2024 Dynasty Rookie Post-Draft Update: Luke McCaffrey

Justin Taylor

The NFL Draft is behind us, rookie drafts are taking place, and as dynasty managers, we are looking ahead to the upcoming season. In our Dynasty Rookie Post-Draft Update series, we break down all the incoming fantasy-relevant rookies, looking at their profiles and where they fit. The basis of the rookie profile involves the usage of STORM analysis, focusing on five key components: Situation, Talent, Opportunity, Risk, and Market.

Situation

Name: Luke McCaffrey

Position: Wide Receiver

Pro Team: Washington Commanders

College Team: Rice (Transferred from Nebraska)

Draft Status: Round three, 100th overall

If the name McCaffrey sounds familiar, that’s because it is part of football royalty. Luke is the latest in a long line of McCaffreys to play in the NFL. His brother Christian McCaffrey is the starting running back for the San Francisco 49ers and the defending NFL Offensive Player of the Year. His father is former Denver Broncos wide receiver Ed McCaffrey, who won three Super Bowls during his tenure in the NFL.

Luke McCaffrey was a state-championship-winning quarterback in high school. He originally went to Nebraska to play QB. In two years with the Cornhuskers, he played in 11 games, starting two. He transferred to Rice in 2021 and played in nine games with three starts at quarterback.

During the spring before his junior year, McCaffrey made the switch to wide receiver, and had a solid season. He broke out in his senior season. He was named to the First Team in the American Athletic Conference after leading the team with 71 catches for 992 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Washington was impressed enough with the progress of McCaffrey and his future upside to take him with the last pick of the third round.

Talent

Luke McCaffrey Combine Results:

  • Height: 6′ 2″
  • Weight: 198 lbs
  • Arm: 30 1/8“
  • Hand: 9 5/8”
  • 40-yard dash: 4.46
  • 10-yard split: 1.56
  • Vertical Jump:  36”
  • Broad Jump: 10’ 1”

McCaffrey really helped himself with his NFL Combine performance. His 9.44 RAS score was impressive as was his 4.46 40-yard dash time.

With only two years of experience at wide receiver, the Commanders are hoping McCaffrey has only scratched the surface of his abilities and can follow in the footsteps of other successful quarterbacks turned wide receivers.

It can be a difficult change, but the fact that McCaffrey has already played two years of wide receiver in college will accelerate the transition.

Opportunity

Washington Commanders Depth Chart:

A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated

Data courtesy of 4for4.com.

McCaffrey looks to slot into a top-three wide receiver on the depth chart behind Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. How number two overall pick Jayden Daniels adjusts to the NFL game at quarterback will go a long way in determining what the production of this wide receiver corps will be in 2024.

Washington completely cleaned house in the off-season with a new ownership group that hired Dan Quinn as the head coach and Kliff Kingsbury as the offensive coordinator.

Fantasy owners are going to have to wait and see how long it takes for this offense to get into sync and how big of a role McCaffrey will have in the offense this season.

Risk

A screenshot of a football game Description automatically generated

Data courtesy of Sports Reference.

When looking at the risks of drafting McCaffrey, the fact that he only played wide receiver his last two years of college is important to note. The fact that he also played at a small school such as Rice also comes with a lot of questions.

McCaffrey excelled at Rice once he made the change in position but it still came against mostly inferior competition. There are real questions about how long it will take him to get up to speed at the next level. This has caused him to slip in the rookie wide receiver rankings and dynasty rookie drafts.

Market

A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated

Courtesy of May DLF Rookie ADP.

McCaffrey is currently going 31st overall in 1QB leagues. He is currently WR17 in fantasy rookie drafts, which is where he was picked in the NFL Draft.

A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated

Courtesy of DLF Rookie WR Rankings.

The DLF team has McCaffrey ranked as WR19. His draft capital was higher than expected with a third-round selection. Currently fourth-round picks Troy Franklin and Javon Baker are players who were taken after McCaffrey in the NFL Draft but are often going ahead of him.

A screenshot of a sports betting Description automatically generated

Courtesy of DLF’s Trade Analyzer.

You can see that McCaffrey’s value is a late third-round selection. He is also equal in value to some older players who are on the tail end of their careers such as Raheem Mostert and Mike Williams.

Justin Taylor

The NFL Draft is behind us, rookie drafts are taking place, and as dynasty managers, we are looking ahead to the upcoming season. In our Dynasty Rookie Post-Draft Update series, we break down all the incoming fantasy-relevant rookies, looking at their profiles and where they fit. The basis of the rookie profile involves the usage of STORM analysis, focusing on five key components: Situation, Talent, Opportunity, Risk, and Market.

Situation

Name: Luke McCaffrey

Position: Wide Receiver

Pro Team: Washington Commanders

College Team: Rice (Transferred from Nebraska)

Draft Status: Round three, 100th overall

If the name McCaffrey sounds familiar, that’s because it is part of football royalty. Luke is the latest in a long line of McCaffreys to play in the NFL. His brother Christian McCaffrey is the starting running back for the San Francisco 49ers and the defending NFL Offensive Player of the Year. His father is former Denver Broncos wide receiver Ed McCaffrey, who won three Super Bowls during his tenure in the NFL.

Luke McCaffrey was a state-championship-winning quarterback in high school. He originally went to Nebraska to play QB. In two years with the Cornhuskers, he played in 11 games, starting two. He transferred to Rice in 2021 and played in nine games with three starts at quarterback.

During the spring before his junior year, McCaffrey made the switch to wide receiver, and had a solid season. He broke out in his senior season. He was named to the First Team in the American Athletic Conference after leading the team with 71 catches for 992 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Washington was impressed enough with the progress of McCaffrey and his future upside to take him with the last pick of the third round.

Talent

Luke McCaffrey Combine Results:

  • Height: 6′ 2″
  • Weight: 198 lbs
  • Arm: 30 1/8“
  • Hand: 9 5/8”
  • 40-yard dash: 4.46
  • 10-yard split: 1.56
  • Vertical Jump:  36”
  • Broad Jump: 10’ 1”

McCaffrey really helped himself with his NFL Combine performance. His 9.44 RAS score was impressive as was his 4.46 40-yard dash time.

With only two years of experience at wide receiver, the Commanders are hoping McCaffrey has only scratched the surface of his abilities and can follow in the footsteps of other successful quarterbacks turned wide receivers.

It can be a difficult change, but the fact that McCaffrey has already played two years of wide receiver in college will accelerate the transition.

Opportunity

Washington Commanders Depth Chart:

A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated

Data courtesy of 4for4.com.

McCaffrey looks to slot into a top-three wide receiver on the depth chart behind Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. How number two overall pick Jayden Daniels adjusts to the NFL game at quarterback will go a long way in determining what the production of this wide receiver corps will be in 2024.

Washington completely cleaned house in the off-season with a new ownership group that hired Dan Quinn as the head coach and Kliff Kingsbury as the offensive coordinator.

Fantasy owners are going to have to wait and see how long it takes for this offense to get into sync and how big of a role McCaffrey will have in the offense this season.

Risk

A screenshot of a football game Description automatically generated

Data courtesy of Sports Reference.

When looking at the risks of drafting McCaffrey, the fact that he only played wide receiver his last two years of college is important to note. The fact that he also played at a small school such as Rice also comes with a lot of questions.

McCaffrey excelled at Rice once he made the change in position but it still came against mostly inferior competition. There are real questions about how long it will take him to get up to speed at the next level. This has caused him to slip in the rookie wide receiver rankings and dynasty rookie drafts.

Market

A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated

Courtesy of May DLF Rookie ADP.

McCaffrey is currently going 31st overall in 1QB leagues. He is currently WR17 in fantasy rookie drafts, which is where he was picked in the NFL Draft.

A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated

Courtesy of DLF Rookie WR Rankings.

The DLF team has McCaffrey ranked as WR19. His draft capital was higher than expected with a third-round selection. Currently fourth-round picks Troy Franklin and Javon Baker are players who were taken after McCaffrey in the NFL Draft but are often going ahead of him.

A screenshot of a sports betting Description automatically generated

Courtesy of DLF’s Trade Analyzer.

You can see that McCaffrey’s value is a late third-round selection. He is also equal in value to some older players who are on the tail end of their careers such as Raheem Mostert and Mike Williams.

Justin Taylor