Dynasty Fantasy Football Target Share: Do Routes Predict Targets?

Peter Howard

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There is one week left before we look to do a year-in-review conclusion to this series. I went back and forth on what to write about this week because of where we are in the season.

Suggesting a start-sit decision is moot, and future production is a year away.

Ultimately, I’ve decided on doing some background work on the connection between a player’s stats and what we can and can’t know about their future target share in the following season (or year N+1 if you’re a nerd).

I think this will set us up better for drawing more conclusions about what 2023 may bring.

As always, here’s your weekly reminder that I’m collecting the weekly data (again,) and you can find it here.

Let’s get to it.

When Does Target Share Increase?

On a broad scale, second-year players see the largest and only consistent and predictable increase in volume at the wide receiver position.


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Dynasty Fantasy Football Target Share: Do Routes Predict Targets?