2023 Dynasty Division Outlook: AFC East

This year, we're bringing you a new series covering each NFL division's dynasty fantasy football outlook. We'll bring you an overview of each team, highlight the best and worst positional groups, and make some cool predictions for the division as a whole. Let's jump into it!

AFC East Outlook:

Buffalo Bills

Following the long reign of the New England Patriots, the upstart-turned-juggernaut Bills claimed the AFC East division three years running. And despite the turnover on offense from the 2022 season, it wouldn't be unreasonable to expect crown #4.

Quarterback Josh Allen is the rug that ties the room together. Over the past three years, he's finished as the overall fantasy QB1 twice and the QB2 once. In 2019 he finished as the QB9, cementing his stature as arguably the most valuable dynasty asset under center. Though Allen derives a wealth of his fantasy points on the ground (over 3,000 rushing yards and 38 rushing scores through five years), he really took off when star receiver Stefon Diggs arrived in 2020. The former Viking has since eclipsed 100 receptions each year and finished 2022 as the PPR WR4 with 1,400+ yards and 11 scores.

But after that… it's kind of meh, right?

Gabe Davis spiked one week with 171 yards and two scores but only had two other weeks over 80 yards (though it's been reported he was fighting through injury). Khalil Shakir could only corral ten receptions in his rookie season, making for an awfully uninspiring WR3. Deonte Harty is a munchkin but had a solid 2021 in New Orleans before having his 2022 wiped out. Justin Shorter brings some intrigue as a big-bodied fifth-round pick with former 5* recruiting capital, but the rest of the depth chart is scary thin. A surprise DeAndre Hopkins signing would sure help this group.

The real intrigue in the aerial attack comes from first-round pick Dalton Kincaid. Likened to Zach Ertz, it's possible he could emerge as an immediate weapon, though its notable rookie tight ends tend to struggle. Kincaid might be a stash more for 2024, with holdover Dawson Knox potentially functioning as the second or third weapon in the passing game. Knox has yet to truly break out but has scored 15 times over the past two years.

Leading rusher Devin Singletary is now a Houston Texan, meaning second-leading rusher Josh Allen (yes, the quarterback) will likely take even more prominence. The hope is second-year, second-round pick James Cook will pick up some slack, but similar to Singletary is undersized and may be best utilized in a pass-catching role. Patriot transfer Damien Harris brings some intrigue as a big body with proven goal-line prowess. At the same time, fantasy zombie Latavius Murray lurks in the background, waiting to cause upheaval yet again. Nyheim Hines is best left on waivers.