 am

    Interesting that Andre Holmes ends up being “the others”. He’s the only one I would consider rostering in a dynasty at this point.

    • Ken Kelly

      March 22, 2014 at 8:49 am

      Sure, in hindsight I could have put him in there. I just think we’re looking at a situation where none of theses players are going to truly emerge. I don’t think we can count on any of them.

      • Luke

        March 22, 2014 at 9:34 am

        Yeah I agree. They don’t call Oakland the black hole for no reason.

        Jones signing killed my sleeper hopes for Andre Holmes. Now I’m prepared to cut him from both of my dynasty squads.

  2. Buck master

    March 22, 2014 at 8:12 am

    I was thinking the same thing!!! I like his chances of evolving as the year goes on. Oakland isn’t going to invest in Moore long term or they already would have. Jones is a band aid for a year and street er is average at best.

  3. BigD

    March 22, 2014 at 9:37 am

    I think that Houston will take clowney and tandem him with watt and rebuild that defense. more teams will follow the lead of seattle when they proved again that a great defensive team will always beat a great offensive team. look at the facts….Denver may have been the greatest offensive team of alltime??? and seattle crushed them. seattle had a good ground game and a qb that could make plays and manage the offense to a tee. Houston has 2 good wrs, arian foster has a little gas left in the tank, and if they can have a dominating defense, they could win in that division? I say they bring in a guy like sanchez for a year or 2 and draft a qb in the 2nd rnd and take clowney in the first…..just my observation.

  4. Joe Roads

    March 22, 2014 at 4:01 pm

    Ok. I’m in a similar situation in that I also have Andre Holmes as well as Rod Streater. And, I too am disappointed that Oakland signed James Jones.

    And, maybe the Raiders will draft yet another WR in the first round… Sammy Watkins? Who knows? Frankly, who cares?

    What I have learned is that the receiver(s) that ends up playing are the ones that consistantly produce. Rod Streater has produced and improved through his first two seasons. And, I personally think he’s a very solid option to be targeted by Schaub. He’s got good hands and works as a possession receiver who can move the chains. I guess he and James Jones are alike in that way.

    Andre Holmes can make big plays and big time catches while stretching the field. He’s taller than Denarius Moore and presents a larger target down field.

    Both these players played very well during the second half of the season last year with lesser QBs throwing the ball. So, why would a better QB like Matt Schaub not allow both these receivers to excell with similar, if not better production this year?

    Because, they’re not on the field? Possibly. But, who’s to say that Denarius Moore will stay healthy? Or, that Holmes won’t end up over- taking Moore’s spot on the depth chart? Last thing I heard, Dennis Allen wasn’t all that impressed with Moore’s play. So, is it far fetched to think that by the time September rolls around that Andre Holmes could be lining up across from Jones?

    And, is James Jones really that great? He’s put up some nice numbers recently maybe because of who was throwing him the ball. Aaron Rodgers is the type of QB that can make a WR. Where as Matt Schaub is maybe the type of QB that flourishes from the talent around him. (i.e. Andre Johnson, Owen Daniels, Arian Foster, etc.) And, my point is that Streater and Holmes, IMO, are talented. I think they can help Schaub regain the confidence he may have lost after that horrible season that he had last year. I think a fresh start and the silver and black will jump start whatever he’s got left and Matt Schaub will be that rock in the offense.

    I think the reality within our fantasy leagues is that we really have no clue as to what will unfold regarding the Raiders and their new found passing weopons. I’m not so sure that I am sold on this whole idea that Rod Streater and Andre Holmes are now obsolete. In fact, I still think that there’s a chance that both Holmes and Streater prevail as this teams two best WR options this year. I believe this simply because I think that they’re better than Jones and Moore. And, with Matt Schaub throwing them the ball, don’t be surprised if they both do what we originally hoped they would do.

    Besides, why roster any player if you don’t think they are talented? Both Rod Streater and Andre Holmes are talented WRs with the need for opportunity. And, in the NFL we learn every year that opportunity comes knocking at that very moment when you think there’s no chance in heck that they’ll get a chance. How could Oakland simply ignore how well both Holmes and Streater did last year? I just assume wait to see who really starts at WR week one. A lot can happen in six months. I wouldn’t go cutting anybody just yet.

    • phantasy5

      March 23, 2014 at 5:03 pm

      Joe, with a due respect, I’d like to have some of what you’re smoking! I think the Raiders continue to be the worst franchise in the league with their decision making. If you think Matt Schaub, with alot lesser talent class is going to be the answer to turning this debacle of a team around, you’re not thinking clearly. I must say Holmes is the only guy there that’s worth a chance on, other than that, I’m not buying it!

    • cityslickers94

      March 23, 2014 at 7:44 pm

      Joe Roads may be on to something…

      although overly optimistic, it could happen (just like decker could be fine as a jet and gerhart could be a RB2), this is ff. i think the most important takeaway is having a viable starting QB, can allow someone (if not 2 WRs) to emerge. remember not every guy will be a stud..we are looking for increases in value and oakland (though a pothole for talent) still has a legit shot for RB and 1-2 WRs to be legit starters.

      so dont sleep on them!

  5. just call me Joe

    March 22, 2014 at 9:33 pm

    Words

  6. Greg Carrier

    March 23, 2014 at 9:38 am

    Don’t be too surprised if Schaub rebounds and has a decent year. He’s not that old, and I suspect the physical talent is still there. His problems last year were mostly mental. He needs a fresh start and a chance to get his head straightened out.

    • BigD

      March 23, 2014 at 11:36 am

      2 problems with your theory…..1 its matt schaub. there are 32 starting qbs in the nfl. if your in a 12 man league there are probably 24 better. in my opinion…..2 its the raiders. which means there are 24 other teams that are better as well. just don’t waste your time. schaub is a backup at best, maybe? if you feel you must have him, wait till about the 14th round of your 14 rnd draft to get him.

      • Greg Carrier

        March 24, 2014 at 1:36 pm

        BigD — I wasn’t endorsing him as a starting fantasy QB. That’s crazy. He’s obviously a big risk even as a #2, partly because it’s the Raiders. I’m just saying that he threw some bad picks, it messed with his head, he threw some more, and lost all confidence. It’s possible to overcome something like that. I wouldn’t bet a roster spot on it, but the talent is still there. He was a pretty solid QB before that happened.

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