The college football regular season has ended which means rookie draft prep will start ramping up. Now is the time to look at your current dynasty roster and see which pieces will stay and which can be moved. Below are some tweets that may come into play when making those decisions.
Rock of Jacobs
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) December 9, 2022
Yes, the cleats are pretty cool and a good reason to talk about Josh Jacobs but there’s also the breakout season he and his dynasty managers are in. After averaging 1,000 rushing yards and nine touchdowns in the first three seasons of his career, Jacobs turned on the afterburners this season. Through just 13 games he’s totaled 269 carries (three of his career-high); 1,402 rushing yards (already a career-high); and 11 rushing touchdowns (one less than his career-high). He’s also added 44 receptions for 346 receiving yards, both of which aren’t far off from career highs either. And he has a month left in the season. The 2022 version of Josh Jacobs is officially in the league-winner category.
Dynasty Impact: The Jacobs story has been nice to see especially after the Raiders declined his fifth-year player option. He’s insured a nice contract next year in what should be a crowded running back free agency field. It also bumped his dynasty ADP relatively overnight.
But what about next year? Because of the Raiders declining that option, Jacobs will be a free agent who Las Vegas either has to extend or let go. Ideally, he would come back and play under head coach Josh McDaniel so he can be the centerpiece of the Raiders offense in 2023 and beyond. It’s also possible Jacobs moves on to another team that will pay more for his services.
In either scenario, it’s best to cash out Jacobs as a dynasty asset. He’ll only be 25 entering the 2023 season but I would much rather sell high a little early on a running back than sell low and late. If you can move Jacobs for a package of picks in the off-season, I would do it whether you’re rebuilding or not.
Between Brock and a Hard Place
Brock Purdy becomes the only QB to beat Tom Brady in his first career start 😮
185 Pass Yards
3 Total TD
134 Passer Rating
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) December 12, 2022
Not many people saw this scenario coming. A seventh-round pick in his first career start outplaying – by a mile – the greatest quarterback of all time. Brock Purdy slung it around like a pro on his way to throwing two touchdowns, rushing for another, and blowing out the Buccaneers. He was a top-five fantasy quarterback, something that plenty of recent rookie quarterbacks have failed to do in multiple seasons. And whether it’s a testament to the system head coach Kyle Shanahan has in place or Purdy is that good or some combination of the two, Purdy’s fantasy value will need to be taken seriously.
Dynasty Impact: Kudos to those who drafted Purdy in their rookie drafts this off-season. According to the DLF Rookie App, he was still available in most drafts late into the fourth round and the fifth. Even those that ended up picking him off waivers when starter Jimmy Garoppolo went down deserve credit for taking a chance on him whether it was out of desperation or otherwise.
So what do we do about Purdy after the season? Most trade deadlines have passed so he won’t be moved until the Super Bowl concludes (which he might play in!). But if Purdy can play like this going forward, he’ll have earned the backup job in San Francisco at a minimum. By all accounts, the 49ers will give it another go with Trey Lance who they named the started before the season before the injury that knocked him out for the season. Jimmy Garoppolo played admirably before he was also knocked out for the season, setting up Purdy’s performance. It won’t make sense to keep the high-priced Garopollo around so expect him to move on. But Purdy would be an interesting flier for a team that has Lance on their superflex or even 1QB team.
Hot Goff the Press
Most of the NFL world considers Jared Goff to be a bridge QB… the #Lions never got that memo.
A look at the present and figure of Detroit’s starting QB: https://t.co/Lr4USyT8fX
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) December 11, 2022
After being traded to Detroit, Jared Goff‘s career as a starter appeared to be at the beginning of the end. After leading the Rams for his entire five-year career, including a Super Bowl appearance, Goff was moved to make room for quarterback Matthew Stafford. Stafford promptly led the Rams to a championship while Goff was widely viewed as a bridge to the next quarterback in Detroit. But a funny thing happened on the way to the top of the draft. The Lions started winning and Goff has been a big part of it. The Lions are currently 6-7 – already doubling their win total from a year ago – and have a top-ten offense in DVOA. Between the winning and the offense playing well, it’s forced Detroit to re-evaluate its plans at quarterback. Because of the Rams trade, they will have a top-five pick in the draft (in addition to their own which currently sits in the middle of the round) and could, conceivably draft a high-end quarterback prospect. But should they?
Dynasty Impact: The Jared Goff story has been quite the roller coaster. From entering the league as the first overall pick and leading his team to a Super Bowl to being shipped off to the NFL hinterlands in Detroit, Goff’s ADP has seen its share of highs and lows.
And this chart doesn’t even take into account his 2022 season yet which will see it climb once again. Goff has never been a QB1 when it comes to fantasy scoring. But he can be a reliable QB2 for superflex players. He’s right on the QB1/2 line right now and has no doubt contributed to plenty of dynasty playoff teams.
At a minimum, Goff has shown he can start which should buy him more time as a fantasy contributor whether it’s in Detroit or somewhere else. He’s a good value in the off-season if you’re looking for a cheap QB2.
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