As free agency kicks off, everything we know is about to change. Information is constantly changing and the dynasty values will move in lock-step with it. This series will focus on that market pulse by highlighting players at each spot. Here are quarterbacks to think about right now:
Geno Smith, SEA – Sell
Smith recently agreed to an extension to stay with the Seahawks. Good news, right? Yes, for the sake of his dynasty market, the sentiment will be that he has security and likely, falls into a range where other teams will be okay trading for him. Ultimately, his contract has no guarantees past this season and the team could easily use their fifth overall selection to add a quarterback. While not likely, the idea is not crazy and there are still questions if the efficiency he showed in 2022 is sustainable. Ultimately, I want to take advantage of a sell window for this profile while the market is bought in.
The Move – The move on Smith is to sell him for his value plus a more volatile quarterback. I am looking for a leverage trade where I get back a second-round pick and another player who could start, but is not seen with the same safety. Jimmy Garoppolo comes to mind. Ryan Tannehill may be a name you can acquire. Jameis Winston or Baker Mayfield are wild cards, but if they start, could easily fill the same slot Smith occupies.
Ryan Tannehill, TEN – Buy
This one is not all that exciting but it remains to be seen if Tannehill will be back with the Titans. The franchise is in flux and could go in any direction, but the 34-year-old Tannehill was very good in 2019 and 2020 and likely has another shot as a starter elsewhere. He is currently QB33 in the latest superflex ADP and that likely reflects pure fatigue on his name. You can do worse than him as your QB3 at the lowest common denominator.
The Move – Ultimately, I would buy for a later second-round pick. I would pivot down from a lesser quarterback such as Goff, Carr, Geno Smith and others if I can get a second-round pick with Tannehill. This is especially a great move if you have two quarterbacks ahead of one of those tier-down options on your roster.
Tyrod Taylor, NYG – Add
Taylor has been forgotten as he was signed to a sneaky two-year contract with the Giants before the 2022 season, with the intent of being insurance against Daniel Jones not panning out and then drafting a rookie in 2023. It did not work out that way but Taylor is still the locked-in backup in a Brian Daboll offense and should enter the season as one of the top ten backup quarterbacks in the league. The system combined with his ability to run puts him on the “must roster” list at the position.
The Move – The move is to add him in specific formats (28 or more roster spots) and do so in leagues where quarterbacks are difficult to obtain after injuries. Low-hanging fruit but I have seen Taylor out there on many wires.
Marcus Mariota, QB – Drop
Mariota quit on the Falcons. The team later released the veteran quarterback and after this debacle, there is a chance he never gets another job. Ultimately, his fantasy resurgence was short-lived and given how many backups are in the NFL, the time is probably over. I have cut Mariota in every league that I could not trade him away and see no reason to roster him further.
The Move – Nothing much else to say. He is not on my radar as worth a roster spot unless we are at a point where 70 or more quarterbacks are on rosters.
Conclusion – The QB market is really all the haves and the have-nots, just like TE. The key is acquiring the elite players at the position when you can and making the right leverage bets on the rest of the field to fit both roster construction and value principles. Expect much to change before April.
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