Dynasty Twitter Observations: Is Romeo Doubs the Green Bay Packers WR1?
It’s been a few weeks since the NFL Draft, but there’s plenty of non-rookie news on Twitter that could make waves on your dynasty team. Below are a few of those Tweets (with a rookie Tweet thrown in).
Chris Out of Water
Bucs plan for Chris Godwin to do “a little bit of everything” in their new offense. https://t.co/lquXLfe7sd
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) May 11, 2023
Despite the dumpster fire that was the Bucs’ season last year, receiver Chris Godwin was still Chris Godwin – a top fantasy receiving option. He topped 1,000 yards for the third time in four seasons and managed to set a new career-high with 104 receptions. On the flip side, his efficiency was way down. His 68.2 yards-per-game was his worst since his sophomore season, the three touchdowns were his worst since his rookie season, and the 9.8 yards-per-reception was the worst of his career.
The dip in efficiency is a little worrying, especially considering the change at quarterback this year. No longer will Godwin rely on a competent quarterback in Tom Brady feeding him the ball. He either has Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask under center (for now), neither of which is known to be as strong-armed or accurate as Brady. The Tweet above gives Godwin, and his dynasty managers, some hope that he can get back to his bigger play days.
Dynasty Impact: If Brady were still in place, Godwin might have been an under-the-radar buy-low option this off-season. There’s an influx of rookie receivers coming into the league, not to mention Godwin’s history of producing bigger numbers. His Dynasty ADP was already holding steady and on the cusp of a dip.
Data Courtesy of DLF ADP Over Time App.
But the quarterback change might make him TOO popular of a buy-low candidate that he’s not a buy-low anymore. With the news that Godwin is slated to be a bigger part of the receiving game, dynasty managers will be looking for a good deal. According to our DLF Trade Analyzer, he’s still worth a rookie first-round pick this year, assuming it’s not for Bijan Robinson. Don’t settle for anything less if someone comes along offering less.
Romeo, Romeo, Where Art Thou Romeo?
Jordan Love said he threw with Aaron Jones and Romeo Doubs this offseason in California.
— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) May 10, 2023
To answer the question in the title, Romeo Doubs was getting a leg up on the other receivers, according to the Tweet. Make no mistake, the off-season is prime time for coach speak and innuendo, but it’s a good sign that new Packers starting quarterback Jordan Love has chosen Doubs to start getting work in. The second-year receiver had a quasi-meteoric rise last year in dynasty and redraft leagues. The 2022 fourth-round pick came out of nowhere to supplant 2022 second-round pick Chrisitan Watson in early season targets. Through the season’s first nine weeks, Doubs saw 50 targets, catching 31 of them. An injury wiped out a month of this rookie season but ended his rookie campaign with 42 receptions for 425 yards and three touchdowns.
Of course, that was with one of the best quarterbacks of all time Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers famously forced a move out of Green Bay, leaving the Packers with former first-round pick Love under center. And no matter how many off-season workouts they get in together, it’s no substitute for the real thing.
Dynasty Impact: Who emerges as the Packers’ top fantasy receiver in 2023 is already one of the more discussed questions. Tweets like the one above will give an early lead to Doubs, but we have a long way to go. Not only is there Watson for Doubs to fend off, but the Packers added another second-round receiver in Jayden Reed.
When it comes to dynasty value, Watson has the advantage thanks to his draft pedigree plus his late-season heroics last season.
Data Courtesy of DLF ADP Over Time App.
Doubs sits in the second position but doesn’t discount Reed to surpass him. The latter was drafted a whole two rounds earlier than Doubs, which means Doubs will have to keep proving that he’s worth a starting job.
When it comes to your dynasty team, Reed would represent the best value right now. Doubs might represent the best value right now, making him a prime trade candidate if he’s on your dynasty team.
Hook Up
: 2023 will likely be a “redshirt” year for #Lions QB Hendon Hooker, according to HC Dan Campbell
There are also rumors of a new contract coming for Jared Goff.. pic.twitter.com/knvsl2ppVr
— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) May 9, 2023
A player many discussed leading up to the draft, some thought Hendon Hooker could sneak into the first round. That didn’t happen (Hooker was taken in the third), but he did enter a good situation in Detroit where he’ll be starter Jared Goff’s backup. While maybe a tad disappointing, it’s not all that surprising that Hendon Hooker may have to wait to start playing when you combine his torn ACL towards the end of last season with the fact that he’s still considered very raw despite already being 26.
Dynasty Impact: As rookie drafts ramp up this Summer, Hooker will be one of the few players that won’t have much of a chance to earn more playing time. Where he is now in terms of dynasty value is probably where he’ll be to start the year and possibly well into the 2023 season.
Data Courtesy of DLF Rookie Draft App.
As far as those rookie (Superflex) drafts that have already taken place, He’s likely to be available in the mid-to-late second round. So not a lot of risk if your league has large rosters and/or taxi squads. After all, a mid-to-late second-round rookie pick has just as good of a chance to see the field as Hooker does this year.
But if Hooker hits, he could hit big. His last season at Tennessee put him on the map, and he was even on track for the Heisman before the torn ACL. He threw for 3,135 passing yards and 27 touchdowns in just 11 games, plus another 430 yards on the ground and five more touchdowns. It’s possible he would have landed in the first round if not for the injury.
If you can keep a roster spot open for Hooker in the second, it could be a wise investment.
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