The Devy Stock Market
The fantasy football stock market is constantly fluctuating and it is always important for us to know which players have a price that has become exploitable whether it be to buy or sell. Pieces like this one have been fairly commonplace in the industry for a while in both redraft and dynasty, but I will be focusing on college players for devy dynasty leagues and how their week-to-week performances are affecting their price in those leagues.
Stock Up
Corey Coleman, WR Baylor
During the off-season, Coleman was drafted at 5.02 of the DLF Delayed Devy draft. It has only been a few months and now many people in #DraftTwitter are touting Coleman as the #1 wide receiver in the 2016 class and he is currently twelfth in DLF Rookie ADP. Coleman’s first six games this season have been record breaking, as he’s recorded 41 catches for 877 yards and a Baylor record 16 touchdowns so far this season.
Verdict: Hold. I definitely like what I’m seeing, so I wouldn’t be urgently trying to sell him, but I also don’t want to pay the inflated price for a player putting up video game type numbers.
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Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State
Barkley has had a very impressive start to his college career this season. After getting just one carry in Penn State’s opening game, he has rushed for 100 or more yards and/or a touchdown in every game he has played in. His 26-carry, 194 yard performance on Saturday was particularly impressive against an Ohio State defense that has more than its fair share of pro prospects.
Verdict: Buy. Always bet on talent, even if it means you’re waiting a few years.
Leonte Carroo, WR Rutgers
Carroo has played in four football games this season, in three of those four games he has scored three touchdowns. That’s pretty good. He was suspended in week three of the college football season after he was arrested and charged with simple assault for his role in an altercation that took place outside the team’s headquarters after a loss to Washington State on September 12. Rutgers coach Kyle Flood officially reinstated Carroo two weeks ago, one day after the assault charge against him was dismissed.
Verdict: Sell. Like I’ve said before in this piece, I’m beginning to fade players with character issues with the number of major suspensions in recent years. If I can sell Carroo for a comparable talent with a clean slate off the field, that’s the move I’m making.
Christian McCaffrey, RB Stanford
After a relatively quiet freshman season featuring 42 rushes for 300 yards, McCaffrey has made his name known in college football the last five weeks. In four games, he has rushed for 115 or more yards in each game, including a pair of 200 yard performances. Last week, McCaffrey had the best game of his college career, leading the nation in rushing yards for the week with 243 rushing yards and four touchdowns against UCLA. McCaffrey is currently ranked eighth among 2017 draft eligible running backs by DLF rankers. I expect him to rise in the ranks if he is able to keep up this torrid pace.
Verdict: Buy. This guy is really good.
Stock Down
Speedy Noil, WR Texas A&M
Once a highly touted freshman coming into college, Noil led the Aggies in all-purpose yardage in 2014, but so far in his sophomore season, he hasn’t done much for the Aggies. Noil showed some nice promise in his freshman season with 46 catches for 583 yards and five touchdown. Expectations were that Noil would continue to progress, however, he has regressed on the stat sheet with only seven catches for 83 yards and one touchdown through four games so far this season. What the box score doesn’t show is that Noil has been slowed by a muscle tissue injury and has been playing hurt. While some may be pointing to the emergence of freshman wide receiver Christian Kirk for a reason for Noil’s slow start, it is likely just the injury.
Verdict: Buy. Small injuries and slow starts provide the perfect opportunity to buy low on a talented player from undisciplined fantasy owners.
Samaje Perine, RB Oklahoma
Perine was arguably the most explosive freshman in college football last year with 1,713 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns. Perine’s sophomore campaign hasn’t been as fruitful as he only has 420 rushing yards and three touchdowns in six games, including only eclipsing 100 rushing yards once this season.
Verdict: Buy. This is one of those where it comes down to whether the Perine owner is valuing him closer to his preseason value or his current value. If owners are calling his freshman season more of a fluke, he’s a buy. If owners are ignoring his regression and valuing him close to where they did in the off-season, he’s a sell.
Daesean Hamilton, WR Penn State
Daesean Hamilton is another example of a sophomore slump after an impressive freshman season. Hamilton hauled in 82 catches for 899 yards and two touchdowns last season. However, he has followed that up with only 19 catches for 220 yards and three touchdowns through seven games this year. The struggles of Christian Hackenberg have been highly publicized and he and Hamilton just haven’t been able to connect as well as they did last season.
Verdict: Sell. I tend to shy away from volume based production players whose production takes a nosedive when volume is reduced.
Evan Engram, TE Ole Miss
The tight end field in college football is very thin this season and it is starting to show. Engram is second ranked tight end overall by DLF Devy rankers. However, he has yet to show much in his junior season with only 14 catches for 161 receiving yards and zero touchdowns. I do think Engram’s production will pick up, but it definitely hasn’t been a great start to the season.
Verdict: Hold. I fade tight ends in devy drafts, but it would be hard to get anything worthwhile for Engram right now, so he’s a hold.
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- Dynasty Commish Calendar: August - August 5, 2023
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- Dynasty Commish Calendar: May - May 3, 2023
