2024 Off-Season Mock Drafts: Comparing Superflex and Single-Quarterback Rookie Drafts

John DiBari

A few weeks ago, I wrote about the early results I saw in the first rounds of my actual rookie drafts. Since that time, I've completed some mock drafts for DLF and wanted to see how the mocks compare to real life and how the superflex drafts were measuring up to the single quarterback mocks. I've completed over a dozen drafts so far, am currently participating in another five-ish, and probably have another ten or so to complete over the next few months, so there is still plenty of time to use what we are learning in mock drafts.

Superflex, Rounds One and Two

The main takeaway from this mock was that Brock Bowers fell outside the top eight, and I haven't seen that happen in any draft - real or mock - all off-season. Xavier Worthy ended up being the guy who snuck into the top eight in his place, and Bowers was also leap-frogged by Jonathon Brooks and Brian Thomas Jr.

The second "weird" thing was Bo Nix falling to 1.12 and Michael Penix falling to 2.03. In most of the superflex drafts I've seen, Nix has almost always been a top-ten pick, and Penix hasn't fallen out of round one. Looking at DLF's superflex rookie ADP from May, Penix had an average draft position of 16.8, so technically, he went earlier than usual in this mock, but that is not what I have seen in actual drafts. I think when push comes to shove, and you're on the clock in a real superflex draft, people will pull the trigger on a quarterback. The double QB fall and the Bowers drop kicked this draft off in an odd fashion.

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