Dynasty League Football


Past/Present/Future Rookie Pick Value: 2023 Early 1st

We examine your potential options with the top four picks of rookie drafts and the value of those picks.

Bijan Robinson

It’s almost that time of year again: rookie drafts are on the horizon. Rebuilders are full of glee as they hoard their picks, while contenders are scheming how they can pry some of those picks away, and dynasty players everywhere are champing at the bit to draft their favorite prospect.

In this series, the Dynasty League Football team will be taking a look at four pick sections of a dynasty rookie draft to give a comprehensive view of those picks by analyzing consensus picks of the past, the potential options for this year, and what the picks are worth on the trade market. For this series, we’ll be focusing on superflex formats.

Historical Consensus 1-4 picks




The top of rookie drafts is littered with elite assets. Almost regardless of the class, having a selection in the first four picks has a very high chance of netting you a great dynasty asset.

Gain Instant Access to this content and so much more.
A full year of DLF Premium access is only $49.99.
Try DLF Premium for only $9.99 with a Monthly Subscription.
Or better yet, get a DLF Annual Membership for FREE! Find out how
Premium membership provides access to all of our awesome dynasty content. No confusing plans, no shell games, just everything you need with one simple subscription.
  • The best dynasty rankings in the industry
  • Dynasty, Rookie & Superflex ADP
  • Dynasty Trade Analyzer and other awesome tools
  • Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides
  • 365 days of content, tools, advice and support
  • And so much more!
Want more information about DLF Premium? Find out more
Have questions or need some help? Contact Us
Already a DLF Premium Member? Log in now

Past/Present/Future Rookie Pick Value: 2023 Early 1st
5 3 votes
Article Rating
Notify of
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Mike Carlson
4 months ago

Wyatt- I was very excited for this article. I’m not in superflex league so I was wondering what would you do different if you couldn’t get the trade value for my current picks? Which rookies would you draft considering my roster/needs vs the picks I have. I’m in a (12 team)1 QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 2Flex 12bench 6taxi PPR dynasty league. My highlight players on my roster consists of QB: J Herbert, Dak, Goff, JLove. RB: B Hall, J Taylor, K Herbert, Eno Benjamin, Deon Jackson, Justin Jackson Wr: Olave, Wan Dale R., Jameson Williams, Justyn Ross, Tim Patrick, R Shaheed TE: K Pitts, Bellinger, Irv Smith, Tysom Hill, Noah Gray
I’m currently holding 2023 picks 1.02 , 1.03, 1.05, 1.06 and 2.03 , 2.06
I was thinking 1.02 Gibbs but not sure after that if I should get 1.03 Jaxon-Smith….. 1.05, 1.06
2.03 Should I try to pick up a QB or pickup best available WR/RB?
Am I crazy to use 1.06 on Michael Mayer?
What players would you pick with my current roster and draft slots? Or what needs do I need to fill from this draft.
Thank you in advance for your thoughts!

Andy Cook
Reply to  Mike Carlson
4 months ago

Yes you are crazy. Gibbs, JSB, then BPA

Mike Carlson
Reply to  Andy Cook
4 months ago

Thank you for your thoughts and suggestions. I’m partly crazy being a Notre Dame fan so that is my draw to drafting Mayer. Need to separate fan and dynasty manager!

Last edited 4 months ago by Mike Carlson
Kyle Knox
4 months ago

Thoughts on the cost to move up from 1.02 to 1.01? I’m in the 2 spot in 2 different leagues and want to move up for Bijan. In one I’m loaded with picks (1.02, 1.04, 1.06, 1.08, 1.09, 1.12, 2.02 and 2.07) and in the other I’m actually the defending champ and loaded with great players as well as the 1.04 and 1.10.

Matt Butorac
4 months ago

Have 2 runner-up finishes over the past 3 years, but my team is aging and I need to get younger. 12 team, non Superflex. Have Dak/Fields at QB, Fournette, Najee, R. White, Pierce, Patterson, J. Wilson as my best RB and Kittle/Engram at TE. Some upside but very questionable at WR with Ceedee Lamb, Michael Thomas, Calvin Ridley, Allen Robinson, Tyler Boyd, Skyy Moore as my main options.
The owner with 1.03 is interested in my Ceedee Lamb, and we have an offer out there of 1.03, 2.04 and 2024 1st for Lamb. He was a bit unlucky this year, so 2024 1st I’d say is more likely to be late than early. Seems like a pretty fair offer, but I’ve said I’d need a little bit more. Curious what your thoughts are? Is it worth holding onto him and trying to compete while hoping I get lucky at WR in 2023 with one or more of Thomas, Ridley, ARob, Moore? I’d most likely take JSN at 1.03. My picks this year are 1.11, 2.06, 3.11, 4.11, so I’m not counting on an immediate contributor from the draft necessarily. I do have another owner interested in Ridley and Kittle so I could hang onto Lamb and just try to retool with a couple younger assets that way. Hard to know when it’s time for a full rebuild! Appreciate the help!

Andy Cook
Reply to  Matt Butorac
3 months ago

I’d hold Lamb, see if you can deal RB for a WR instead. RB is way more replaceable than stud WR.

tanner mccart
4 months ago

Great stuff! Need more articles like this

Reply to  tanner mccart
4 months ago

Good news for you! We have a whole series, all the way through “Late 4th round picks” in this same format.

Andy Cook
3 months ago

Would you trade 1.04 for a guaranteed 1.01+ in 24, and what would the + need to be if so?

IE. 2023 1.04 for 2024 1.01 plus what?

Roster irrelevant, talking pure value.

Andy Cook
Reply to  Wyatt Bertolone
3 months ago

So… based on how our league determines pick order, it is 99% odds of 1.01. Regardless, do you prefer 1.04 this year or 1.01+ in 24, and if so what is the plus?

Stephen Heafner
3 months ago

Startup 1 QB ppr no TEP. 1Devy. kicker is along with 1ppr there is 1ppc making RBs monsters. I have the 1.01 in all 3 rds plus 1.01 in the devy. Bijan is 1st no doubt, I have a offer for my devy with 2 options. 2023 1.03 sraight up for the 1.01 devy or slide back to 1.03 devy and a 2023 2.03. So knowing RBs value would this years 1.03 and no devy be more valuable than 2024s 1.03 devy + 2023s 2.03 or take the 2023 1.03 and try and trade that pick? Your thoughts

To Top