Welcome to movers and shakers, an in-season series from DLF. Each week we choose a different ranking category; top 250 (one quarterback and superflex), devy, and IDP. We then review players from that group who may have risen or fallen substantially from the past month’s ranks and alert you to any relevant changes. Let’s get right to it.
Javon Hargrave was a candidate here, and if his recent form continues, he will undoubtedly rise in the rankings. The guy I’ve chosen above Hargrave hasn’t risen too far in our rankings, but only because the few ahead of him are truly considered elite players at their positions.
Quinnen Williams, DT NYJ (Current DL16, DT5)
Williams entered the league in 2019 with all the lofty expectations that come with being the third overall pick. He had a modest rookie campaign and teased becoming the player we hoped for in years two and three, but he never truly excelled in fantasy, partly because he had a smaller snap share than his DT contemporaries.
2022 is different, and not only because his snap share has risen from 55.1% in 2021 to 66.3%. Williams has flat-out dominated through the first eight games. His 14.2% pressure rate is 2% more than any other player at the position, he also leads all DTs with seven sacks, and his 24 combined tackles rank 21st.
The fantasy community often champions players who have a high pressure-to-sack ratio, but that’s not a good metric to use when trying to predict future sack success. Pressure rate is far more indicative. This chart includes the top 25 players in pressure rate at the DT position (min. 100 pass rush attempts). It demonstrates that Williams has a pressure-to-sack rate above the average, suggesting his sack rate may decrease. However, it’s not a major concern.
Should Move Ahead Of:
It’s tight at the top of the DT rankings. Aaron Donald, Jeffery Simmons, and Chris Jones lead the way, but Williams has undoubtedly earned a position among the best of the rest alongside guys like DeForest Buckner and Jonathan Allen. Still only 24 years old, Williams is the youngest of them all. He’s a tantalizing dynasty prospect.
This position is a deep one, comparatively speaking. The big four comprises Myles Garrett, T.J. Watt, Nick Bosa, and Micah Parsons, but the large chasing group comprises some excellent, capable players. This guy was considered one of them heading into the 2022 campaign.
Robert Quinn, DE/EDGE PHI (Currently unranked)
Despite his advancing years, Quinn was ranked highly by many after his productive campaign in 2021, even in dynasty rankings. He tied Myles Garrett with 18 sacks last season, trailing only T.J. Watt with 22.
Quinn’s is an isolated example, but there’s no better example of the volatility of pressure-to-sack rates. He converted an unsustainable 38.2% of his pressures into sacks last season but has done so at a rate of only 6.3% in 2022. More worryingly, his pressure rate has dropped from to 11.6% to only 8.6%, ranking 63rd among all edge rushers who have at least 100 pass-rush attempts.
His trade from the Bears to the Eagles may offer some cause for hope, but the truth is that Quinn has only one season with an impressive pressure rate since 2013. Additionally, the Eagles rotate edge rushers, and Quinn’s snap share has been worrying low. He played 26% of the available snaps in week seven and only 12% in week eight.
The only positive I can point to is that Quinn has been double-teamed at a higher rate than average:
Double team rate at Edge (x) by Pass Rush Win Rate at Edge (y), updated through last night.
-In Chubb, Dolphins traded for No. 3 player in PRWR at Edge.
-Just one sack for Arnold Ebiketie, but PRWR is encouraging sign for rookie. pic.twitter.com/Jdp5izB8s8
— Seth Walder (@SethWalder) November 4, 2022
Should Move Behind:
Quinn has justifiably dropped out of DLF’s top 150 IDP dynasty ranks. At this point, his fantasy value is negligible. I would trade him for peanuts.
Linebacker is often considered the most important spot in IDP; standard scoring systems ordinarily mean they score more fantasy points than any other position. Therefore, distinguishing between productive linebackers and those who will disappoint can often mean the difference between success and failure in fantasy.
Zaire Franklin, LB IND (Current LB48)
Franklin entered 2022 as a fantasy afterthought, stuck behind Shaquille Leonard and Bobby Okereke in the pecking order at linebacker for the Colts. However, Leonard’s injury has allowed Franklin to make an impression.
The young linebacker is the only Colts’ linebacker to play every down this season. Considering every down off-ball linebackers are fewer on the ground than ever before, that alone makes him a valuable fantasy prospect:
I make it 26 LBs to have played at least 90% of their team's snaps so far in 2022.
Yes. More would likely have done so if they had not missed time hurt.
But they did.
Same as every year – players get hurt. pic.twitter.com/pDMh4vOTTF
— T͓̽o͓̽m͓̽ ͓̽K͓̽i͓̽s͓̽l͓̽i͓̽n͓̽g͓̽b͓̽u͓̽r͓̽y͓̽ (@TomKislingbury) October 31, 2022
It appears Franklin has a lead over Okereke. In the few games Leonard has featured, it has been Franklin who has stayed on the field. Conversely, Okereke had season-low snap shares of 70% and 61% in those two games. It also helps Franklin’s dynasty appeal that he is under contract until 2024, whereas Okereke is in the last year of his deal.
Should Move Ahead of:
The safety position is one of my favorites. There is an incredibly flat tier behind an elite handful of players at the position, and any of the players in that huge chasing group can perform well in any given week. Predicting success at this position can be challenging.
Eddie Jackson, S, CHI (Current S32)
Jackson is the second player in this article who has seemingly spent much of his career as a fantasy afterthought. He showed great promise in his sophomore year, recording six interceptions and eight pass breakups, but he has never topped 100 tackles in a season.
The 27-year-old has been one of the most productive safeties in fantasy this year. Jackson’s 59 combined tackles lead all safeties, and his 11.9% tackle efficiency ranks fourth. He’s also forced two fumbles, and his four interceptions trail only Chauncey Gardner-Johnson’s five.
It matters less for fantasy purposes, but Jackson has allowed a passer rating of only 64.2 in coverage this year. Only ten other safeties can claim to have done better (minimum 200 snaps.) Watch his acrobat interception of Dak Prescott last weekend:
Eddie Jackson read it all the way 👀
— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) October 30, 2022
Should Move Ahead Of:
Until recently, Jackson hadn’t placed in the DLF IDP Top 150 ranks for over a year, but he has recently risen above Jonathan Abram, Adrian Phillips, and Amani Hooker. If he continues his fine form, he should move ahead of players such as Vonn Bell and Justin Simmons.
Wrapping It Up
We aim to tip you off as to who the movers and shakers are weekly across our different ranking platforms. During the season, they will fluctuate regularly. The best way to stay abreast of how a particular player you are tracking is performing is to head directly to our rankings pages. Thank you for following along—best of luck in your fantasy endeavors.
- Dynasty IDP Top 150 Fantasy Football Rankings: Movers and Shakers - November 5, 2022
- Dynasty Superflex Fantasy Football Rankings: Movers and Shakers - October 28, 2022
- IDP Snap Trends: AFC Edition - October 15, 2022