2024 Dynasty Riser, Faller and Longshot Predictions: New York Giants
Summer is the best time to evaluate dynasty assets and their place in the dynasty market. In this series, we will bring you a riser, faller, and longshot from each NFL team. We’ll cover dynasty values, potential trades, and overall team outlooks.
Let’s jump into the New York Giants!
Riser: Devin Singletary, RB
No one denies that losing Saquon Barkley is a huge loss to this offense. The team added weapons in the draft, so they do not need to rely on their running back. I have always thought Singletary was a better running back than he was given credit for. In Buffalo, Zack Moss was drafted higher but Singletary was the more productive back. In Houston last year he was a pleasant surprise and has always had over four yards a carry in his career. His ADP has been up and down in the last year. It saw an increase when he signed with the Giants but has taken a dip with the reports of how good Tyrone Tracy Jr has looked.
Current Market Value
Singletary is going as RB44, and I do not understand that ranking. I like Tracy but he will not be the workhorse back. So, I do not see someone on the Giants taking the starting role away from him. Singletary can be a two-year starter with how the team is constructed and he is not flashy but gets solid production. I would have him over Gus Edwards and Kendre Miller. Edwards will be in a timeshare and has never received a large amount of carries consistently. Miller cannot stay healthy and seems to have lost some favor with the coaching staff. Singletary is a starting running back and I could understand having him outside the top 32 but at 44 is too far.
Future Outlook
The Giants want to pass the ball, especially with Malik Nabers on the team. Daniel Jones has struggled in training camp so they may need to lean on the running game more than they like. I see Singletary getting around 200 touches this year and increasing his four touchdowns from a year ago. If he remains the starter and stays healthy, he could be a top-30 RB for the next couple of years.
Courtesy of Sports Reference.
Trade Option/Conclusion
You do not want to keep running backs too long. The best managers will be able to see the decline coming and get the value when it is at its highest. The problem is I do not think Singletary’s value is high enough to get something better in return unless he is part of a bigger package.
Courtesy of DLF’s Trade Finder.
We have two package deals and two trades for a draft pick. The first trade is a tough decision and I think both sides are even. I would tend to side with the package of Jonathon Brooks and Christian Kirk. I think D’Andre Swift will have a good year and I like Ladd McConkey, but Kirk can be a top 20 receiver in the next two years. Even though Brooks is coming off an injury, that backfield should be his for the taking. The second trade has many different pieces. I would keep the Singletary side though. I like improving at quarterback but I think Singletary and David Montgomery do not have that big of a gap. Kyren Williams helps with that but I am unsure what that split with Blake Corum will be. Giving up Chris Olave, DK Metcalf, and Terry McLaurin is a huge overpay.
The draft pick trades are both for 2025 so there is some uncertainty of where they will fall. If I was rebuilding, I would take the second-round pick offer but I would want more than the third-round pick. If I were a contender, I would keep Singletary and hope he has a good start to the season. Then you can trade him for more assets.
Faller: Eric Gray, RB
It was hard to find a Giants player as a faller because most of their offensive players are already so low in ADP. I had high hopes for Gray when he was coming out of college. He had three average years at Tennessee and then broke out at Oklahoma with over 1,000 yards and 11 touchdowns. Gray seemed like a perfect second option at running back with his receiving skills. He had over 20 receptions in three out of four years in college. I thought he could come in right away and back up Barkley. That did not happen, and Gray only had 17 carries in his rookie season.
In the Draft, the Giants drafted another back in Tracy Jr and so far in camp he has looked impressive and is trending to passing Gray up. Gray has been trending down and is on the borderline of being rosterable as RB77.
Current Market Value
Before the draft, there was hope that Gray could move up into the RB2 spot for the Giants. That was dashed when Tracy, a converted running back was picked in the fifth round. Tracy shows good quickness and his ability in the receiving games is a big plus. He is still learning the position but in camp, he has been getting praise from coaches. Gray is in the spot of backup running backs in ADP but I would look for other options as he would need a couple of injuries to have any impact at all.
Future Outlook
Some reports from training camp say that if Gray doesn’t work on his pass pro, he might be a camp casualty. Unless he shows some big improvement in pre-season, I would not roster him. More than likely, the Giants will draft a premier back in the next two years, and Gray may not even be third-string this year.
Trade Option/Conclusion
Let’s use the DLF Trade Finder to look at possible Gray trades in superflex and two quarterback leagues. Gray is part of package deals now and he would not sway me one way or the other on a deal. I would try and get whatever I could for him. The one trade I would think about keeping him is Gray and John Metchie for a fourth-round pick. I would want to see what Metchie does another year from overcoming cancer. Late-round picks are a long shot anyway.
Courtesy of DLF’s Trade Finder.
Longshot: Daniel Bellinger, TE
Path to Relevance
The retirement of Darren Waller opened the tight end spot for the Giants. Many people are excited to see what Theo Johnson can do. He is very athletic and one of the best blocking tight ends to come out of college in the last few years. Bellinger has experience in this offense, and I think Johnson may need a year or two to improve his route running. The team did get Malik Nabers in the draft, but lost Saquon Barkley so there will be targets that Bellinger could receive to make him interesting.
Case Against Him
The Giants do not involve the tight ends as much now that Darren Waller is no longer on the team. In 2023 there were over 100 targets if you include Waller and in 2022 there were only 73. Another case against him is that Johnson quickly improves and takes over the tight-end job. Johnson is such a good blocker that he would not necessarily have to come off the field. This would make fewer opportunities for Bellinger.
Verdict
The Giants need help on offense and reports are they are not looking good in training camp. That means they need to get their best players on the field. That is why I think Johnson will see time, but he needs polishing. Bellinger will get the most looks at starting tight end in my opinion. I do not foresee him being a top 12 tight end, but he could move into the top 16 range. Daniel Jones has been known to make bad decisions so an effort to find Bellinger in the middle might avoid the costly errors.
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