It was still widely believed that Tagovailoa would declare for the draft though the late season serious hip dislocation inury, along with its potentially troublesome long term prognosis, which could take a year or more to be determined, cast some doubt on his decision. Widely expected to be the first player off the board when the first team went on the clock, Tagovailoa simply had to stay healthy and stave off competition throughout his junior year. Instead, LSU's Joe Burrow turned in a nearly flawless season himself and Tua fell to a very significant injury while Alabama fell out of the National Championship race. It's now expected that Burrow is primed to be the first player chosen when the Bengals go on the clock and the Tagovailoa's stock will drop due to long-term uncertainty relating to his injury. Word is he remains a first round selection but expect medical due-diligence and reports to dominate the week of the NFL Combine, closely followed by conjecture, smoke-screens and rumor.
Tua Tagovailoa is DLF's R30 (rookie) in non Super-Flex formats due to uncertainty related to his long term prognosis combined with the lesser value carried by rookie quarterbacks. If completely healthy, Tagovailoa should be a high second round selection in dynasty rookie drafts but long term health won't be known for some time and he remains a risk-on selection.