Tactical Transactions: Moves to Make Before Week Seven

In my best approximation of Paul Revere, “The data are coming! The data are coming!”

Indeed, as we’ve now reached the middle of the month, the updated October ADP has landed. And while it’s true anything beyond about five minutes ago is probably already somewhat obsolete, this now represents the most current mass dynasty sentiment. As such, opinions provided herein will be taking it into account.

The upcoming slate of games marks the halfway point in the 2023 fantasy season. Given this, it has now become pivotal to define where you stand. While there will always exist outliers, coming out of week seven with two or fewer wins means you should strongly consider maximizing your potential for 2024 and beyond. Conversely, teams with five or more wins should be thinking about potential moves that could help push them over the top. Teams in the middle may be fine standing pat, as anything can happen in the fantasy playoffs – but it’s my belief the place you least want to be is in that 1.05 – 1.08 range. Accordingly, it may be beneficial to pick one side of the fence or the other. Given this, starting next week and moving forward my advice will contain the additional granularity of catering specifically towards projected playoff and non-playoff squads.

Still, this does not wholly change the overarching rationale behind my advice. As you’re well aware by the fact you’ve come to a website entitled dynastyleaguefootball.com, we’re still taking a long view into account in addition to each player’s weekly (and year-to-date) output. Guidance will continue to take into account a player’s current stature in tools such as DLF’s ADP and rankings, in addition to how he’s performed.

Much as in previous iterations of this weekly series, I will list one player apiece who I’ve bucketed into the following categories:

Buy low

Buy high

Sell low / Drop

Sell high

Add (Big Bucks)

Add (Pennies)

One last note, as I’m referencing DLF ADP and rankings, advice herein is for a 12-team, non-superflex setting with full PPR scoring. Divergent league settings (both for starting positions and scoring) hopefully shouldn’t render this advice as not actionable, but it’s an important disclaimer nonetheless.

With that preamble in hand, here are the tactical transactions you should consider before week seven:

Buy Low – Wan'Dale Robinson, WR NYG

Week 6 Line: 8-62-0 (8 targets)

Target data courtesy of 4for4.com.

Eventually the Giants were going to have to pick “one slot receiver to rule them all,” and following his return from a 2022 injury it appears they’ve landed on the sophomore Robinson. Though he’s only played in four games, he’s already second on the team in targets, and proportionally he’s first in terms of both targets per game and target rate. While it’s true his looks are of the “empty calorie” variety, the point-per-reception spends the same regardless, and it helps that he’s corralling 88% of them.

Perhaps more critically, quarterback Daniel Jones has yet to meet a sack he won’t take. The revolving door at offensive line assuredly hasn’t helped, but getting the ball out quickly to a pair of trusted hands is likely the way this offense is going to have to operate until Jones gets a second to breathe. Averaging just over 9.0 PPR points per game is hardly the stuff of legends, but if Robinson continues to improve and manages a score here and there, he’ll easily provide a return on his current stature as a WR5.

Buy High – AJ Brown, WR PHI

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