As we now find ourselves smack dab in the middle of the month, we can look towards the updated October ADP for what likely represents the best estimate of market value fluctuation since the season’s inception. And while it’s true anything beyond about five minutes ago is probably already somewhat obsolete, this now represents the most current mass dynasty sentiment. As such, opinions provided herein will be taking it into account.
The upcoming slate of games marks the halfway point in the 2023 fantasy season. Given this, it has now become pivotal to definitize where you stand. While there will always exist outliers, coming out of Week 7 with two or fewer wins means you should strongly consider maximizing your potential for 2025 and beyond. Conversely, teams with five or more wins should be thinking about potential moves that could help push them over the top, unless things are going so swimmingly it would be more messing with a winning formula.
Teams in the middle may be fine standing pat, as anything can happen in the fantasy playoffs – but it’s my belief the place you least want to be is in that 1.05 – 1.08 range. Accordingly, it may be beneficial to pick one side of the fence or the other. Given this, starting next week and moving forward my advice will contain the additional granularity of catering specifically towards projected playoff and non-playoff squads.
Still, this does not wholly change the overarching rationale behind my advice. As you’re well aware by the fact you’ve come to a website entitled dynastyleaguefootball.com, we’re still taking a long view into account in addition to each player’s weekly (and year-to-date) output. Guidance will continue to take into account a player’s current stature in tools such as DLF’s ADP and rankings, in addition to how he’s performed.
Much as in previous iterations of this weekly series, I will list one player apiece who I’ve bucketed into the following categories:
- Buy low
- Buy high
- Sell low / Drop
- Sell high
- Add (Big Bucks)
- Add (Pennies)
One last note, as I’m referencing DLF ADP and rankings, advice herein is for a 12-team, non-superflex setting with full PPR scoring. Divergent league settings (both for starting positions and scoring) hopefully shouldn’t render this advice as not actionable, but it’s an important disclaimer nonetheless.
With that preamble in hand, here are the tactical transactions you should consider before week seven:
Week 6 Line: 6-92-1 (9 targets)
After thoroughly underwhelming in the season’s first couple weeks (along with the rest of the Patriots offense), the second-year pass catcher has come on after the coaching staff has made a concerted effort to get the ball in his capable hands. To that point, after only managing 12 combined yards through two games, he’s now received nine targets in three of the team’s last four contests, with each output resulting in double-digit PPR points. The hit a crescendo against the Texans, where Douglas went off for 21.2 PPR points – a cynic could argue this was a byproduct of game script, but his score occurred with over nine minutes left on the clock and with his touchdown putting the contest within two scores. Regardless, the points all spend the same.
