The Dynasty Aftermath: Election Day

Ken Kelly

Welcome to DLF’s Dynasty Aftermath. This staple article is our longest running signature piece as we have a little fun after a tough week at the Dynasty League Football office. You’ll find this article will review the week’s happenings in a variety of ways and help set you up for the coming weeks as we spin around the league in the way we know best. Expect it each and every week.

I’ve written this column for the past sixteen years and I love it. I enjoy combing through the stats of the week on Monday night, putting together ridiculous lineups, picking MVPs/LVPs and discussing things to worry about.

That’s not all. I also really love sharing observations, little bits of entertainment or some stories with the community of DLF and picking a theme for this column each week. You really never know what you’re going to get.

It’s election day!  With that, I encourage you to hit the polls and make a difference in your communities today. Since it’s election day, I figured this would be the perfect time to give you my votes on some fantasy awards for the year. Here we go with my non-partisan selections for the first half of the year!

Fantasy MVP

As it is in every season, you can make a case for a ton of players. To me, I simply look at point differential within positions. The difference between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes is less than two points. You could make a pretty strong case for Austin Ekeler, whose 25ppg is nearly four more than that of Derrick Henry. Cooper Kupp has again been fantastic, though the likes of Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs are nipping at his heels. That brings me to the tight end position where Travis Kelce has been more than five points better than Mark Andrews and at least seven points per game better than anyone else. To me, that positional advantage has been enormous and makes him the early frontrunner for the top spot.

Fantasy LVP

There were big things expected for Cam Akers this season and it’s been a total disaster thus far. With just 154 rushing yards and one touchdown on the season, Akers’ ADP has plummeted. He looks like a shell of his former self and while he made it back for last year’s Super Bowl, he looks nothing like what we had hoped for this year. When you consider his off-season ADP, this has simply been a tragedy.

Comeback Player of the Year

You could make a strong case for Geno Smith here, but he’s more of a surprise than a comeback player since he was really never any good. Instead, it’s Saquon Barkley, who has looked like his old rookie self this season. While there are still injury concerns with him, it makes last year look like a long, long time ago. Barkley is again looking like a first round player in dynasty start-ups.

Dynasty Surprise of the Year

How about Justin Fields?  After starting slowly this season, he’s been simply amazing over the past month, averaging 29.74 fantasy points as the QB3 overall – that’s about as amazing turnaround as you will ever see for a quarterback mid-season. Props to Geno Smith, but Fields is looking like a difference maker.

Rookie of the Year

It would likely go to Breece Hall had he not be injured. However, with Hall on the shelf, you just have to love Dameon Pierce for the award. He’s on pace for more than 1,400 rushing yards. Even better, he could crack 40 receptions, which would be huge for his future value. The Texans have a ton of needs, but it really does look like they’ve found their running back of the future.

Best Dynasty Buy

Even with some solid performances recently, the value of Tony Pollard still looks off to me. He really has the looks of a league-winner at this point and his days of being a backup are coming to a close here whether he re-signs in Dallas or not. He gets my vote, with Calvin Ridley a close second based on the talent vs. ADP at the moment.

Best Dynasty Sell

I think Najee Harris is still being looked upon as a dynasty first rounder by some. If they’re in your league, I’d sell pretty quickly. Harris has been outplayed by Jaylen Warren and he’s going to find himself in a bit of a timeshare role instead of the workhorse one we’re used to seeing. If you can get borderline first round ADP value for Harris, I’d jump on that ASAP.

On to week nine. Let’s do it!

Fantasy MVP of the Week

Joe Mixon had himself a pretty good year on Sunday with 153 rushing yards, four catches 58 receiving yards and five touchdowns in an obliteration of the Carolina Panthers. His 55.1 points represent nearly a third of his season output (nine total games) and considering he had only one other week with more than 20 points, this was long overdue.

Fantasy LVP of the Week

After back-to-back games with 118 rushing yards, dynasty managers were excited to see what D’Onta Foreman could do this week. Well, his 23 scoreless rushing yards and -2 receiving yards were enough to sink a lot of those same managers. It was a big step back for Foreman and while much of it wasn’t his fault due to the blowout score (Carolina was down 35 at the half), the thought of him being a “plug-and-play” option were quickly put into question this week.

The Unbeatable Lineup of the Week

QB Justin Fields CHI = 123 passing yards, 178 (!) rushing yards, four touchdowns
RB Joe Mixon CIN =
153 rushing yards, four catches, 58 receiving yards, five (!) touchdowns
RB Kenneth Walker SEA =
109 rushing yards, three catches, 20 receiving yards, two touchdowns
RB Travis Etienne JAX  =
109 rushing yards, two catches, 17 receiving yards, two touchdowns
WR Davante Adams LV = Ten catches, 146 receiving yards, two touchdowns
WR Tyreek Hill MIA =
Seven catches, 143 receiving yards, one touchdown
WR Cooper Kupp LAR =
Eight catches, 127 receiving yards, one touchdown
TE Dallas Goedert PHI =
Eight catches, 100 receiving yards, one touchdown

2022 members of the list: Tyreek Hill (5), Austin Ekeler (4), Josh Jacobs (3),  Davante Adams (3), Justin Jefferson (3),  Mark Andrews (3), Christian McCaffrey (2),  Stefon Diggs (2), Leonard Fournette (2), Derrick Henry (2), Ja’Marr Chase (2),  Kenneth Walker (2), Joe Burrow (2), Cooper Kupp (2), Tua Tagovailoa (1), Patrick Mahomes (1), Jared Goff (1), Josh Allen (1), Lamar Jackson (1), Saquon Barkley (1), Jonathan Taylor (1), D’Andre Swift (1) Aaron Jones (1), Nick Chubb (1),  Miles Sanders (1),  Devin Singletary (1), Cordarrelle Patterson (1), Rhamondre Stevenson (1), , DeVonta Smith (1), Marquise Brown (1), Chris Olave (1), Jaylen Waddle (1), Mike Evans (1), Gabriel Davis (1),  Travis Kelce (1), TJ Hockenson (1), Taysom Hill (1),  Tyler Boyd (1), Mecole Hardman (1), George Kittle (1), Jalen Hurts (1), Alvin Kamara (1),  AJ Brown (1), DeAndre Hopkins (1), Tyler Conklin (1), Justin Fields (1), Joe Mixon (1), Travis Etienne (1), Dallas Goedert (1)

The Underdog Lineup of the Week

QB Baker Mayfield CAR = 155 passing yards, two touchdowns
RB Kenyan Drake BAL  =
93 rushing yards, two catches, 16 receiving yards, two touchdowns
RB Raheem Blackshear CAR =
13 rushing yards, four catches, 40 receiving yards, one touchdown
RB Jeff Wilson Jr. MIA =
51 rushing yards, three catches,  21 receiving yards, one touchdown
WR Christian Kirk JAX =
Eight catches, 76 receiving yards, one touchdown
WR Mecole Hardman KC =
Six catches, 79 receiving yards, one touchdown
WR JuJu Smith-Schuster KC =
Ten catches, 88 receiving yards
TE Cole Kmet CHI =
Five catches, 41 receiving yards, two touchdowns

2022 members of the list: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (3), Ezekiel Elliott (2), DJ Moore (2), Geno Smith (2), Tony Pollard (2), JuJu Smith-Schuster (2), Jamaal Williams (2), Rhamondre Stevenson (2), D’Onta Foreman (2), Kenyan Drake (2), Trevor Lawrence (1), Jared Goff (1), Matt Ryan (1), Carson Wentz (1), Dontrell Hilliard (1), Deon Jackson (1),  James Robinson (1),  Damien Harris (1), Khalil Herbert (1), Tevin Coleman (1),  JK Dobbins (1), Raheem Mostert (1), Mack Hollins (1), Zay Jones (1), Russell Gage (1), David Njoku (1), Devin Duvernay (1), Robbie Anderson (1),  Jahan Dotson (1), OJ Howard (1), Garrett Wilson (1), Friggin’ Mike Williams (1), Dyami Brown (1), Khalil Shakir (1), Marvin Jones (1), Amari Cooper (1), Brandon Aiyuk (1), Chase Claypool (1), Jamal Agnew (1), Josh Reynolds (1), Corey Davis (1), Irv Smith Jr (1), Mo Alie-Cox (1), Hayden Hurst (1), Mike Gesicki (1), Andy Dalton (1), Gus Edwards (1),  Parris Campbell (1), Marquise Goodwin (1),  Juwan Johnson (1), Justin Fields (1),  Antonio Gibson (1), Rondale Moore (1), Damiere Byrd (1), Kyle Pitts (1), Baker Mayfield (1), Raheem Blackshear (1), Jeff Wilson Jr. (1), Christian Kirk (1), Mecole Hardman (1), Cole Kmet (1)

The Disappointing Lineup of the Week

QB PJ Walker CAR = Nine passing yards, two interceptions
RB Cam Akers LAR =
Three rushing yards
RB Isiah Pacheco KC =
Five rushing yards, one catch, four receiving yards
RB D’Onta Foreman CAR =
23 rushing yards, two catches, -2 receiving yards
WR Robert Woods TEN =
No catches
WR Robbie Anderson ARI =
One catch, -4 receiving yards
WR Devin Duvernay BAL =
One catch, five receiving yards
TE Taysom Hill NO =
13 passing yards, one catch, six receiving yards

2022 members of the list: Cam Akers (3), Carson Wentz (2), Jonathan Taylor (2), DeVante Parker (2), Darnell Mooney (2), Elijah Moore (2), Robbie Anderson (3), Trevor Lawrence (1),  Matt Ryan (1), Aaron Rodgers (1), Jared Goff (1), Damien Williams (1), Elijah Mitchell (1), Rashaad Penny (1), Tyler Allgeier (1), Kenneth Walker (1), Tony Pollard (1),  David Montgomery (1), Darrell Henderson (1), Raheem Mostert (1), Chase Edmonds (1), Damien Harris (1), Tee Higgins (1), DeVonta Smith (1), Chase Claypool (1), Julio Jones (1), Amari Cooper (1) Alec Pierce (1),  Skyy Moore (1), Mecole Hardman (1),  DJ Moore (1),  Christian Kirk (1), Dawson Knox (1), OJ Howard (1), Dalton Schultz (1), Gerald Everett (1), Kareem Hunt (1), JK Dobbins (1), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (1), Garrett Wilson (1), Curtis Samuel (1), Tyler Higbee (1), Lamar Jackson (1), Kenyan Drake (1), AJ Dillon (1), Isiah Pacheco (1), Amon-Ra St. Brown (1), DK Metcalf (1), Keenan Allen (1), Kyle Pitts (1), Derek Carr (1), James Robinson (1), Brian Robinson (1), Davante Adams (1), Hunter Henry (1). PJ Walker (1), Cam Akers (1), Isiah Pacheco (1), D’Onta Foreman (1), Robert Woods (1), Devin Duvernay (1), Taysom Hill (1)

Gut Checks

I’d be worried if I had Rashaad Penny.

I’d be worried if I was putting too much faith in Jakobi Meyers.

I’d be worried if I was playing against Austin Ekeler. He’s a quiet assassin.

I’d be worried if I wasn’t looking to trade my veterans if I was 4-5 or worse.

I’d be worried if I was relying on James Conner.

I’d be worried if I needed Keenan Allen soon.

I’d be worried if I needed Robert Woods maybe ever.

I’d be worried if I still thought Seattle players were losing value without Russell Wilson.

I’d be worried if I thought Deon Jackson would just go away.

I’d be worried if I needed consistency from Kyle Pitts.

I’d be worried if I needed big points from Drake London.

I’d be worried if I thought Leonard Fournette‘s job was totally safe.

I’d be worried if I missed out on Travis Etienne. Too late.

I’d be worried if I had forgotten about Jameson Williams.

I’d be worried if I thought TJ Hockenson was going to be an afterthought. Guess not.

I’d be worried if I thought Trevor Lawrence was for sure going to be better than Justin Fields in fantasy football.

I’d be worried if I had Michael Thomas. This is a mess.

I’d be worried if I thought Cade Otton couldn’t produce.

I’d be worried if I needed any running back from the Chiefs to give me anything.

I’d be worried if I didn’t get out there and vote!

The Top Rookie Scoring Averages

1.) Breece Hall, RB NYJ = 16.73
2.) Dameon Pierce, RB HOU = 15.20
3.) Chris Olave, WR NO = 14.85
4.) Kenneth Walker, RB SEA = 14.54 (and climbing)
5.) Bailey Zappe, QB NE = 14.39
5.) Kenny Pickett, QB PIT = 13.98
6.) Jahan Dotson, WR WAS = 13.30
7.) Greg Dulcich, TE DEN = 12.07
8.) Garrett Wilson, WR NYJ = 11.87
9.) Drake London, WR ATL = 9.32
10.) Romeo Doubs, WR GB = 9.06
11.) Alec Pierce, WR IND = 8.83
12.) Tyler Allgeier, RB ATL = 8.73
13.) George Pickens, WR PIT = 8.24
14.) Rashid Shaheed, WR NO = 7.38
15.) Teagan Quitoriano, TE HOU = 7.20
16.) Wan’Dale Robinson, WR NYG = 7.18
17.) Daniel Bellinger, TE NYG = 7.06
18.) Cade Otton, TE TB = 6.70
19.) Brian Robinson, RB WAS = 6.64
20.) Skylar Thompson, QB MIA = 6.33

Notable players not in the top 20 of rookie scorers: Tyquan Thornton, Samori Toure, Keaontay Ingram, Khalil Shakir, Treylon Burks, Rachaad White, Christian Watson, James Cook, Isiah Pacheco, Jelani Woods, Kyle Philips, Isaiah Likely, Tyrion Davis-Price, Hassan Haskins, Skyy Moore, Jaylen Warren, Malik Willis, David Bell, Zamir White, Jerome Ford, Danny Gray, Jordan Mason, Trey McBride, Pierre Strong

The Rookie Top 20

Always check our latest rankings to see the updates through the week. These rankings are simply my own.

1.) Breece Hall, RB NYJ (last week: 1)
He won’t move off this line for me this year unless Walker really explodes. It’s starting to happen.

2.) Kenneth Walker, RB SEA (last week: 2)
Penny may have lost his job.

3.) Garrett Wilson, WR NYJ (last week: 3)
Starting to be more consistent.

4.) Chris Olave, WR NO (last week: 5)
Solid.

4.) Drake London, WR ATL (last week: 4)
Too many quiet weeks for me to take him over Olave.

6.) Jahan Dotson, WR WAS (last week: 6)
Needs to get back on the field.

7.) Jameson Williams, WR DET (last week: 7)
The time to buy is closing.

8.) Dameon Pierce, RB HOU (last week: 9)
He’s been a workhorse.

9.) Treylon Burks, WR TEN (last week: 8)
I’m hopeful, but I’m having my doubts here.

10.) Rachaad White, RB TB (last week: 11)
Could he be getting more run here soon?

11.) George Pickens, WR PIT (last week: 12)
Claypool leaving is the best thing for him.

12.) Brian Robinson, RB WAS (last week: 10)
Getting his chances, but doing little with them.

13.) Wan’Dale Robinson, WR NYG (last week: 13)
Still love his upside.

14.) Romeo Doubs, WR GB (last week: 14)
Might be out for a while now.

15.) Alec Pierce, WR IND (last week: 15)
Can Jeff Saturday get him the ball?

16.) James Cook, RB BUF (last week: 16)
The addition of Hines doesn’t help.

17.) Jelani Woods, TE IND (last week: 17)
Need to see more than just goal line work.

18.) Isiah Pacheco, RB KC (last week: 18)
The Chiefs just don’t run it at all now.

19.) Malik Willis, QB TEN (last week: 19)
It’s been rough.

20.) Greg Dulcich, TE DEN (last week: UR)
He’s looked the part and should be great after the bye they had this week.

Notable players not in my current top 20 rookie rankings: Isaiah Likely, Skyy Moore, Kenny Pickett, Christian Watson, Calvin Austin, Ronnie Rivers, John Metchie, Zamir White, Jaylen Warren, Isaiah Spiller, Trey McBride, Tyler Allgeier, Tyrion Davis-Price, Jalen Tolbert, David Bell

See you next week!

 

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ken kelly
The Dynasty Aftermath: Election Day